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May Discussion


weatherwiz
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3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Saturday thru all of next week looks mainly sunny and dry. Will be nice to not have rain for a solid 6-7 days. Temps 60-65 next week. While not warm enough.. that’ll be great in the sun . Ryan’s 10 day nothing but sunny icons after today . Can’t wait.

ehhh I would hedge on the caution of that. We are under the influence of an upper-level trough for much of the weak so with any heating we'll likely see clouds develop in the afternoon. There should also be at least a few days with scattered showers around given the fast/active flow. 

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5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

ehhh I would hedge on the caution of that. We are under the influence of an upper-level trough for much of the weak so with any heating we'll likely see clouds develop in the afternoon. There should also be at least a few days with scattered showers around given the fast/active flow. 

As of last nights guidance..looks mainly dry. Sunny doesn’t mean no clouds. 

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33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Saturday thru all of next week looks mainly sunny and dry. Will be nice to not have rain for a solid 6-7 days. Temps 60-65 next week. While not warm enough.. that’ll be great in the sun . Ryan’s 10 day nothing but sunny icons after today . Can’t wait.

Hope the GFS still blows as you said yesterday when you posted it 

download (62).png

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1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

If only the GFS was right this one time!!

Screenshot_20200501-091957_Samsung Internet.jpg

Why -  what do you think you are looking at here ?    

That's not snowing anywhere around here, just in case ...  But perhaps your motivation is just to keep things cold :)   ...if so, maybe... but, consider tomorrow's synopsis:

12z NAM's FOUS profile suggest it's likely +5C aoa 850 mb.  That was +1C three days ago, then...steadily warmed in every guidance cycle since. That is a typical behavior at this time of year in model behavior/bias, where/when guidance has to do that ...almost like catching up to the season as bush observation. 

Folks of the anti warm season, negative S.A.D. ilk, you probably might wanna keep this facet in mind when gawking over cold outlooks, that they will tend to modify warm getting nearer. 

I also recommend backing off the scale and degree of the January in May pattern the Euro's selling...It's trying to back off already, by showing more retrograde motion with the D8 -10 SPV over the Canadian shield; last run it attempted to nestle that 516 DM heights to almost Lake Superior on May 8th - heh, no problem... without a super volcano or a celestial impact event? unlikely...

In the meantime, at least for those of us out here in the majority we can enjoy a fine weekend.   Tomorrow looks like utopia if these NAM numbers pan out.  NW wind veering W over the course of the afternoon, while lightening toward 10 knots flag wobbling...  zero clouds, and low humidity, under those 850 mb thermal plumb described above, is probably going to bust MOS and send the temperature toward or exceeding 70 as a slam dunk ...  Hovering over driveways and parking lots probably a 75 F ... has that classic spring look of NWS sites 68 F but it is actually warmer where civility lurks.  

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13 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Why -  what do you think you are looking at here ?    

That's not snowing anywhere around here, just in case ...  But perhaps your motivation is just to keep things cold :)   ...if so, maybe... but, consider tomorrow's synopsis:

12z NAM's FOUS profile suggest it's likely +5C aoa 850 mb.  That was +1C three days ago, then...steadily warmed in every guidance cycle since. That is a typical behavior at this time of year in model behavior/bias, where/when guidance has to do that ...almost like catching up to the season as bush observation. 

Folks of the anti warm season, negative S.A.D. ilk, you probably might wanna keep this facet in mind when gawking over cold outlooks, that they will tend to modify warm getting nearer. 

I also recommend backing off the scale and degree of the January in May pattern the Euro's selling...It's trying to back off already, by showing more retrograde motion with the D8 -10 SPV over the Canadian shield; last run it attempted to nestle that 516 DM heights to almost Lake Superior on May 8th - heh, no problem... without a super volcano or a celestial impact event? unlikely...

In the meantime, at least for those of us out here in the majority we can enjoy a fine weekend.   Tomorrow looks like utopia if these NAM numbers pan out.  NW wind veering W over the course of the afternoon, while lightening toward 10 knots flag wobbling...  zero clouds, and low humidity, under those 850 mb thermal plumb described above, is probably going to bust MOS and send the temperature toward or exceeding 70 as a slam dunk ...  Hovering over driveways and parking lots probably a 75 F ... has that classic spring look of NWS sites 68 F but it is actually warmer where civility lurks.  

Agree with extreme violence 

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