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May Discussion


weatherwiz
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Well we've finally made it to severe wx season and what better way to kick it off with the opportunity for convection...not talking about severe convection unfortunately, however, perhaps some gusty shower or t'storms with potential for small hail or grauple. But since this is a specific event a separate thread for that will come shortly (as in soon)!!

Anyways, the April pattern has been nothing short of miserable...chilly, rainy, snow (well not miserable), windy, yuck. There are indications, however, this pattern may finally relax and we may introduce more of a zonal flow across the country. If anything, hopefully this leads to more seasonable temperatures. 

Perhaps the biggest thing to watch moving through the month will be opportunities for severe wx. Signals in the long range keep emerging strong ridging across the west. Obviously this isn't good for severe wx aspects in the central U.S. but this can shift favorable conditions for severe wx farther east...not necessarily into our region, but OV, mid-Atlantic, and if the proper pattern, into the Northeast. If anything, perhaps this can provide us with some opportunities for some NW flow events or some EML advection...this of course would have to occur via EML air becoming entrained in the exit region of the ridge and traversing through the upper-Midwest into Canada and then from southeast Canada into our area. I think too these EML's may be a bit easier to advect in than ones that pinch off from the SW U.S. b/c those have to traverses through the Plains and OV and stand a better chance at being moderating from warm/moist Gulf air surging northward. 

Actually having a ridge setting up in the west for May makes the weather geek in me happy as I was going to go to OK the end of May guhhhhhhhh

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11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks like Saturday gets nicer and then perhaps Sunday into Monday nice wx. 60s to 70s perhaps Sunday?

It's quite possible...it's super close. Looks like the pattern relaxes a bit but with that ridge so massive out west and still signals of weak blocking to the north there doesn't appear to be strong signals for some persistently nice weather. 

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1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

It's quite possible...it's super close. Looks like the pattern relaxes a bit but with that ridge so massive out west and still signals of weak blocking to the north there doesn't appear to be strong signals for some persistently nice weather. 

EPS gets very chilly again relative to norms May 5 & beyond after nice stretch May 2-4 & tomorrow for some. 

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36 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

EPS gets very chilly again relative to norms May 5 & beyond after nice stretch May 2-4 & tomorrow for some. 

yeah with that ridge becoming as dominant as it is out west and continued signals for below-average heights to our north it's going to be tough to get prolonged warmth in here...only really good chance for warmer temperatures is just climo lol

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8 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

yeah with that ridge becoming as dominant as it is out west and continued signals for below-average heights to our north it's going to be tough to get prolonged warmth in here...only really good chance for warmer temperatures is just climo lol

Just shoot me

 

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14 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Can see it coming from a mile away. Blowtorch summer, cold fall that gives weenies false hope, snap back to endless SE ridge DJF and another snowless winter under the coming Nina. See ya in 2021. :lol: 

Yup. The rubber band just isn’t snapping back and forth in our favor. We need a Pickles big booty milf to shake things up for us. 

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