cheese007 Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Something to watch for the middle of next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 The current models show wind shear looking like it will be displaced away from most(?) of that threat area until late in the night, so for now that looks like it'll keep the tornado threat from reaching the levels that we've seen in the past couple of weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Appears it will cover the same area as yesterday. Cross-over winds aren't eye-popping but still enough to generate some tors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted April 26, 2020 Author Share Posted April 26, 2020 D3 slight covering much of the same area EDIT: sig contour covering DFW into eastern OK as we Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 Central to northeast Texas may have a loaded-gun type sounding, with 72 dew points, and some 850mb winds of 30-35 kt in some areas. This could be a situation for isolated or scattered severe storms that are slow-moving with just enough 0-6 km shear for mesocylones. Otherwise, I expect widespread storms from Missouri southward to Texarkana and possibly Oklahoma City. These storms may be facing a situation that the better 500 mb wind/ 0-6 km shear is trying to catch up to the storms, and/or catch up to the higher 0-3km SRH. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 27, 2020 Share Posted April 27, 2020 ENH risk on new day 2... 30% hatched hail in C OK and 30% hatched wind in TX/OK/W AR with talk of widespread damaging winds and some potentially significant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted April 27, 2020 Share Posted April 27, 2020 Summer-like threat tomorrow, only shifted a bit further south than we would normally see in the summer. Strong NW flow atop meager/meh low-level winds, but abundant CAPE and moisture. Should be some pretty hefty hail tomorrow afternoon with the initial discrete convection across SE KS and into OK, developing into a mean squall line by evening. Considering meandering my way down to SE KS tomorrow just for some hail and hopefully a beautiful shelf cloud, always a chance for an isolated tornado as well given ample low-level cape — but storm interactions/updraft seeding will probably mitigate that potential quite a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted April 27, 2020 Share Posted April 27, 2020 1 hour ago, jojo762 said: Summer-like threat tomorrow, only shifted a bit further south than we would normally see in the summer. Strong NW flow atop meager/meh low-level winds, but abundant CAPE and moisture. Should be some pretty hefty hail tomorrow afternoon with the initial discrete convection across SE KS and into OK, developing into a mean squall line by evening. Considering meandering my way down to SE KS tomorrow just for some hail and hopefully a beautiful shelf cloud, always a chance for an isolated tornado as well given ample low-level cape — but storm interactions/updraft seeding will probably mitigate that potential quite a bit. Yeah only have 2 pct TOR probs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted April 27, 2020 Share Posted April 27, 2020 SPC is right to get a 5% down to North Texas on the update. Little triple point will be there late afternoon; but, the cold front will overtake it by evening. I like the Texas (or southern OK) triple point for a virtual target. Then there's Iowa, the source of so many chaser inside jokes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted April 28, 2020 Share Posted April 28, 2020 A lot of 00z guidance develops a secondary SFC low across S KS/ N OK tomorrow morning/afternoon. This results in locally backed winds across southeastern KS and parts of northern Oklahoma, while low-level winds are still pretty lax, this leads to a much better looking hodograph -- and with ample 0-3km CAPE in place INVOF of the quasi triple-point, this could lead to a localized region of higher tornado potential with early discrete cells across the area. Something of note to me is that SHIPS guidance is pretty ridiculous tomorrow for this same region... Could see some "gorilla" hail tomorrow for sure. Honestly would not be totally surprised to a MDT risk tomorrow for destructive hail and/or damaging winds given that every model shows widespread severe storms across S KS/N OK. Could even be a small 10% TOR risk across the area I mentioned above to account for an obviously higher potential for tornadoes with the initial discrete storms; but as I already stated, a big mitigating factor for tornadoes will be the lack of stronger low-level flow... so they probably wont introduce a 10% area. Initial target/starting point for tomorrow would be in a triangle from Wichita, KS to Ponca City, OK to Independence, KS.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted April 28, 2020 Share Posted April 28, 2020 22 minutes ago, jojo762 said: A lot of 00z guidance develops a secondary SFC low across S KS/ N OK tomorrow morning/afternoon. This results in locally backed winds across southeastern KS and parts of northern Oklahoma, while low-level winds are still pretty lax, this leads to a much better looking hodograph -- and with ample 0-3km CAPE in place INVOF of the quasi triple-point, this could lead to a localized region of higher tornado potential with early discrete cells across the area. Something of note to me is that SHIPS guidance is pretty ridiculous tomorrow for this same region... Could see some "gorilla" hail tomorrow for sure. Honestly would not be totally surprised to a MDT risk tomorrow for destructive hail and/or damaging winds given that every model shows widespread severe storms across S KS/N OK. Could even be a small 10% TOR risk across the area I mentioned above to account for an obviously higher potential for tornadoes with the initial discrete storms; but as I already stated, a big mitigating factor for tornadoes will be the lack of stronger low-level flow... so they probably wont introduce a 10% area. Initial target/starting point for tomorrow would be in a triangle from Wichita, KS to Ponca City, OK to Independence, KS.. I think we see an expansion of the 30% hatched hail, and a 45% hatched wind added for Oklahoma/Arkansas/north Texas. I’m surprised there isn’t more talk about this event 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted April 28, 2020 Share Posted April 28, 2020 Moderate risk for E OK. Quote DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1255 AM CDT TUE APR 28 2020 VALID 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHEAST TEXAS... ..SUMMARY WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE ARKLATEX REGION. DAMAGING WINDS, WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY EXCEEDING 65 MPH, AND VERY LARGE HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED. ..SOUTHERN PLAINS/ARKLATEX STRONG SHORT-WAVE TROUGH HAS TOPPED THE WESTERN US RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS FEATURE WILL DIG INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY LATE AFTERNOON WITH INTENSE MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS FORECAST TO OVERSPREAD MO/NORTHERN AR DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD. AS THIS FEATURE DIGS TOWARD NE/KS, A BIMODAL SURFACE LOW SHOULD EVOLVE WITH THE PRIMARY CIRCULATION EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS NORTHERN IA INTO SOUTHWESTERN WI BY EARLY EVENING. THE SECONDARY LOW WILL DROP SOUTH INTO NORTHWESTERN OK BY 18Z. AS THIS OCCURS, LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD VEER ALONG/AHEAD OF A SURGING COLD FRONT THAT WILL PLUNGE SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER BY LATE EVENING. EARLY THIS MORNING, LOW-LEVEL TRAJECTORIES HAVE BECOME FAVORABLE FOR BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE TO ADVANCE NORTH ACROSS TX INTO OK. LOWER 70S SURFACE DEW POINTS HAVE RETURNED TO THE TX COASTAL PLAIN AND 60F DEW POINTS ARE SPREADING NORTH OF THE RED RIVER. LATEST THINKING IS STRONG BOUNDARY-LAYER HEATING WILL BE NOTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM THE HIGH PLAINS, NOSING NORTHEAST INTO CENTRAL OK. WITH SEASONALLY COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT, VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT OVER WESTERN OK AS TEMPERATURES SOAR THROUGH THE 80S INTO THE LOWER 90S. THIS WILL ALLOW SURFACE PARCELS TO REACH THEIR CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES BY 21-22Z. WITH FRONTAL CONVERGENCE, THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INITIATE A BIT EARLIER ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST KS THEN GROW UPSCALE WITHIN A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS (MLCAPE IN EXCESS OF 4000 J/KG). THERE IS INCREASING CONCERN THAT A POTENTIALLY DAMAGING SQUALL LINE WILL MATURE OVER EASTERN OK THEN SURGE SOUTH INTO NORTHEAST TX. EARLY IN THE CONVECTIVE CYCLE, SCATTERED SUPERCELLS MAY BE OBSERVED; HOWEVER, STRONG FRONTAL FORCING SHOULD ALLOW THESE STORMS TO ORGANIZE AND SURGE SOUTH WITHIN A VERY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS OK EXHIBIT THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES FAVORABLE FOR VERY LARGE HAIL. SEVERE WINDS WILL LIKELY MATERIALIZE AS THE FRONTAL SQUALL LINE MATURES AND SURGES SOUTH. FOR THESE REASONS, HAVE INTRODUCED A MODERATE RISK FOR EASTERN OK INTO NORTHEAST TX. UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE SQUALL LINE WARRANTS HIGHER SEVERE PROBABILITIES EAST OF I-35. HOWEVER, THIS MAY BE ADJUSTED WEST A BIT IN LATER OUTLOOKS IF NECESSARY. SEVERE SQUALL LINE SHOULD SPREAD INTO NORTHEAST TX, POSSIBLY TRAILING WEST INTO THE METROPLEX DURING THE MID-LATE EVENING HOURS. ..MIDWEST STRONG LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL SPREAD INTO THE MID-MS VALLEY REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS EXIT REGION OF UPPER JET SHIFTS ACROSS IA. DIFFLUENT HIGH-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD OVERSPREAD THIS REGION WHICH SHOULD AID SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM MO, NORTH TO NEAR THE SURFACE LOW. LATEST SHORT-RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE/CAMS ARE FAIRLY AGGRESSIVE IN DEVELOPING SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION, POSSIBLY SUPERCELLULAR, WITHIN AN INCREASINGLY SHEARED REGIME. WHILE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS INITIALLY A BIT DRY, RAPID BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTENING IS EXPECTED ACROSS MO INTO IL AHEAD OF THE WIND SHIFT. THIS SHOULD ALLOW SUBSTANTIAL BUOYANCY TO EVOLVE THAT WOULD SUPPORT POTENTIALLY ORGANIZED SUPERCELLS. LARGE HAIL, DAMAGING WINDS, AND A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH PRE-FRONTAL SUPERCELLS. ..DARROW/WENDT.. 04/28/2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted April 28, 2020 Share Posted April 28, 2020 1 hour ago, MUWX said: I think we see an expansion of the 30% hatched hail, and a 45% hatched wind added for Oklahoma/Arkansas/north Texas. I’m surprised there isn’t more talk about this event Nailed the MDT risk location. And yeah, I guess it’s just because it’ll probably be more of a hail/damaging wind event, and maybe that just does not interest people much. I think it’s been mentioned, but it’s a bit of an odd setup for late April for the plains. Reminds me more of a June setup that you’d see in N KS/S NEB. Going out somewhere east of ICT tomorrow, totally ready for the awful road network in that area to screw me over. Besides, only expecting about two or maybe three hours of chasing before the line starts to accelerate too far south for me to want to chase it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted April 28, 2020 Author Share Posted April 28, 2020 Meanwhile, the storm trekking through southern DFW is severe warned and has been dropping ping pong ball sized hail. Preview of later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 28, 2020 Share Posted April 28, 2020 10% tor added on 1300 SPC OTLK for eastern Oklahoma into W AR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted April 28, 2020 Share Posted April 28, 2020 4 hours ago, cheese007 said: Meanwhile, the storm trekking through southern DFW is severe warned and has been dropping ping pong ball sized hail. Preview of later? Pretty impressive hail swath across the metroplex early this morning. Maxed out around 2" in Hurst I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted April 28, 2020 Share Posted April 28, 2020 4 hours ago, cheese007 said: Meanwhile, the storm trekking through southern DFW is severe warned and has been dropping ping pong ball sized hail. Preview of later? Was so disoriented when my weather radio woke me up that I thought it was Tuesday night/Wednesday morning already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted April 28, 2020 Share Posted April 28, 2020 Moderate risk is substantially bigger this update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted April 28, 2020 Share Posted April 28, 2020 Moderate risk expanded both north and south, 10% tornado/45% wind expanded and 45% hail area added on new day 1. Quote DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1126 AM CDT TUE APR 28 2020 VALID 281630Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT FOR EASTERN OK...EXTREME WESTERN AR...AND NORTH CENTRAL/NORTHEAST TX... ..SUMMARY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS, SOME GREATER THAN 75 MPH, LARGE HAIL, AND A FEW TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF THE OZARKS INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE METROPOLITAN AREAS OF TULSA AND OKLAHOMA CITY WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE SEVERE STORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING, AND DALLAS-FORT WORTH OVERNIGHT. ..MO/KS/OK THIS AFTERNOON INTO EAST TX/LA/MS OVERNIGHT RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS SPREADING NORTHWARD FROM TX TO OK AND SOUTHEAST KS, SOUTH OF A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS KS, AND WEST OF THE MORNING CONVECTION FROM TEXARKANA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE SABINE RIVER. THIS MOISTENING IS OCCURRING BENEATH A PLUME OF VERY STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES NEAR 9 C/KM. SURFACE HEATING IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT WILL BOOST MLCAPE INTO THE 2500-3500 J/KG RANGE FROM SOUTHWEST MO INTO SOUTHEAST KS AND CENTRAL/EASTERN OK. CONVECTIVE INHIBITION WILL WEAKEN ALONG THE FRONT BY MID AFTERNOON, WITH RAPID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED NEAR OR JUST AFTER 21Z FROM SOUTHERN KS INTO MO. THE INITIAL STORMS ALONG THE BOUNDARY WILL POSE SOME THREAT FOR TORNADOES, GIVEN STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WITH LARGE BUOYANCY AND VERTICAL VORTICITY ALONG THE BOUNDARY. FAIRLY RAPID UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A LINE IS EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING, WITH STORMS BACK-BUILDING INTO CENTRAL OK. A MIX OF MULTICELLS/BOWING SEGMENTS AND EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE FRONTAL SQUALL LINE. ASIDE FROM A FEW TORNADOES WITH CIRCULATIONS WITHIN THE LINE, THE LARGE CAPE/STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT WILL FAVOR BOTH LARGE HAIL (ESPECIALLY WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS), AND INTENSE DOWNBURSTS WITH WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS. CONVECTION WILL LIKELY SURGE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD TONIGHT ACROSS EASTERN OK/AR INTO EAST TX, WITH THE THREAT FOR FAIRLY WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUING. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE EASTERN EXTENT OF THE GREATER SEVERE THREAT TOWARD THE MS RIVER LATE TONIGHT, GIVEN THE RESIDUAL INFLUENCE OF THE ONGOING SABINE RIVER STORMS AND POSSIBLE DISRUPTIONS IN DESTABILIZATION. ..UPPER/MIDDLE MS VALLEY REGION THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING THE PRIMARY SYNOPTIC CYCLONE WILL MOVE EASTWARD ALONG THE IA/MN BORDER TOWARD SOUTHERN WI TODAY, IN ADVANCE OF A PRONOUNCED LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIKEWISE MOVING EASTWARD OVER MN/IA. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE MORE LIMITED COMPARED TO AREAS FARTHER SOUTHWEST, BUT SURFACE HEATING IN CLOUD BREAKS AND BOUNDARY-LAYER DEWPOINTS OF 56-60 F WILL SUPPORT MLCAPE OF 500-1000 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON. MASS RESPONSE TO CYCLOGENESIS WILL MAINTAIN VERTICAL SHEAR/HODOGRAPHS FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS IN ADVANCE OF THE CYCLONE AND TRAILING COLD FRONT, WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR A COUPLE OF TORNADOES, AS WELL AS ISOLATED LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS. ..EAST TX INTO SOUTHERN LA TODAY AN ONGOING, LOOSELY ORGANIZED CLUSTER OF STORMS NEAR THE SABINE RIVER MAY PERSIST WELL INTO THE AFTERNOON, WITH A TENDENCY FOR NEW DEVELOPMENT ON THE SOUTH FLANK OF THE CLUSTER AS THE LOW LEVELS WARM AND MOISTEN FROM THE SOUTH. MODERATE-STRONG BUOYANCY WILL SUPPORT STRONG UPDRAFTS WITH MARGINAL HAIL POTENTIAL, THOUGH RATHER MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR SUGGESTS THAT MULTICELL CLUSTERS WILL BE THE MAIN CONVECTIVE MODE. LIKEWISE, OCCASIONAL DOWNBURST WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ..CENTRAL/EASTERN NE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING THE PRIMARY SYNOPTIC FRONT WILL BE LOCATED EAST OF THIS AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH A LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH. HOWEVER, A SECONDARY FRONTAL SURGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL/EASTERN NE THIS AFTERNOON IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE PRIMARY AMPLIFYING MIDLEVEL TROUGH (NOW OVER THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS, AS DENOTED BY THE BAND OF RAIN NOW MOVING INTO NORTHWEST NE). THERE WILL SUFFICIENT RESIDUAL LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FOR WEAK SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY THIS AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF THE SECONDARY FRONTAL SURGE. SOME LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT, WHERE STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL FAVOR STRONG/ISOLATED DAMAGING OUTFLOW GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. ..THOMPSON/LYONS.. 04/28/2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 28, 2020 Share Posted April 28, 2020 3 hours ago, radarman said: Pretty impressive hail swath across the metroplex early this morning. Maxed out around 2" in Hurst I think. Is that from the MRMS web site? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted April 28, 2020 Share Posted April 28, 2020 59 minutes ago, Chinook said: Is that from the MRMS web site? No it's just something I whipped up this morning from the CASA radar derived hail product in DFW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted April 28, 2020 Share Posted April 28, 2020 First noteworthy MD of the event Mesoscale Discussion 0484 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0155 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2020 Areas affected...southeast Kansas...eastern Oklahoma...southwest Missouri...northwest Arkansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 281855Z - 282130Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Storms will develop by 21Z along and ahead of a cold front, and quickly become severe. Damaging hail, wind, and a few tornadoes are all possible. DISCUSSION...A surface trough extends from western OK northeastward across IA, with a low over northwest OK at 19Z. Meanwhile, a stronger cold front was surging across central KS, and across the Panhandles. Strong instability has developed near the surface trough, beneath very steep lapse rates aloft. Early and midday soundings show 700-500 mb lapse rates to around 9 C/km, beneath modest northwest flow aloft. Meanwhile, southery surface winds are maintaining mid 60s F dewpoints south of the cold front, resulting in strong instability. Storms are likely to develop along and ahead of the surging front over KS, and become severe as they encounter the stronger instability. Large hail is likely initially, transitioning to damaging winds. Initial cellular activity may produce a brief tornado. As the storms move southward across eastern OK, access to greater low-level SRH may yield a few tornadoes, perhaps with cells in the line or brief QLCS. Farther west, steep low-level lapse rates exist over western OK and northwest TX, and this may help to eventually break the cap as the wind shift moves south toward I-40 later today. While a capping inversion does exist, the western fringe of the frontal storms will likely be severe, producing damaging hail and wind. ..Jewell/Thompson.. 04/28/2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted April 28, 2020 Share Posted April 28, 2020 TOR warning in SE TX, south/southwest of Houston, separate from the main system TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 222 PM CDT TUE APR 28 2020 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN FORT BEND COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS... SOUTHWESTERN BRAZORIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 245 PM CDT. * AT 222 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR WEST COLUMBIA, MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted April 28, 2020 Share Posted April 28, 2020 9 minutes ago, TexMexWx said: TOR warning in SE TX, south/southwest of Houston, separate from the main system TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 222 PM CDT TUE APR 28 2020 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN FORT BEND COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS... SOUTHWESTERN BRAZORIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 245 PM CDT. * AT 222 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR WEST COLUMBIA, MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. Which just had a confirmed tornado not even 2 weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted April 28, 2020 Share Posted April 28, 2020 Just now, Calderon said: Which just had a confirmed tornado not even 2 weeks ago. Yup, same area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 28, 2020 Share Posted April 28, 2020 Very high wind and hail probs on the new tornado watch. Sent from my SM-G973U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted April 28, 2020 Share Posted April 28, 2020 Tornado warning for areas west of Elk City for embedded rotation in the line. We'll probably see quite a bit of that today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted April 28, 2020 Share Posted April 28, 2020 A bit outside this subforum I think, but the storm north of Peoria, IL has a look to it, can't see much else at the moment other than large hail showing up. Edit: Ehh I don't know I can't see the velocity and after the next scan makes it look a little less organized on reflectivity? Honestly don't know. Hail core still there for sure. I don't know much about the environment around it either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted April 28, 2020 Share Posted April 28, 2020 Now a TOR warning in N OK and another in Louisiana in a separate storm complex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 28, 2020 Share Posted April 28, 2020 Here is what I found for the MRMS calculated hail swath across DFW (one-hour only). Color bar is in millimeters, so 25mm = 1" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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