powderfreak Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 On 4/26/2020 at 3:32 PM, OceanStWx said: Stringing things out is definitely a problem, we need the rates for something special below 1000 ft. But the HRRR tends to be a little too warm in the boundary layer, so likely has trouble producing snow. Expand Yeah I think for even 1000ft you would want 0.5”< QPF in a 6-hr period to have a shot at high end advisory snows.... I think you’ll have to go to the 1500-2000ft+ mid-slope elevations to get like 0.05”/hr rates to work. But yeah for any shot under 1000ft someone better be putting at least 0.10” per hour through the tipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 On 4/26/2020 at 3:32 PM, OceanStWx said: Stringing things out is definitely a problem, we need the rates for something special below 1000 ft. But the HRRR tends to be a little too warm in the boundary layer, so likely has trouble producing snow. Expand Seems that warm push at 750 just got muted pretty good on 12z gfs. From Mitch to Monads ...WCB could have some nice elevation snows even in southern (CNE) elevated areas ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 On 4/26/2020 at 4:25 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Seems that warm push at 750 just got muted pretty good on 12z gfs. From Mitch to Monads ...WCB could have some nice elevation snows even in southern elevated areas ... Expand Yeah I like bumping up numbers in the Monadnocks. I mean I should because I just updated the forecast to increase amounts there. The consistently dry layer lingering around the DGZ is problematic though, because that will hurt rates. I would like to see some hi-res guidance spitting out 1"/hr, but I'm really not seeing it. That's why I think elevation may have to drive things more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted April 26, 2020 Author Share Posted April 26, 2020 On 4/26/2020 at 4:30 PM, OceanStWx said: Yeah I like bumping up numbers in the Monadnocks. I mean I should because I just updated the forecast to increase amounts there. The consistently dry layer lingering around the DGZ is problematic though, because that will hurt rates. I would like to see some hi-res guidance spitting out 1"/hr, but I'm really not seeing it. That's why I think elevation may have to drive things more. Expand OceanSt, how come you didn't go with a WWA for Grafton County NH? Lots of elevated areas. Most of the population is on the east side of the county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 On 4/26/2020 at 3:46 PM, wxeyeNH said: Matt and Danielle really cherish their privacy and time with their kids. I was cleaning brush along our wall and in front of his driveway yesterday and could see through the woods they were in the yard. I just hesitate to be too neighborly and walking up the driveway to say hi or to ask Matt what he thinks. Expand So he’s a family man now eh? Hopefully a few inches for you. It’s definitely more strung out, unfortunately. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 On 4/26/2020 at 4:51 PM, wxeyeNH said: OceanSt, how come you didn't go with a WWA for Grafton County NH? Lots of elevated areas. Most of the population is on the east side of the county. Expand Who said I'm done with headlines? It was the mid shift's call not mine, but sometimes we don't sample above certain elevations on purpose so as to not skew averages over a zone. Likewise having more CT River elevations can skew us away from impactful amounts of snow where people live. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 On 4/26/2020 at 4:54 PM, CoastalWx said: So he’s a family man now eh? Hopefully a few inches for you. It’s definitely more strung out, unfortunately. Expand That is one heck of a lot of moisture in N Catskills right now Ski Plattekill is snowing on its cam (I believe that’s 2400’ Sw of Albany 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 On 4/26/2020 at 4:54 PM, OceanStWx said: Who said I'm done with headlines? It was the mid shift's call not mine, but sometimes we don't sample above certain elevations on purpose so as to not skew averages over a zone. Likewise having more CT River elevations can skew us away from impactful amounts of snow where people live. Expand That WCB is really going to town West of Albany Was surprised to see some snow on cams around and over 2K SW of ALB already i wonder how that will translate E / NE as far as holding together and rates lots of 33’s around 1800-2k on W U sites in middle of day out there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 On 4/26/2020 at 5:11 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: That WCB is really going to town West of Albany Was surprised to see some snow on cams around and over 2K SW of ALB already i wonder how that will translate E / NE as far as holding together and rates lots of 33’s around 1800-2k on W U sites in middle of day out there Expand You can see it pretty clearly on visible satellite, there's some slantwise instability in there that's probably increasing rates. I'm expecting the bulk of that to slide across my higher terrain areas, but I'm not sure my coast can get into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 Rain snow mix started around noon here. Now over to all snow. Slushy accumulation starting on the porch and on the lawn. 1650 feet. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 Balmy 53.9/27. Wife wants to head back to Lowell. I guess I'll be watching it from my webcam. :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted April 26, 2020 Author Share Posted April 26, 2020 On 4/26/2020 at 5:20 PM, MarkO said: Balmy 53.9/27. Wife wants to head back to Lowell. I guess I'll be watching it from my webcam. :/ Expand Your about the same as me. 52.3/28. This is the time I would be having the family argument . Please can't we just stay till tomorrow? Other half. Let's get out of here before any bad weather! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 On 4/26/2020 at 5:24 PM, wxeyeNH said: Your about the same as me. 52.3/28. This is the time I would be having the family argument . Please can't we just stay till tomorrow? Other half. Let's get out of here before any bad weather! Expand 47.7/23 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted April 26, 2020 Author Share Posted April 26, 2020 Just started snowing on the Killington webcam (2pm) https://www.killington.com/the-mountain/webcams/mountain/north-ridge-cam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 On 4/26/2020 at 5:26 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: 47.7/23 here. Expand Euro has good snows very close to you on 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yukon Cornelius Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 48/33 with some sleet falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 47.5/35.4 mostly rain but some sleet mixing inSent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 I hear rain and sleet, too uninspired to look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 51/23 but you can feel an extra chill in the breeze with every wave of passing virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 On 4/26/2020 at 6:20 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Euro has good snows very close to you on 12z Expand Yeah... 10:1 has 5-6" on Pivotal, Nammy has a couple of inches here as well. Slushy inch is my guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 On 4/26/2020 at 7:29 PM, dendrite said: 51/23 but you can feel an extra chill in the breeze with every wave of passing virga. Expand Yup Very raw. Tick situation ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 On 4/26/2020 at 7:31 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Yup Very raw. Tick situation ok? Expand She’s alive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 Coming down pretty good on the summit of Stratton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 Dang that looks tasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 On 4/26/2020 at 6:20 PM, wxeyeNH said: Just started snowing on the Killington webcam (2pm) https://www.killington.com/the-mountain/webcams/mountain/north-ridge-camSucks, Sugarloaf and Sunday River cams were shut off 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted April 26, 2020 Author Share Posted April 26, 2020 Nam really cuts back qpf here. Very little happens this evening on this run. Every model run is so different. Dews sure dropped 48.7/18. Noticing visibility well to my SW is dropping. Kearsarge and closer ridge lines still below virga levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 On 4/26/2020 at 7:52 PM, The 4 Seasons said: Coming down pretty good on the summit of Stratton. Expand I’m on Stratton mountain right now . 2700’ 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 On 4/26/2020 at 1:51 PM, ineedsnow said: He raises hell in the house lol. We take him out as often as we can.. non weather related but might be moving to belchertown .. not the valley but not the hills . Hopefully more snow though being a little higher Expand They definitely do a little better for snow.....won't be the same down here without you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 On 4/26/2020 at 8:41 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’m on Stratton mountain right now . 2700’ Expand what are you doing there? do you work there? i know its closed due to Covid-19. Is it snowing at 2700? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 On 4/26/2020 at 9:07 PM, The 4 Seasons said: what are you doing there? Expand Edith 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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