OrdIowPitMsp Posted May 21, 2020 Share Posted May 21, 2020 On 5/11/2020 at 10:03 AM, cyclone77 said: Low to mid 90s for central/southern MN on the Euro around day 10. Most of the sub only makes it to the low to mid 80s though. This has aged like milk. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 21, 2020 Share Posted May 21, 2020 3 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said: It appears a wet pattern may be setting up from Texas up through the western subforum region. At least it will finally be warm. I'm really craving some thunderstorms. I think the Gulf of Mexico is trying to expand northward to meet the GLs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 21, 2020 Share Posted May 21, 2020 IL river forecast crest 27.9 here at PIA tomorrow morning before a slow fall starts (only .3 to .6 ft day fall)....flood stage is 18ft...like last year I am worried about more heavy rains falling upstream over the next week..last year had two crests (#5 and 11) but we missed a couple of the big rains (got 2 out of the 4 but missed the middle ones))...any bad luck with training and/multiple hits will spell big trouble.. The 9/2/2008 event (#10) that almost happened with 3-5 inches expected just north..but outlflows pushed that more south into central IL sparing any more river rises here Historic Crests (1) 29.35 ft on 04/23/2013 (2) 28.80 ft on 05/23/1943 (3) 28.70 ft on 03/23/1979 (4) 28.40 ft on 03/07/1985 (5) 28.00 ft on 05/07/2019 (6) 27.94 ft on 03/14/2009 (7) 27.40 ft on 12/09/1982 (8) 27.10 ft on 03/23/1982 (9) 27.09 ft on 06/30/2015 (10) 27.06 ft on 09/20/2008 (11) 26.87 ft on 06/02/2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 21, 2020 Share Posted May 21, 2020 once patterns lock in these days, it's over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted May 21, 2020 Share Posted May 21, 2020 should be a legitimate chance of severe weather Sat-Mon in the subforum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted May 26, 2020 Share Posted May 26, 2020 Next week is looking hot and humid over here. While the northeast US gets stuck under another cool trough, a strong ridge builds into the central US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 28, 2020 Share Posted May 28, 2020 early hints at a real nice llj in the mid range 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted May 28, 2020 Share Posted May 28, 2020 22 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: early hints at a real nice llj in the mid range Middle next week through the weekend is gonna be rockin' 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 28, 2020 Share Posted May 28, 2020 We could use more rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 28, 2020 Share Posted May 28, 2020 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: We could use more rain. Now do one on airline food Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted May 31, 2020 Share Posted May 31, 2020 On 5/28/2020 at 3:07 PM, madwx said: Middle next week through the weekend is gonna be rockin' Bring it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 If the Euro holds, we'll be writing off this Month and even July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 9 minutes ago, Spartman said: If the Euro holds, we'll be writing off this Month and even July. I think you have seen the highest temp you will have all year. Maybe until 2030. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 11 minutes ago, Hoosier said: I think you have seen the highest temp you will have all year. Maybe until 2030. so pleasant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 I hope the remnants of Cristobal can track northward enough to drop some good rain here. It's too rare. You guys farther east in the subforum get this kind of thing much more often. The GFS brings it up across Iowa, but the Euro veers it east into the Ohio Valley/eastern Lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 11 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: I hope the remnants of Cristobal can track northward enough to drop some good rain here. It's too rare. You guys farther east in the subforum get this kind of thing much more often. The GFS brings it up across Iowa, but the Euro veers it east into the Ohio Valley/eastern Lakes. you're welcome too it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 22 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: I hope the remnants of Cristobal can track northward enough to drop some good rain here. It's too rare. You guys farther east in the subforum get this kind of thing much more often. The GFS brings it up across Iowa, but the Euro veers it east into the Ohio Valley/eastern Lakes. Definitely true. Frequency of remnant systems drops off as you get northwest of the Ohio Valley, and it's really rare as you get west of the Mississippi River north of I-80. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 20 minutes ago, Baum said: you're welcome too it. I know you guys in Illinois have gotten walloped by rain systems this spring, but we haven't. We could use a good soaker today. A week from now, when Cristobal lifts through the central US, we will really need a soaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 4 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: I know you guys in Illinois have gotten walloped by rain systems this spring, but we haven't. We could use a good soaker today. A week from now, when Cristobal lifts through the central US, we will really need a soaker. Yup. I've had duck families in my backyard pond each of the past 3 Mays. But, I don't have a pond. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 18 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: I know you guys in Illinois have gotten walloped by rain systems this spring, but we haven't. We could use a good soaker today. A week from now, when Cristobal lifts through the central US, we will really need a soaker. yeah its strange, even though we had a wet May we are teetering on the edge here. Some areas have flooded fields yet some areas already have cracks in the soil 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted June 2, 2020 Author Share Posted June 2, 2020 21 minutes ago, madwx said: yeah its strange, even though we had a wet May we are teetering on the edge here. Some areas have flooded fields yet some areas already have cracks in the soil It is really weird. Over here we are probably good on rain for a little bit yet while over by La Crosse they are in Abnormally Dry already. If it weren't for the last 2 weeks or so we would be in the same boat, and we may very well be after tonight depending on where the edge of the ridge sets up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 It's easy to see who has been dumped on and who hasn't over the last month or two. Chicago through Michigan has been bulls-eyed. Many of the rest of of us, not so much. There is certainly no drought, but some widespread MCS action from the plains into MN/IA would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
outflow Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 Not everyday do you see the gfs showing a 970mb low just north of lake superior in june... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, outflow said: Not everyday do you see the gfs showing a 970mb low just north of lake superior in june... I think the ingestion of Cristobal causes it to go a little crazy on that run. Not that it wouldn't have been a deep system without that interaction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
outflow Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, Hoosier said: I think the ingestion of Cristobal causes it to go a little crazy on that run. Not that it wouldn't have been a deep system without that interaction. Covid, murder hornets,riots what the hell might as well throw in a november like bomb in june to the list of 2020 accomplishments. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 The Euro is much farther nw with the Cristobal low this run. Models are really deepening the system somewhere in the lakes region. No doubt the track will flop around many times as the system hangs out down in the tropics for the next few days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 We don't see it very often with remnant systems in this part of the country but depending on how it evolves/phases, there could be a legit damaging wind threat with this thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 bring it 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
outflow Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: We don't see it very often with remnant systems in this part of the country but depending on how it evolves/phases, there could be a legit damaging wind threat with this thing. And it woule be a very high impact event since this will be with trees in full leaf out vs the typical late season bare tree type event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 9 minutes ago, outflow said: And it woule be a very high impact event since this will be with trees in full leaf out vs the typical late season bare tree type event Excellent point. A few of the past big wind makers from remnant systems were in September or October. Still have a lot of leaves on the trees then but being in June the leaves aren't even getting close to the point of dropping. Many model runs to go, but that Euro run would be a considerable impact event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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