powderfreak Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I'd prob take the Euro and nudge it slightly north....I've seen it a bit too far south a several times this winter and it's the furthest south right now. The old 70/30 compromise. Something like a EURO/RGEM/GGEM/NAM blend? The 12z GFS looks sort of like the odd one out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Something like a EURO/RGEM/GGEM/NAM blend? The 12z GFS looks sort of like the odd one out. And for once it looks the most logical by typical systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 16, 2020 Author Share Posted April 16, 2020 25 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Something like a EURO/RGEM/GGEM/NAM blend? The 12z GFS looks sort of like the odd one out. Yeah I'd prob just take the Euro and slightly bump it north...maybe 10-20 miles. We'll see though...it could be right. Ukie was pretty far south too like Euro and it just bumped north a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I'd prob just take the Euro and slightly bump it north...maybe 10-20 miles. We'll see though...it could be right. Ukie was pretty far south too like Euro and it just bumped north a bit. Will do you see Monday’s coastal as having potential for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I'd prob just take the Euro and slightly bump it north...maybe 10-20 miles. We'll see though...it could be right. Ukie was pretty far south too like Euro and it just bumped north a bit. I'm almost afraid to say what model it's from, but this is sort of what I would start with. Maybe a little higher in N.ORH county and then always can have some spot 4-7" amounts. But a widespread 2-6" seems like a conservative place to start from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 16, 2020 Author Share Posted April 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Will do you see Monday’s coastal as having potential for snow Longshot...it's possible, but for anything meaningful, it needs to throw the CCB back better...really curl those midlevels up. Right now they stay kind of elongated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 12zHerpes/6zEuro are furthest south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 Freak pulling for south of pike and Will pulling north where he lives. Euro will decide 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Freak pulling for south of pike and Will pulling north where he lives. Euro will decide I like your spot and elevation for this. Enjoy! I hope iceberg get something out of this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 16, 2020 Author Share Posted April 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Freak pulling for south of pike and Will pulling north where he lives. Euro will decide I'm in a great spot on the Euro too...might be near jack when you account for fronto/QPF biases on the models. I'm just objectively trying to determine what is more likely....the Euro being 100% correct at the southern envelope of guidance, or somewhat of a compromise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 I’ll be honest with you. I’d prefer to steal all of you muthufukkas snow.... 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 16, 2020 Author Share Posted April 16, 2020 Just now, weathafella said: I’ll be honest with you. I’d prefer to steal all of you muthufukkas snow.... Your extra 100-150 feet on that weenie hill compared to your old place may serve you well in this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I like your spot and elevation for this. Enjoy! I hope iceberg get something out of this one. Will seems to think this not a good spot. The way the winter went I’m sure that’s what will happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 Wrf ARw2 is pretty cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Your extra 100-150 feet on that weenie hill compared to your old place may serve you well in this one. I’ll do a weenie drive from my place to the old digs to compare. You can see it with car temperatures every day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 Euro coming north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 That seems like a sizable move Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 Robust! Canal crusher! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 Rain south of 90? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Rain south of 90? Certainly not for you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 I usually fade Jerry’s pbp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 That's pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 Actually close by 925 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: I usually fade Jerry’s pbp Not this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 That’s some sweet mids! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 That's a nice pike band I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: That seems like a sizable move Of course when it’s the snowiest solution here it jerks north 36 hours out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Of course when it’s the snowiest solution here it jerks north 36 hours out Bigger front end so it didn't matter really for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Bigger front end so it didn't matter really for you. Hopefully we snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 16, 2020 Author Share Posted April 16, 2020 Kind of annoying that pivotal isn't updating anymore. I liked their 925mb temps, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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