Baroclinic Zone Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 The forcing along the warm front looks intriguing. Has the makings of a narrow but intense band of snow wherever that ends up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Setting alarm for 1:00 Won't the thunder wake you? I'm thinking 3-4" here in ORH. While time's running short on the southern ticks, there's been nothing indicating they're going to stop/reverse. Oh well. There's always next year. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 I believe if thundersnow is achieved, the area could see snowfall rates exceeding 1"/hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 Best pressure falls are near DE. This could pull the surface low more south. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I believe if thundersnow is achieved, the area could see snowfall rates exceeding 1"/hour Dude. You and your familia are safe and healthy? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Honestly I feel better to the south....lol. Sometimes when guidance shows NE MA getting that cutoff...it can have an effect here. My latitude is such where I'm going to get close to what BOS gets for QPF..maybe a bit more. We'll see. Perhaps guidance is not resolving it right and it goes further to the NE. Digging into the 18z EURO, the forcing is strengthening and slowing down between Kev and your area. Northern CT into SE Mass probably will have a radar that's blossoming and slowing down a bit. Just simply the 1-hr QPF progs show generally lighter stuff over New York/PA this evening.... Then it blows up into this large area of heavy precipitation... a 3-4 hour from Eastern CT to SE Mass sees 0.10" or more per hour bucket rates and that's what you want to see for snow accumulations in marginal set-ups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 Just now, powderfreak said: Digging into the 18z EURO, the forcing is strengthening and slowing down between Kev and your area. Like northern CT into SE Mass probably will have a radar that's blossoming and slowing down a bit. Just simply the 1-hr QPF progs show generally lighter stuff over New York/PA this evening.... Then it blows up into this large area of heavy precipitation... a 3-4 hours from Eastern CT to SE Mass sees 0.10" or more per hour bucket rates and that's what you want to see for snow accumulations in marginal set-ups. Right along the frontal boundary. Looks like our little critter gets a little shot of juice from the Atlantic as it exits 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Dude. You and your familia are safe and healthy? Yeah, we are great. My grandma broke both feet in separate incidents over the last six months. I heard her heart is not the best. they believe she fell both times due to the rhythm being off. Other then her, everyone is healthy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Right along the frontal boundary. Looks like our little critter gets a little shot of juice from the Atlantic as it exits I was just about to mention that Bob. The surface low gets going south of RI. With the arced warm front from northwest to southeast, a little inflow gets going from the southeast of ACK into the area along the north side of the warm front. Lift is quite powerful for a three to five hour period which coincides with the lowest visibilities below .25 mile over the Cape and SE MA. That could overcome the boundary layer, but yet again the marine influence is lessened this time of year as the waters are much colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Honestly I feel better to the south....lol. Sometimes when guidance shows NE MA getting that cutoff...it can have an effect here. My latitude is such where I'm going to get close to what BOS gets for QPF..maybe a bit more. We'll see. Perhaps guidance is not resolving it right and it goes further to the NE. I like your O/U there, seems about right. I'll lean marginally over. Qpf is there for you on the 18z euro if you get the forcing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 8 minutes ago, wx2fish said: I like your O/U there, seems about right. I'll lean marginally over. Qpf is there for you on the 18z euro if you get the forcing. We pray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 12 minutes ago, wx2fish said: I like your O/U there, seems about right. I'll lean marginally over. Qpf is there for you on the 18z euro if you get the forcing. Looks a little generous in light of the southern shifts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 18, 2020 Author Share Posted April 18, 2020 00z rap went wild. Zonked up the system again after like 3 runs of weaker/south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 NAM looks pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 If Greenfield gets more than 3” I’ll be ecstatic. The hills shouldn’t have a problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 11 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Looks a little generous in light of the southern shifts. You’re in a great spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: NAM looks pretty good. Cuts back on the southern edge, so did HRRR. As BOX thought. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: NAM looks pretty good. Keeps flakes in the air well into daylight along MA/NH border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 Just now, Greg said: Ooh, the psychedelic map from BOX. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Ooh, the psychedelic map from BOX. They aren't that bad with their forecast. Sometimes they see things a little bit before others. Not saying it's correct but you have to wonder what they see to post this by 8:11PM tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 DIT is going to pull a 6”+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 Just now, Greg said: They aren't that bad with their forecast. Sometimes they see things a little bit before others. Not saying it's right but you have to wonder what they see to post this by 8:11PM tonight. Oh I know I was just joking about the squished map image you posted. Maybe it just looks like that on my iPhone? but it’s kind of funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 1 minute ago, Greg said: They aren't that bad with their forecast. Sometimes they see things a little bit before others. Not saying it's right but you have to wonder what they see to post this by 8:11PM tonight. BOX maps were pretty good this winter imho. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Oh I know I was just joking about the squished map image you posted. Maybe it just looks like that on my iPhone? but it’s kind of funny. Yes the image is a riot .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Yes the image is a riot .. Makes me a little dizzy actually. Could be the 11% barley wine I’m drinking tho 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Makes me a little dizzy actually. Could be the 11% barley wine I’m drinking tho Lol I thought my eyes were crossed..it is dizzying. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 10 minutes ago, Greg said: They aren't that bad with their forecast. Sometimes they see things a little bit before others. Not saying it's correct but you have to wonder what they see to post this by 8:11PM tonight. He’s not referring to the forecast. The resolution is tripped out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 8 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: BOX maps were pretty good this winter imho. I agree, pretty solid here except for the December storm we over preformed by a lot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted April 18, 2020 Share Posted April 18, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: He’s not referring to the forecast. The resolution is tripped out. I know. I just don't know why. It looks fine from my computer terminal here. Oh, well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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