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4/17-18 snow threat


ORH_wxman
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  On 4/16/2020 at 4:50 PM, powderfreak said:

Something like a EURO/RGEM/GGEM/NAM blend?  The 12z GFS looks sort of like the odd one out.

 

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Yeah I'd prob just take the Euro and slightly bump it north...maybe 10-20 miles. We'll see though...it could be right. Ukie was pretty far south too like Euro and it just bumped north a bit.

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  On 4/16/2020 at 5:17 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah I'd prob just take the Euro and slightly bump it north...maybe 10-20 miles. We'll see though...it could be right. Ukie was pretty far south too like Euro and it just bumped north a bit.

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I'm almost afraid to say what model it's from, but this is sort of what I would start with.  Maybe a little higher in N.ORH county and then always can have some spot 4-7" amounts.  But a widespread 2-6" seems like a conservative place to start from?

icon.jpg.f17f2629d621e317a41fc3c5ffe2f0a6.jpg

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  On 4/16/2020 at 5:36 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Freak pulling for south of pike and Will pulling north where he lives. Euro will decide 

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I'm in a great spot on the Euro too...might be near jack when you account for fronto/QPF biases on the models. I'm just objectively trying to determine what is more likely....the Euro being 100% correct at the southern envelope of guidance, or somewhat of a compromise?

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