ORH_wxman Posted April 15, 2020 Share Posted April 15, 2020 Decided to start a new thread for this one since we're now inside of 3 days and it's looking pretty decent for a burst of moderate to heavy snow over a chunk of SNE and perhaps CNE. There's actually a pretty vigorous shortwave with this, although positive tilted which will prevent it from wrapping up too much. But there should be a nice ribbon of ML fronto associated with it and perhaps an attempt to prolong the precip with a developing CCB late in the game. Here's the 12z Euro below. The diurnal timing is pretty good for accumulations as this is mostly a nighttime event, though it will linger into morning/midday in eastern areas. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2020 Share Posted April 15, 2020 Snow maps similar to 00z and 6z with 6-9” in hills 2 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 15, 2020 Author Share Posted April 15, 2020 Here is 925mb...starts a little warm down south, but cools quickly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted April 15, 2020 Share Posted April 15, 2020 woah. 1" would be impressive here, nevermind the 4-5" it's showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted April 15, 2020 Share Posted April 15, 2020 20 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: woah. 1" would be impressive here, nevermind the 4-5" it's showing. Euro is pretty bullish right to the beaches. A 3-5” snowfall in this area in late April would be memorable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 15, 2020 Share Posted April 15, 2020 That was a pretty good ECM run for you guys. That would get it done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 15, 2020 Share Posted April 15, 2020 That northern CT and southern ORH area with elevation I can see doing really well with this. It’s also coming at a ideal time for this late in the season. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted April 15, 2020 Share Posted April 15, 2020 Meh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted April 15, 2020 Share Posted April 15, 2020 I need 0.5" to break 30" YTD, otherwise I'm not interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted April 15, 2020 Share Posted April 15, 2020 I can't recall or site any plowable snow past 4/15 down here, ever. The big late one i remember and im sure most of you know is 5/9-10/1977, where the litchfield hills picked up over 20" of snow. Other than that i don't know of any really late ones down here in CT. Not to say it can't happen of course. Just speaking historically. Now if theres any pattern or storm this late in the season, it's this one. I think the NW and NE hills have a pretty reasonable shot at accumlating/plowable snow. Everyone else in the valley or southern CT is most likely going to miss this one. I didn't dig too deep into it but those are just my thoughts glancy at a few models and panels. 3-6" near and above 1K in NW/NE is certainly possible. I would be keeping a close eye on it if you're in those areas. Some posters from NW hills and Kevin of course. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 15, 2020 Share Posted April 15, 2020 22 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: I can't recall or site any plowable snow past 4/15 down here, ever. The big late one i remember and im sure most of you know is 5/9-10/1977, where the litchfield hills picked up over 20" of snow. Other than that i don't know of any really late ones down here in CT. Not to say it can't happen of course. Just speaking historically. Now if theres any pattern or storm this late in the season, it's this one. I think the NW and NE hills have a pretty reasonable shot at accumlating/plowable snow. Everyone else in the valley or southern CT is most likely going to miss this one. I didn't dig too deep into it but those are just my thoughts glancy at a few models and panels. 3-6" near and above 1K in NW/NE is certainly possible. I would be keeping a close eye on it if you're in those areas. Some posters from NW hills and Kevin of course. couple years ago we had one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted April 15, 2020 Share Posted April 15, 2020 2016 featured a plowable snow during the daylight hours in early April... only thing comparable I can think of. This even would be like 10-14 days later 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted April 15, 2020 Share Posted April 15, 2020 8 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: 2016 featured a plowable snow during the daylight hours in early April... only thing comparable I can think of. This even would be like 10-14 days later Yeah. I think that was in 4/6/16 IIRC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 15, 2020 Author Share Posted April 15, 2020 43 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: I can't recall or site any plowable snow past 4/15 down here, ever. The big late one i remember and im sure most of you know is 5/9-10/1977, where the litchfield hills picked up over 20" of snow. Other than that i don't know of any really late ones down here in CT. Not to say it can't happen of course. Just speaking historically. Now if theres any pattern or storm this late in the season, it's this one. I think the NW and NE hills have a pretty reasonable shot at accumlating/plowable snow. Everyone else in the valley or southern CT is most likely going to miss this one. I didn't dig too deep into it but those are just my thoughts glancy at a few models and panels. 3-6" near and above 1K in NW/NE is certainly possible. I would be keeping a close eye on it if you're in those areas. Some posters from NW hills and Kevin of course. 4/28-29/87 had warning criteria in far NE CT. 17.0” fell at ORH but towns like Union down to Tolland had 8-10”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2020 Share Posted April 15, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 4/28-29/87 had warning criteria in far NE CT. 17.0” fell at ORH but towns like Union down to Tolland had 8-10”. I remember that though I lived in Vernon. Was that a similar setup to this or more of a coastal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 15, 2020 Author Share Posted April 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I remember that though I lived in Vernon. Was that a similar setup to this or more of a coastal? Not really like this one. That one was a pseudo redeveloper on a sharply diving in shortwave from the lakes. Produced huge qpf though. Almost had an IVT type feature that enhanced it. The craziest part of the ‘87 storm was that most of the snow accumulated during peak insolation....like between noon and 6pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted April 15, 2020 Share Posted April 15, 2020 Snow threat 2 days away, in April no less, and there are hardly any replies on this thread. Without the Corona, this thread would be 2 or 3 pages long by now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2020 Share Posted April 15, 2020 26 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Not really like this one. That one was a pseudo redeveloper on a sharply diving in shortwave from the lakes. Produced huge qpf though. Almost had an IVT type feature that enhanced it. The craziest part of the ‘87 storm was that most of the snow accumulated during peak insolation....like between noon and 6pm. That caused a lot of power /tree issues didn’t it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 15, 2020 Share Posted April 15, 2020 22 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Snow threat 2 days away, in April no less, and there are hardly any replies on this thread. Without the Corona, this thread would be 2 or 3 pages long by now. Its April You have to elevation for this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 15, 2020 Share Posted April 15, 2020 5 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Euro is pretty bullish right to the beaches. A 3-5” snowfall in this area in late April this winter would be memorable Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 Nice mood enhancer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 16, 2020 Author Share Posted April 16, 2020 18z euro holding steady. Still thinking there could be a narrow stripe of plows or snowfall on that look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 19 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Its April You have to elevation for this storm Still, its a discussion. I linger in the NNE threat discussions 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 11 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Unreal. I have half that lol Half of .5"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z euro holding steady. Still thinking there could be a narrow stripe of plows or snowfall on that look. Thinking the 84 to pike zone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 16, 2020 Author Share Posted April 16, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Thinking the 84 to pike zone? That’s as good a zone as any right now. Maybe sneaking up to NH/VT southern borders. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That’s as good a zone as any right now. Maybe sneaking up to NH/VT southern borders. Does 18z euro still maintain the hang back feature? I always find those curling looks in the mid levels to perform very well...even over perform in some cases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 48 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Its April You have to elevation for this storm Not at night you don't if it's cold enough 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 I want to use my snowblower one last time.. next week might be interesting too! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2020 Share Posted April 16, 2020 18 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Does 18z euro still maintain the hang back feature? I always find those curling looks in the mid levels to perform very well...even over perform in some cases. Lean back .... lean back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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