Amped Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 And remember the EURO doesn't have to loose the bomb for weenie suicieds. All it has to do is develop it weaker and further Northeast like the GFS and it will only be a boring Cape cod coastal grazer like the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 GGEM 84HRS. Swing and a miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 ggem is a little funny here... at 72hr has a low se of NewOrleans in the gom and then 12 hrs later at 84hr is off the NC coast? The real low is prob around FL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Oy vey, I shouldn't have even looked at the 00z models. The shortwave is now ashore...better sampling data, etc. I'd be shoked if the Euro held through this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 00Z GFS ensemble mean west of the OP, FYI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 again with the more JI waanna be .... the euro will have to chnage tonight idiot posters... didnt we see all of your guiys SCREAM this last nite for hours ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 ggem no snow for hardly anyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 ggem is a little funny here... at 72hr has a low se of NewOrleans in the gom and then 12 hrs later at 84hr is off the NC coast? The real low is prob around FL. th soithern stream s/w on the 0z dec 23 GGEM disppears at 36-48 hrs THAT is where the Model screws up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 GEFS is not bad looking tonight through 72. LOOK AT 84! BOOM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutWX Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 00Z GFS ensemble mean west of the OP, FYI. Wow ya your right, significantly stonger signal than the past ensembles. First piece of good news all night. 84 hr http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/00zgfsensemblep12084.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 72 0z vs 78 18z. Potentail problem. Troff not cornering off over LA. Missing the key point the southern s/w has GOT to be clsoe off or nearly close off the 0zz ggem and gfs do NOT have this the euro runs do the 18z gfs almost did southern closd 500 Low slower BIG storm... euro is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I thought it was typical for the GEFS to be east of the OP? This would be a significant symbol....no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 th soithern stream s/w on the 0z dec 23 GGEM disppears at 36-48 hrs THAT is where the Model screws up yea i see it... esp hr 60. hmmm only model consistent really has been the euro no question about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I thought it was typical for the GEFS to be east of the OP? This would be a significant symbol....no? It sometimes is. It might mean the OP is too far east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Missing the key point the southern s/w has GOT to be clsoe off or nearly close off the 0zz ggem and gfs do NOT have this the euro runs do the 18z gfs almost did southern closd 500 Low slower BIG storm... euro is right WHY? Why is the Euro right? Don't the GGEM and GFS now have better data? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Hold off on the suicides, weenies. GFS ensemble mean looks really damn good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I thought it was typical for the GEFS to be east of the OP? This would be a significant symbol....no? they usually are yes, I think its significant fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 12g ens vs 0z ens baby steps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 WHY? Why is the Euro right? Don't the GGEM and GFS now have better data? Having better data does not mean the model is going integrate it correctly and accurately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Hold off on the suicides, weenies. GFS ensemble mean looks really damn good. Hopefully some of them already jumped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Hold off on the suicides, weenies. GFS ensemble mean looks really damn good. looks like there's no option now but to stay up for the Euro ughhh, I need some sleep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Still ignoring East coast La Nina climo? Not wise my fellow idiot poster. You may want to rethink this post. The weather pattern we have been is has hardly been acting like a La Nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Having better data does not mean the model is going integrate it correctly and accurately. Someone said the RAOB data from one of the reporting stations does not do 0Z. Wonder if that could have effected the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 WHY? Why is the Euro right? Don't the GGEM and GFS now have better data? WHAT??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 You may want to rethink this post. The weather pattern we have been is has hardly been acting like a La Nina. he has 72 hours to rethink his post so he has plenty of time anyone else want to follow post like he did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 So, nightly UKMET rumor-mongering aside, anyone know what it actually did? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Someone said the RAOB data from one of the reporting stations does not do 0Z. Wonder if that could have effected the run. It is believed that this resulted in the 500 wave being open on the initialization, this could have had some impact, but I doubt anything major. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 he has 72 hours to rethink his post so he has plenty of time anyone else want to follow post like he did I bet I could get some sleep then!!! Working on 8 hours of sleep over last 3 nights. Hey, Midlo, you gonna do the Euro in this thread tonight?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Missing the key point the southern s/w has GOT to be clsoe off or nearly close off the 0zz ggem and gfs do NOT have this the euro runs do the 18z gfs almost did southern closd 500 Low slower BIG storm... euro is right My point was that the Shortwave on the 18z basically reformed the shotwave futher southwest when that energy dug due south into LA. IF it digs SE instead of due south it results in the storm much further northeast an much earlier. And the 500MB low closing off Lake Erie instead of North Carolina. Not saying it will be correct but we need that first northern vortmax further SW for the EURO to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 So, nightly UKMET rumor-mongering aside, anyone know what it actually did? Headed to Mecca. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.