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0Z Guidance Discussion 12/23/2010


Dr No

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Guest someguy

again with the more JI waanna be .... the euro will have to chnage tonight idiot posters...

didnt we see all of your guiys SCREAM this last nite for hours ?

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Guest someguy

ggem is a little funny here... at 72hr has a low se of NewOrleans in the gom and then 12 hrs later at 84hr is off the NC coast? The real low is prob around FL.

th soithern stream s/w on the 0z dec 23 GGEM disppears at 36-48 hrs

THAT is where the Model screws up

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Guest someguy

72 0z vs 78 18z. Potentail problem. Troff not cornering off over LA.

Missing the key point

the southern s/w has GOT to be clsoe off or nearly close off

the 0zz ggem and gfs do NOT have this

the euro runs do

the 18z gfs almost did

southern closd 500 Low slower BIG storm... euro is right

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Missing the key point

the southern s/w has GOT to be clsoe off or nearly close off

the 0zz ggem and gfs do NOT have this

the euro runs do

the 18z gfs almost did

southern closd 500 Low slower BIG storm... euro is right

WHY? Why is the Euro right? Don't the GGEM and GFS now have better data?

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Missing the key point

the southern s/w has GOT to be clsoe off or nearly close off

the 0zz ggem and gfs do NOT have this

the euro runs do

the 18z gfs almost did

southern closd 500 Low slower BIG storm... euro is right

My point was that the Shortwave on the 18z basically reformed the shotwave futher southwest when that energy dug due south into LA.

IF it digs SE instead of due south it results in the storm much further northeast an much earlier. And the 500MB low closing off Lake Erie instead of North Carolina. Not saying it will be correct but we need that first northern vortmax further SW for the EURO to verify.

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