Reale WX Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 992 off NC coast at 90 hrs.. trough much broader Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 90 sub 992 just east of hse closed h5 over app mtns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ender Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Well, at least the MA can now rest. Sanity has returned... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 90 low 50 miles off hat back edge of the snow is to ric Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 thing is flying now compared to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 GFS just got some mojo back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 984 100 miles east of va capes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 102 it gets captured....hammering nyc-sne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Can't say I feel one way or the other at this point. We had to expect that the Euro would waver at some point. Like someone said on the radio show tonight...no way it holds the same solution until the event. If it holds tomorrow and the American models continue to show just east of ideal...then that's just how it goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutWX Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Cant believe after 6 straight runs of hits, Euro caves to GFS. Guess this can still move back west some, but I think the dreams of monster bomb from before are well out of reach, except for those north of the MA i guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 102 968mb NEngland looks to be getting nailed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reale WX Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 102 it gets captured....hammering nyc-sne That is correct.. just a little quicker this run and trough a bit more broad. I hope people dont start giving up on this yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 this is not a bad run at all! i agree not as good as 12z, but it is good still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg81988 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 can anyone post the qpf values for the mid atlantic cities? thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 108 just west of the benchmark 980 PHL-ORH this is a good hit....Bos has mixing issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 108 964mb south of cape cod well inside the benchmark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 Not sure how 75 miles is much of a waver... I guess it just brings NorthPitt's blizzard line from Wheeling to Johnstown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I'll say it again, I don't want to see a megastorm at 120 hours. Nearly impossible for any model can hold that forecast for 5 days. My money is on the NAM at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 114 976 just east of boston....mod snow from nyc-Maine....prob over in nyc by the end of hr 114 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 In retrospect, slower NRN stream and Faster southern stream were bad trends That NRN stream needs time to dig so the 500mb low can close further South Still looking okay SE of I95 and it (Edit): Does back in and clobber NE. Lesson Learned. Strong Ninas will find a way to suck for the MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 Cant believe after 6 straight runs of hits, Euro caves to GFS. Guess this can still move back west some, but I think the dreams of monster bomb from before are well out of reach, except for those north of the MA i guess. Awful post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 through hr 114 bos 1" nyc 1" philly 0.50' dc .10 ric .25 orf 1" not much at all in west central va md Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherweather Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I know earlier in the thread midlo you had posted images showing that the uk gfs and nam had initialized the s/w slightly east/weak. Did the euro do this too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Cant believe after 6 straight runs of hits, Euro caves to GFS. Guess this can still move back west some, but I think the dreams of monster bomb from before are well out of reach, except for those north of the MA i guess. Way too early to make such a statement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ender Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 can anyone post the qpf values for the mid atlantic cities? thanks! Lol. Ok. RIC is maybe .15" DC, BWI are .1" - .15" Philly looks to be .5" The eastern third of NJ through NYC is .5" to >.75" Once you get to SW CT it's >1" For now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 preciep......orhwxman says that sv maps might be a bit genrouse with liquid.....but this is fwiw DC .10 PHL .50+ NYC close to a inch liquid BOS 1.75+ not all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Wasn't this Op Euro run closer to it's recent ensemble means whereas the last two runs were western outliers (compared to their respective means)? This type of solution had to be inevitable given the recent ensembles. If this run is near the ensemble mean for tonight, the MA is still not out of it but SNE and NNE have the cone shifting in their direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 through hr 114 bos 1" nyc 1" philly 0.50' dc .10 ric .25 orf 1" not much at all in west central va md Quick inland cities (SYR, ALB, State College, BTV??) Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 This is a huge change in qpf totals for the Mid-Atlantic. Let's hope the other models trend west and the EURO hops back on board. EURO couldn't keep the same solution for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Wasn't this Op Euro run closer to it's recent ensemble means whereas the last two runs were western outliers (compared to their respective means)? This type of solution had to be inevitable given the recent ensembles. If this run is near the ensemble mean for tonight, the MA is still not out of it but SNE and NNE have the cone shifting in their direction. The GFS ensembles have been shifting west the last several runs, so again, no reason to jump off a bridge. The 12Z NAM will be telling... EDIT: ensemble mean has been shifting west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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