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April 12 Severe Event


joshwx2003
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1 minute ago, BrandonC_TX said:

Surprised those storms from Meridian to Tuscaloosa are not stronger.  Inflow should be somewhat unimpeded.  Not that I would want them to be any stronger; I have relatives of my family that live in the Eutaw, AL area.

I wouldn’t write this area off yet 

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Just now, MUWX said:

Anyone heard any reports out of the path of either of the big tornados? I haven’t heard or seen anything about bassfield. 

A chaser got in and was able to see the damage. Looked almost certainly EF-4 damage there, but I honestly think it could have been an EF-5

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KFFC Whitfield GA-Walker GA-Chattooga GA-
833 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2020

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN WHITFIELD...SOUTHEASTERN WALKER AND NORTHEASTERN
CHATTOOGA COUNTIES...

At 832 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Suttles Mill, or
near Lafayette, moving northeast at 35 mph
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https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0368.html

Mesoscale Discussion 0368
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0736 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020

   Areas affected...southeast Mississippi/central and southern Alabama

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 110...

   Valid 130036Z - 130200Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 110 continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe/tornado risk continues across WW 110.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a couple of rotating cells
   moving east-northeastward across the northwestern corner of the WW
   at this time -- i.e. Greene/Sumter County area in Alabama.  The
   broader band of convection that includes these storms extends
   south-southwestward into eastern Louisiana, where a few
   well-organized storms are occurring.  This convection will spread
   into western portions of WW 110 over the next hour -- sustained by
   an axis of 1500 to 2000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE over the southwestern
   corner of Alabama.  Given the background kinematic environment that
   remains strongly supportive of supercells, severe risk -- including
   potential for tornadoes -- continues.

   ..Goss.. 04/13/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MOB...JAN...LIX...
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3 minutes ago, ingyball said:

A chaser got in and was able to see the damage. Looked almost certainly EF-4 damage there, but I honestly think it could have been an EF-5

Would be first EF5 since the Moore, OK tornado of 2013. Feels like that was another century...

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7 minutes ago, BrandonC_TX said:

Tuscaloosa reporting 72/70, so there is plenty of humidity around.  While the circulation near Union is weakening, the situation could change quickly given other parameters.

That storm doesn't seem to be in an overly favorable tornado environment atm. Low level lapse rates/3km cape are poor. I certainly wouldn't let my guard down in Tuscaloosa though. Things can change fast

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New Tornado watch coming downstream of the N GA one shortly -- https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0369.html

Mesoscale Discussion 0369
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0741 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020

   Areas affected...northern GA...far southeast TN...and western
   portions of NC

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 112...

   Valid 130041Z - 130145Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 112 continues.

   SUMMARY...Damaging wind/tornado risk is expanding into the
   southwestern TN area and adjacent portions of the western Carolinas.
    A new tornado watch will be issued.

   DISCUSSION...A long-lived, well-organized cluster of storms that has
   maintained tornadic potential despite the marginal thermodynamic
   environment, continues moving northeastward across northwestern
   GA/WW 112.  Given the organization of the storms, it appears that
   damaging wind/tornado risk will continue spreading into western
   portions of North Carolina and far southeastern Tennessee.  A new,
   small tornado watch will be issued shortly, downstream from WW 112.

   ..Goss.. 04/13/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...
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