michsnowfreak Posted April 11, 2020 Share Posted April 11, 2020 7 minutes ago, weatherbo said: I did not know that. On average 20 inches of glacier pack is left. A little more/less in some spots. We had a lot of graupel showers here on Thursday afternoon. They always remind me of dippin dots lol. Mlive posted an article about it, and I too did not realize what it was until they posted this. We ended up having regular snowflakes Thursday evening so there was still "real" snow lol, but now next time I see Fall or Spring graupel I will know that that technically is snow, unlike sleet or hail (even though sleet or even hail technically counts in the snow column of weather records). https://www.mlive.com/weather/2020/04/is-it-hail-is-it-sleet-no-its-graupel-falling-from-the-sky.html?utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=aanews_sf&utm_source=facebook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted April 11, 2020 Share Posted April 11, 2020 18z NAM (and other models) continues to pick up on a lake enhanced band of snow as the storm departs. This run NAM goes nuts with 3.5' of snow. Will be interesting to see hi-res models this evening. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tim from Springfield (IL) Posted April 11, 2020 Share Posted April 11, 2020 Now a SVR warned cell in far western Illinois, on track to affect areas between Macomb and Monmouth: Severe Thunderstorm Warning ILC067-071-109-187-112315- /O.NEW.KDVN.SV.W.0037.200411T2225Z-200411T2315Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL 525 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2020 The National Weather Service in the Quad Cities has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northeastern Hancock County in west central Illinois... Southern Henderson County in west central Illinois... Southern Warren County in west central Illinois... Northern McDonough County in west central Illinois... * Until 615 PM CDT. * At 524 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Disco, or 12 miles north of Carthage, moving east at 50 mph. HAZARD...Quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected. * Locations impacted include... Bushnell, La Harpe, Roseville, Dallas City, Blandinsville, Good Hope, Prairie City, Terre Haute, Raritan, Sciota, Colusa, Adrian, Little Swan Lake, Disco, Walnut Grove, Greenbush, Lomax, Scottsburg, Warren County Fairgrounds and Swan Creek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted April 11, 2020 Share Posted April 11, 2020 Since I'm less seasoned in winter weather, what do the odds of snow look like for Northern Ohio? I have people going nuts thinking a blizzard is coming in 48-72 hrs. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 11, 2020 Author Share Posted April 11, 2020 17 minutes ago, Floydbuster said: Since I'm less seasoned in winter weather, what do the odds of snow look like for Northern Ohio? I have people going nuts thinking a blizzard is coming in 48-72 hrs. I think they have been misinformed. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted April 11, 2020 Share Posted April 11, 2020 17 minutes ago, Floydbuster said: Since I'm less seasoned in winter weather, what do the odds of snow look like for Northern Ohio? I have people going nuts thinking a blizzard is coming in 48-72 hrs. looking like no snow except for some snow showers possible during the week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted April 11, 2020 Share Posted April 11, 2020 Good. There was some guy who posted computer models and showed pressures near 966 mb over the Great Lakes. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tim from Springfield (IL) Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 More active than expected in Western Illinois today. Hoping that is not a precursor to tomorrow despite currently being in a Marginal Risk in central Illinois. Severe Thunderstorm Warning now immediately to my west for a rogue warned cell southwest of Jacksonville. If it continues to hold it could clip the south side of Springfield in about an hour: BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Lincoln IL 657 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2020 The National Weather Service in Lincoln has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southeastern Scott County in west central Illinois... Southwestern Sangamon County in central Illinois... Southeastern Morgan County in west central Illinois... * Until 745 PM CDT. * At 656 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Murrayville, or 7 miles east of Winchester, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...Quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected. * Locations impacted include... Jacksonville, Alexander, New Berlin, Waverly, Loami, Franklin, Murrayville, Woodson, South Jacksonville, Thayer, Berlin, Lynnville, Nortonville, Lowder and Lake Jacksonville. This includes Interstate 72 between mile markers 57 and 69, and between mile markers 75 and 89. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 A bit of a surprise, hopefully can get something a bit north of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tim from Springfield (IL) Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 New Severe Thunderstorm Warning that now includes Springfield and southern Sangamon County: BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Lincoln IL 731 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2020 The National Weather Service in Lincoln has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northwestern Christian County in central Illinois... Southern Sangamon County in central Illinois... * Until 815 PM CDT. * At 730 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Loami, or 9 miles north of Virden, moving east at 45 mph. HAZARD...Quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected. * Locations impacted include... Springfield, Taylorville, Chatham, Auburn, Rochester, Pawnee, Kincaid, Divernon, Edinburg, Loami, Bulpitt, Jeisyville, Southern View, Thayer, Tovey, Berry, Curran, Sangchris Lake State Park, Glenarm and Sharpsburg. This includes the following highways... Interstate 55 between mile markers 77 and 94. Interstate 72 between mile markers 94 and 100. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 Niece is in Auburn and said they have .5-.75" hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 Nothing but a brief shower and some thunder from the storm to the south. Sounded like a fun one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIstorm97 Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 The Lakeshore Flood Warning for GRR's CWA is...something. "IMPACTS...Significant erosion of beaches and dunes is expected. A loss of property is expected, with any buildings near the edge of the dune in danger of possibly falling. Any preparedness activities to mitigate damage should be taken today." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 Have run to Negaunee today for some extra gas for the generator, I'm thinking. This is gonna be a doozy. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishforsnow Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 19 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: I was checking and current snow depths in the upper peninsula, and snow is for the most part gone except in the higher elevations. And those same elevations will jackpot this storm. Pretty much gone here in Hancock except for bigger piles from plowing, blowing snow, or scooped off roofs. Twin Lakes on the other hand still has quite of bit but there is some bare ground showing where it isn't shaded by trees. My fathers driveway is pretty much melted off except in front of the garage and that is pure ice. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 Been MIA for awhile, lots of non COVID related stuff happening in life for me lately. Have had steady light snow this morning, nothing heavy besides a few bouts of bigger fluffy flakes but we've accumulated a 1/2" on the deck and grassy surfaces. Helping refresh my nearly melted driveway piles. The metro reached 60 yesterday and we've had some warmer days this spring then the past few years so soil temperatures are running in the mid 40s. I think my backyard will be 20-ish miles northwest of the heavier bands, already been missed to the south by better returns this morning. The Minnesota River seems to be the dividing line. The GFS really whiffed one this one with its southern solution. At least the 3k NAM picked up on the trends as soon as it got into range. Hoping for 4-6" IMBY. Could be our 3rd year in a row with a 6" storm in April. I think someone between Red Wing and Rochester will pick up 12" Can't wait to see those 3' totals up by you Bo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 Beautiful weekend morning.Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Man Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 18 minutes ago, kevlon62 said: Beautiful weekend morning. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk We've lucked out for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 35 minutes ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: Been MIA for awhile, lots of non COVID related stuff happening in life for me lately. Have had steady light snow this morning, nothing heavy besides a few bouts of bigger fluffy flakes but we've accumulated a 1/2" on the deck and grassy surfaces. Helping refresh my nearly melted driveway piles. The metro reached 60 yesterday and we've had some warmer days this spring then the past few years so soil temperatures are running in the mid 40s. I think my backyard will be 20-ish miles northwest of the heavier bands, already been missed to the south by better returns this morning. The Minnesota River seems to be the dividing line. The GFS really whiffed one this one with its southern solution. At least the 3k NAM picked up on the trends as soon as it got into range. Hoping for 4-6" IMBY. Could be our 3rd year in a row with a 6" storm in April. I think someone between Red Wing and Rochester will pick up 12" Can't wait to see those 3' totals up by you Bo. This is getting ridiculous. 4 feet? I'm starting to worry about possible roof issues. Snow has started 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighTechEE Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 Has the first PDS this year been issued for the gulf coast states? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 Just now, HighTechEE said: Has the first PDS this year been issued for the gulf coast states? I was wondering about that too. Could this also be the year’s first high risk if one’s issued? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 19 hours ago, weatherbo said: 18z NAM (and other models) continues to pick up on a lake enhanced band of snow as the storm departs. This run NAM goes nuts with 3.5' of snow. Will be interesting to see hi-res models this evening. Wow, good luck up there! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 9 minutes ago, HighTechEE said: Has the first PDS this year been issued for the gulf coast states? To my knowledge, yes. EDIT: Come to think of it, a PDS watch might have been issued on 3/28 in IL/IA/MO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, RobertSul said: I was wondering about that too. Could this also be the year’s first high risk if one’s issued? Also yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 12, 2020 Author Share Posted April 12, 2020 Yeah we have already had PDS this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 Just now, Hoosier said: Yeah we have already had PDS this year. And I was lucky enough to be in it.' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 34 minutes ago, RobertSul said: I was wondering about that too. Could this also be the year’s first high risk if one’s issued? 31 minutes ago, Powerball said: Also yes. The SPC is sticking with a moderate outlook in the latest update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 2 hours ago, weatherbo said: This is getting ridiculous. 4 feet? I'm starting to worry about possible roof issues. Snow has started I really highly doubt 4' as those models always have clown totals in big storms. However that said, I have no doubt your area will come in as the jackpot like often does. The strongest storms seem to hit your area outside the Winter months, and these strong storms which cause lower ratios for most folks pound you in the higher elevations with higher ratios. I was telling my mom about how much snow you are expecting, she still remembers the great time we had when we went up to your area, went to that cafe and everything. I forget, what actual town do you live in? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 55 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: I really highly doubt 4' as those models always have clown totals in big storms. However that said, I have no doubt your area will come in as the jackpot like often does. The strongest storms seem to hit your area outside the Winter months, and these strong storms which cause lower ratios for most folks pound you in the higher elevations with higher ratios. I was telling my mom about how much snow you are expecting, she still remembers the great time we had when we went up to your area, went to that cafe and everything. I forget, what actual town do you live in? Not just higher ratios, it wrings out the moisture with added lift as well.. Compare precip totals, not just the difference in snow amounts. There is a bias in the wrf's to boost the upslope component, but I've noticed when most all hi-res agree on an idea, it usually comes close to fruition. I'm expecting 25-30" with the possibility of higher amounts, especially if you look at how the models arrive at the heavy totals, with an enhanced lake band setting up as the storm departs. I'm not near a town. I live in the north part of Ishpeming township but have a Big Bay address and PO box. I consider "my town" to be Negaunee, even tho It's quite a trek because of having to drive around the 11 mile long Dead River Basin. I can ride the sled to Negaunee in half the time it takes driving, by crossing the frozen basin just north of Negaunee. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 It's too bad this system is moving through the region in split form. Instead of one powerhouse low, we get a northern piece and southern piece. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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