hawkeye_wx Posted November 12, 2020 Share Posted November 12, 2020 The HMON and HWRF are farther north with Iota, tracking it wnw through the nw Caribbean. Their farther north initial development has something to do with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 12, 2020 Share Posted November 12, 2020 The EPS has quite a members that support the GFS intensity and make landfall further west than the OP or GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdgwx Posted November 12, 2020 Share Posted November 12, 2020 HWRF, HMON, COAMPS, and experimental HAFS all have 98L attaining cat 4 intensity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted November 12, 2020 Share Posted November 12, 2020 For what it is worth, the second post on the Eta forum by yoda (who has my respect): Interesting if you go back to the beginning of the Eta thread and relive a few pages. We got our 2020 storm in Tampa Bay. May Iota leave us all alone! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted November 13, 2020 Share Posted November 13, 2020 26 minutes ago, Prospero said: For what it is worth, the second post on the Eta forum by yoda (who has my respect): Interesting if you go back to the beginning of the Eta thread and relive a few pages. We got our 2020 storm in Tampa Bay. May Iota leave us all alone! It would have to get over quite a ridge to make it up to the CONUS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted November 13, 2020 Share Posted November 13, 2020 18 minutes ago, cptcatz said: It would have to get over quite a ridge to make it up to the CONUS Hope it does not change! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted November 13, 2020 Share Posted November 13, 2020 49 minutes ago, Prospero said: For what it is worth, the second post on the Eta forum by yoda (who has my respect): Interesting if you go back to the beginning of the Eta thread and relive a few pages. We got our 2020 storm in Tampa Bay. May Iota leave us all alone! Respecting yoda 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted November 13, 2020 Share Posted November 13, 2020 11 minutes ago, the ghost of leroy said: Respecting yoda Hell, I even respect you ghost! Call me crazy! Weather is my passion, ever since before I could spell it! (No that was not HS, it was when I was 3 or 4 years old!) Put me in a room with storm geeks and I am happy. Same with a room full of Dead Heads. Good times and a wild mix of personalities and experience. Guess tropical discussions are almost over for the season. Will jump into blizzards next, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 13, 2020 Share Posted November 13, 2020 12 hours ago, cptcatz said: It would have to get over quite a ridge to make it up to the CONUS That HP system is transient. Really not a major influence. Need to look at upper levels. H5 H2. A upper level ridge may keep it from heading to far west but eventually NW. 15 hours ago, bdgwx said: HWRF, HMON, COAMPS, and experimental HAFS all have 98L attaining cat 4 intensity. SSTs are still pretty warm very possible it does. Very favorable upper levels also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted November 13, 2020 Share Posted November 13, 2020 15 hours ago, the ghost of leroy said: Respecting yoda i am waiting for people to start respecting me ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 13, 2020 Share Posted November 13, 2020 GFS now has an Otto-like storm developing behind Iota in the far sw Caribbean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted November 13, 2020 Share Posted November 13, 2020 Looks like even 2020 is gonna add a historic "I" storm after the fact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted November 13, 2020 Share Posted November 13, 2020 5 minutes ago, Floydbuster said: Looks like even 2020 is gonna add a historic "I" storm after the fact. And it doesn't care one Iota that it's November 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted November 13, 2020 Share Posted November 13, 2020 1 hour ago, Maestrobjwa said: And it doesn't care one Iota that it's November I know this sounds crazy...but I wouldn't be shocked if there were still MORE storms after this. Maybe a few more name wasters out at sea, and another Western Caribbean hurricane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted November 13, 2020 Share Posted November 13, 2020 24 minutes ago, Floydbuster said: I know this sounds crazy...but I wouldn't be shocked if there were still MORE storms after this. Maybe a few more name wasters out at sea, and another Western Caribbean hurricane. At this point I'm kinda expecting it...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted November 13, 2020 Share Posted November 13, 2020 There's a pretty decent signal for another TC development next weekend. One ensemble member has a major going into Miami. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted November 13, 2020 Share Posted November 13, 2020 There's a pretty decent signal for another TC development next weekend. One ensemble member has a major going into Miami."Major in Miami"2020 GEFS long range stays the same as past yearsSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted November 16, 2020 Author Share Posted November 16, 2020 ACE is now at 170. Probably going to hit 180 if Iota rapidly deepens into a Cat 4. The Greek list has been a season in of itself. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 What's the closest geographical distance for two major hurricane landfalls inside a month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldsborosnow Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 16 hours ago, Windspeed said: ACE is now at 170. Probably going to hit 180 if Iota rapidly deepens into a Cat 4. The Greek list has been a season in of itself. Is there a way to tell how much ACE the regular names were responsible for vs how much the Greek names were responsible for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 53 minutes ago, goldsborosnow said: Is there a way to tell how much ACE the regular names were responsible for vs how much the Greek names were responsible for? So far: 101.7 for regular 72.7 greek Got these from http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/Realtime/ 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 40% blob now where the lemon was this morning. Unreal 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 1 hour ago, cheese007 said: 40% blob now where the lemon was this morning. Unreal I wonder, this being 2020, will we finally have a measurable snowstorm in the Tampa Bay area this year? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 On 10/21/2020 at 8:16 PM, the ghost of leroy said: This year underachieved. That’s what I hate about it. It could have been so much better. Yea. This has been lame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, Rjay said: Yea. This has been lame. Zeta, eta, and iota have all kicked ass 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 Are we done? Is that it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 4 hours ago, Prospero said: I wonder, this being 2020, will we finally have a measurable snowstorm in the Tampa Bay area this year? Implied 60% chance the 2020 Hurricane season is done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 Advertisement for the 2020 hurricane season Only 1 of these 30 storms will make it to category 5. Which one will it be? Spend 6 months watching the whole friggen season to find out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 Link just shared with me of "live" conditions in the eyewall from Nick Panico (he's not there, himself): https://www.facebook.com/ProfeciasMundiales/videos/401497981040549/ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 10 minutes ago, ncforecaster89 said: Link just shared with me of "live" conditions in the eyewall from Nick Panico (he's not there, himself): https://www.facebook.com/ProfeciasMundiales/videos/401497981040549/ Those are some of the strongest winds I've ever seen live on video. Unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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