das Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 There could be three tropical storms (or stronger) in the Atlantic basin at the same time in the middle of November. Incredible. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted November 10, 2020 Author Share Posted November 10, 2020 97L... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 16 minutes ago, Windspeed said: 97L... I mean...didn't they name less than that? (Alpha, lol) Time for a name, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 52 minutes ago, Windspeed said: 97L... STS Theta it is at 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 It's official: We broke the record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 Looks like Honduras/Nicaragua are going to be under the gun this weekend again from tropical activity Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 AM EST Tue Nov 10 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Eta, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico and on newly formed Subtropical Storm Theta, located over the eastern Atlantic. 1. A tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This wave is expected to move westward into more conducive environmental conditions, and a tropical depression could form late this week or this weekend when the wave reaches the central or western Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 16 minutes ago, yoda said: Looks like Honduras/Nicaragua are going to be under the gun this weekend again from tropical activity Zeta > Eta > Theta > Iota? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 The way 2020 is going. We will probably be dealing with a TC or STC around Christmas time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 16 minutes ago, FLweather said: The way 2020 is going. We will probably be dealing with a TC or STC around Christmas time. Xi on Xmas? LOL 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 At least Theta isn't a U.S. threat. Having Eta and Theta active at the same time is confusing enough as it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 The general rule for when hurricane season ends is when a cold front gets all the way to Puerto Rico. The crazy thing is we've had just one cold front here in Southeast Florida, and temperatures did not even drop below 70 F. This is highly unusual. Sometimes we'd get our first real cold front in mid-late September, almost always we get the first real cold front in October, this year it's now mid-November and we haven't had a real cold front. Further, no cold fronts at all expected for over a week. In-fact, I don't recall this ever happening in my life before. By now we should have had a few cold fronts and winter/dry season should be solidly underway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 4 minutes ago, turtlehurricane said: The general rule for when hurricane season ends is when a cold front gets all the way to Puerto Rico. The crazy thing is we've had just one cold front here in Southeast Florida, and temperatures did not even drop below 70 F. This is highly unusual. Sometimes we'd get our first real cold front in mid-late September, almost always we get the first real cold front in October, this year it's now mid-November and we haven't had a real cold front. Further, no cold fronts at all expected for over a week. In-fact, I don't recall this ever happening in my life before. By now we should have had a few cold fronts and winter/dry season should be solidly underway. LOL, some people on another forum were insisting the Gulf coast was now safe from hurricanes for the rest of the season because some cold fronts had come through back in late September or so. We saw how that worked out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 98L classified in the eastern Caribbean. Could have three named storms in the next few days in mid-November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 How are SSTs and OHC in the W. Caribbean right now? Eta spent a while crawling there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 4 hours ago, turtlehurricane said: The general rule for when hurricane season ends is when a cold front gets all the way to Puerto Rico. The crazy thing is we've had just one cold front here in Southeast Florida, and temperatures did not even drop below 70 F. This is highly unusual. Sometimes we'd get our first real cold front in mid-late September, almost always we get the first real cold front in October, this year it's now mid-November and we haven't had a real cold front. Further, no cold fronts at all expected for over a week. In-fact, I don't recall this ever happening in my life before. By now we should have had a few cold fronts and winter/dry season should be solidly underway. It's very unusual I'm up in PA and we've had 4 days where our record high temps have been completely smashed. It's been so warm this october and november that spring flower bulbs are coming back up again. It does look like we're going to see at least a few more systems this month and possibly even december. I mean 2005 did give us systems until early january... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 2005 was better by a long shot, it wasn't even close. I really wish 2020 would just concede already, and congratulate 2005 on it's hard fought victory. 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 10 minutes ago, Amped said: 2005 was better by a long shot, it wasn't even close. I really wish 2020 would just concede already, and congratulate 2005 on it's hard fought victory. You can't declare that until every last legal ACE number is counted. There are still storms to be tallied and the NHC hasn't certified the totals yet. Plus I could see 2020 not conceding until we get the post-season analysis updates. This can be a long drawn out battle... 4 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted November 11, 2020 Author Share Posted November 11, 2020 You can't declare that until every last legal ACE number is counted. There are still storms to be tallied and the NHC hasn't certified the totals yet. Plus I could see 2020 not conceding until we get the post-season analysis updates. This can be a long drawn out battle...I see what you did there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 You guys deserve cookiesSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bhs1975 Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 I guess you could say 2020 Trumps 2005 lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 Looks like #30 is coming soon... possibly this weekend Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 AM EST Wed Nov 11 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Eta, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, and on Tropical Storm Theta, located over the eastern Atlantic. A tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The wave is expected to move slowly westward into more conducive environmental conditions over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this weekend when the wave reaches the central or western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring heavy rainfall along with possible flash flooding to the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and portions of Hispaniola over the next couple of days. For more detailed information, refer to products issued by your local weather office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 Feels like we're stuck in a time loop 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted November 11, 2020 Author Share Posted November 11, 2020 ACE is at 163 for the season. If 98L, possible future Iota develops into a hurricane in the Western Caribbean, that should get us to 170. A little bit of irony in that. Several preseason forecasts for a hyperactive season, including CSU/RAMSDIS had 170 ACE, including myself early in the thread. Thought it unwise to forecast higher as it takes a lot of luck and a number of long-tracking high end intense hurricanes. Of course this season being dominated by near-to-land rapid intensification and weaker TCs, it's still pretty phenomenal we made it to 170. Thank the late season burst of hurricanes for powering ACE upwards. I had actually revised my number down a lot back in early October to around 140. Definitely busted on that...lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted November 12, 2020 Share Posted November 12, 2020 We need to make it to Lambda and have that as our December major that threatens Cuba, Keys and Miami, sorry I did not see a pure banter page for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scorpion Posted November 12, 2020 Share Posted November 12, 2020 908 MB would shatter November record for strongest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted November 12, 2020 Share Posted November 12, 2020 At what point do they stop naming Greek letters and start naming next year's storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted November 12, 2020 Share Posted November 12, 2020 1 hour ago, TriPol said: At what point do they stop naming Greek letters and start naming next year's storms? There are fifteen letters left in the Greek Alphabet after “Iota” is used. Theoretically, they would have to use up the entire Greek Alphabet, first. Since there’s no way we’re getting another 16 “named” TC’s after soon to be “Iota”, we have plenty of names available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted November 12, 2020 Share Posted November 12, 2020 When was the last time there was 3 active TC's in November? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted November 12, 2020 Share Posted November 12, 2020 4 hours ago, TriPol said: At what point do they stop naming Greek letters and start naming next year's storms? January 1, 2021 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 12, 2020 Share Posted November 12, 2020 50-100cm or (20-40" ) of rain along the central America coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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