TradeWinds Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Which one is that, and why the "hmm"? Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Which one is that, and why the "hmm"? Lol You need to learn your coastlines 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 38 minutes ago, the ghost of leroy said: You need to learn your coastlines Man go jump in a gulf...(but don't drown) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 53 minutes ago, TradeWinds said: Thank you for KINDLY zooming that out instead of trolling. I had forgotten there was a disturbance there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 15 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Thank you for KINDLY zooming that out instead of trolling. I had forgotten there was a disturbance there. It’s not trolling. If you want to become a real tropical poster you should be able to recognize the Mexican coastline. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 ECMWF and CMC organize something in the western gulf but at different times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 1 hour ago, the ghost of leroy said: It’s not trolling. If you want to become a real tropical poster you should be able to recognize the Mexican coastline. Didn't know "real tropical poster" was a prerequisite for posting...lol Now I will admit my general geography skills aren't the best, but this I still say the image was kind of a quiz question because of there being no other point of reference visible (I'm used to looking at it in relation to Texas, lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 I can't believe we are gonna hit the Greek names. I don't like changing things set in stone, as our hurricane name lists have been for over 40 years. However, I think adding three additional letters to the Atlantic name lists would be a good way to prevent frequent exhaustion of the name list, as well as media sensationalism. This is already done in the Eastern Pacific. The Eastern Pacific uses the letters X, Y and Z. They have one female name for each letter, and one male name for each letter, and alternate them every two years rather than the way the main name list alternates every six years. I think adding those three letters to the Atlantic lists would be simple, and their infrequent usage and only needing a total of six different names for all six lists would make the situation much easier. So I'm proposing something like this: Any thoughts? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 Xiomara? Is that even a name? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, cptcatz said: Xiomara? Is that even a name? Yes, it's a Spanish female name. It's pronounced: See-Oh-Ma-Rah 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 1 hour ago, cptcatz said: Xiomara? Is that even a name? Evidently you never saw "Jane the Virgin." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 i'm guessing 98L is Wilfred and 99L becomes Subtropical Storm Alpha. according to FSU phase space diagrams the GFS likes 99L for some tropical development and gets it down to around 990 mb before it swings towards Portugal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sojitodd Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 7 hours ago, the ghost of leroy said: You need to learn your coastlines C'mon now I knew where it was and all and recognized the coast but that blue line is not the best representation of the Mexican coast. But again, I also realized...what other coastline would it be? lol. Y'all are so petty to each other on here sometimes. lol I also agree that there are plenty of X, Y, and Z names and they should be used before we...uh...go Greek and all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 2 hours ago, sojitodd said: C'mon now I knew where it was and all and recognized the coast but that blue line is not the best representation of the Mexican coast. But again, I also realized...what other coastline would it be? lol. Y'all are so petty to each other on here sometimes. lol I also agree that there are plenty of X, Y, and Z names and they should be used before we...uh...go Greek and all. Pettiness is my favorite form of gatekeeping. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbolt Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 6 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: Didn't know "real tropical poster" was a prerequisite for posting...lol Now I will admit my general geography skills aren't the best, but this I still say the image was kind of a quiz question because of there being no other point of reference visible (I'm used to looking at it in relation to Texas, lol) Don’t worry he thinks Tallahassee is in central Florida lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, thunderbolt said: Don’t worry he thinks Tallahassee is in central Florida lol central-west florida, whatever the hell that is 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 16 minutes ago, the ghost of leroy said: central-west florida, whatever the hell that is eastern panhandle 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 11 minutes ago, Calderon said: eastern panhandle lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 16, 2020 Author Share Posted September 16, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 That one behind Teddy raises my eyebrows a bit...it'll be an awfully low rider and Teddy has already reminded us you can't take early/pre-invest fishy runs for given even if there isn't a solid ridge across the Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derecho! Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 So INVEST 90L (Bay of Campeche) has been initiated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 16, 2020 Author Share Posted September 16, 2020 ACE is now skyrocketing. We should be over 100 sometime next week. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 Just now, Windspeed said: ACE is now skyrocketing. We should be over 100 sometime next week. Now...if I may ask a rookie question...what exactly is ACE, and how is it measured? (I hear you guys mention ACE so much but I've never really understood it, lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 Honestly we may need a thread for 90L. Looks robust this morning. Models have slowly been picking up on it, albeit weak, but as we just learned: never trust a gulf system. Another slow mover that may eventually work towards the Texas coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Now...if I may ask a rookie question...what exactly is ACE, and how is it measured? (I hear you guys mention ACE so much but I've never really understood it, lol) Accumulated cyclone energy. It's calculated by how long a storm lasts and how intense it gets. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accumulated_cyclone_energy 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, Windspeed said: ACE is now skyrocketing. We should be over 100 sometime next week. Teddy should get us there alone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Someone else make the thread. 90L looks good to develop. I'm exhausted. Yes, it’s a good thing we cancelled this season halfway through August because the globals weren’t picking up on development. I can’t imagine if this had actually turned out to be an active season! 3 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 This season feels similar to 2004 in terms of impacts, however instead of tracking powerful, longtracking canes that usually made landfall past their peak, we've been tracking areas of vorticity and elongated waves that suddenly decide to get their act together within days of landfall 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 10 minutes ago, tiger_deF said: This season feels similar to 2004 in terms of impacts, however instead of tracking powerful, longtracking canes that usually made landfall past their peak, we've been tracking areas of vorticity and elongated waves that suddenly decide to get their act together within days of landfall Some people made comparisons to '05 early on, in terms of not only potential insane storm counts but also the potential of a western basin-based season without many if any strong hurricanes in the open Atlantic east of 50 degrees and south of 20. The intensifying-into-landfall them though was not there that season, although Wilma was at least holding its own on a secondary post-Yucatan peak after its initial, record-breaking one. The only storm in those two apocalyptic seasons that RI'ed into landfall was Charley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tallis Rockwell Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, tiger_deF said: This season feels similar to 2004 in terms of impacts, however instead of tracking powerful, longtracking canes that usually made landfall past their peak, we've been tracking areas of vorticity and elongated waves that suddenly decide to get their act together within days of landfall That's the worst type of development one day, tropical storm, literally 12 hours later it's a cat 2 The new gulf disturbance is in warmest part of the gulf. So that could turn ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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