32º Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 20 minutes ago, Prospero said: Hype > Disappointment 60 years old and whether it is watching weather (hurricanes or blizzards), sports, news, going to parties or concerts, even waking up and checking email, it is the rocket fuel that powers the motivation vehicles every day of my life. Give me crazy highs and horrible lows, spare me mediocrity please. Rather be excited about possibilities that never occur, than apathetic about anything. Waiting for that giant beautiful perfect Cat 5 spinning in the Gulf of Mexico this year but never making landfall or knocking out anyone's power for more than a couple hours. Yet we all feel it from Texas to Key West and have big waves and personal stories to tell. Imagine the Hype > Disappointment while these forums and chasers go crazy with posts! Oh yea! Bring it on, Hype first, then at the last minute Disappointment (and very sincere relief). OK 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Didn't the NWS get the message that the season was over? Hard to avoid if you check this forum on a regular basis! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 1 hour ago, cheese007 said: Didn't the NWS get the message that the season was over? Hard to avoid if you check this forum on a regular basis! Which of those do you think will be equivalent to or better than a category 2 land hurricane like the Iowa derecho? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 Usually a sign of something bad when you see a storm in that in that wind shear pattern this time of year. Looks similar to Maria and Irma. Probably would be way stronger than the 956mb pressure shown if a similar setup verified. 00z GFS and CMC are almost in the same spot with this at hr 210. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 6 hours ago, the ghost of leroy said: Which of those do you think will be equivalent to or better than a category 2 land hurricane like the Iowa derecho? Probably this one? Looks like a bad surge event for Tampa Bay... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 54 minutes ago, cptcatz said: Probably this one? Looks like a bad surge event for Tampa Bay... I know Tampa is highly vulnerable to storm surge. On local news when Charlie was expected to smash Tampa Bay, and also as Irma was looking to run just off the coast into Tampa Bay, mets described the potential for a 30 ft storm surge due to the shallow waters of Tampa Bay being pushed into downtown Tampa. So much of Tampa is merely a few feet above sea-level it would be devastating. I remember the graphics they showed (which I am sure are in their pocket ready to pull out next time a storm is threatening). Is there anywhere more vulnerable than Tampa Bay for storm surge? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
senc30 Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 Looks like the EURO and GFS both have a storm 2 weeks out curving up. GFS sends it to the west side of Florida and euro brings it's easy of Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 Very ominous when the Euro and gfs agree 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
finatic jason Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 11 minutes ago, ldub23 said: Very ominous when the Euro and gfs agree Especially 2 weeks out lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 Happy peak of hurricane season day to all! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 50 minutes ago, cptcatz said: Happy peak of hurricane season day to all! This is why we follow. The bust calls were out of control. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TPAwx Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 3 hours ago, cptcatz said: Probably this one? Looks like a bad surge event for Tampa Bay... I’m in Evac Zone A in Tampa, so while worth monitoring this is way too far out and the trajectory and details will absolutely change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 6z GFS taking an Irma route across the Keys and up the west coast of Florida Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 Is everyone convinced that the weak trough in Canada is going to be enough to weaken the ridge enough that it allows Paulette to escape? A bit of an outlier, but some GEFS members do take Paulette towards the coast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: This is why we follow. The bust calls were out of control. Which of these is going to do anything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 1 minute ago, the ghost of leroy said: Which of these is going to do anything? Who knows this far out Calling a bust far in advance when things are picking up is stupid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: Who knows this far out Calling a bust far in advance when things are picking up is stupid. BUST 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 How do you ignore people on here? I can’t figure it out. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 12z GFS has a rapidly-strengthening hurricane in the eastern Caribbean in a week. I noticed last night's Euro had the system there, but much weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 3 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: 12z GFS has a rapidly-strengthening hurricane in the eastern Caribbean in a week. I noticed last night's Euro had the system there, but much weaker. This sucker is poised to be a major (3rd after Paulette) and I have zero doubt it'll impact the US eventually but all those island interactions will complicate things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 9 minutes ago, NotSureWeather said: How do you ignore people on here? I can’t figure it out. Click on top right of screen, 3 bar icon...select account settings, then ignored users 4 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natedizel Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 2 hours ago, the ghost of leroy said: Which of these is going to do anything? 2 hours ago, the ghost of leroy said: BUST Why does it have to do anything? It's a storm we can track. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 1 hour ago, Dr. Dews said: Click on top right of screen, 3 bar icon...select account settings, then ignored users Thank you very much! I had enough reading a certain someone complaining constantly. I don’t know a ton and I like to read everyone being smart and spreading knowledge. Having to read through constant complaints about something we have no control over is tediously frustrating. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 11 minutes ago, NotSureWeather said: Thank you very much! I had enough reading a certain someone complaining constantly. I don’t know a ton and I like to read everyone being smart and spreading knowledge. Having to read through constant complaints about something we have no control over is tediously frustrating. Dew has been ignore by many folks so he know the function very well. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 13 minutes ago, NotSureWeather said: Thank you very much! I had enough reading a certain someone complaining constantly. I don’t know a ton and I like to read everyone being smart and spreading knowledge. Having to read through constant complaints about something we have no control over is tediously frustrating. Byyye. Enjoy that 354 hour GFS fantasy storm into Tampa. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 35 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: Dew has been ignore by many folks so he know the function very well. that is your logic...:D 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 The 12z Euro has Rene meandering around just north of the MDR, which leads to the new system getting sucked up into the weakness, so no threat to the Caribbean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 The 12z Euro has Rene meandering around just north of the MDR, which leads to the new system getting sucked up into the weakness, so no threat to the Caribbean. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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