the ghost of leroy Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: What I'm saying is that 2005 was 12/5/3 on September 1. Save the outrageously rare phenomena of having not one but two long track majors in July, some of you would have been hating all the storms that developed that season too, save Katrina. We're lucky to get 40-50% of systems turn into eye candy in a given year. I'm not saying that this is the worst season ever, and I get that it's one thing to joke around, but I can't get how some have their expectations so out of whack with this season as to think it's a dud, given that it's objectively on par at this date with some of the biggest we've seen. Can we just let it play out through the peak at least? lol I’m not saying you’re wrong objectively. The season is very active. I am more commenting on the subjective experience that people tracking the tropics feel. I was getting good tingles preseason. If you had told me we’d be to Omar on 9/1 back in the Spring I’d have felt even more excited...but this season is smoking the boof so far. I want better satellite porn, recon that doesn’t turn around and can actually transmit data, daytime landfalls, a solid sub 930 Caribbean cruiser, some MDR threats to Bermuda, and one or two storms threatening Atlantic Canada and the northeast. Some of those will come but I also suspect we are cursed a little. we can revisit after the secondary peak in October. I just hope you aren’t like “it’s 29/8/2...second best season ever” 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 Omar comin' 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 Just wait until we get an actual below average season, I think the season cancel folks might go nuts 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 1 minute ago, OSUmetstud said: Omar comin' A fish tropical storm gotta have a code 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 When a derecho outclasses every storm but one so far, yeah it's been pretty lacking quality wise (then again, that derecho was historic, but I digress). 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 3 US hurricane landfalls (all strengthening on approach), one of the strongest storms to ever hit the US, and being on the “N” storm by September 1st sure doesn’t feel like a season bust!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 2 hours ago, the ghost of leroy said: At least your grandma isn’t dead like both of mine Same here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 What’s skewing the season so far, is the “Build Up.” Anytime all the talk and hype precedes a season (be it hurricane or winter etc etc), it gets folks envisioning their wildest dreams with monster storms galore all over the place. when that doesn’t happen/Or live up to the hype as they imagine it...well, you get the bust calls. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 8 minutes ago, andyhb said: When a derecho outclasses every storm but one so far, yeah it's been pretty lacking quality wise (then again, that derecho was historic, but I digress). hi 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 16 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Omar comin' 14 minutes ago, the ghost of leroy said: A fish tropical storm gotta have a code These two posts win the thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 12 minutes ago, andyhb said: When a derecho outclasses every storm but one so far, yeah it's been pretty lacking quality wise (then again, that derecho was historic, but I digress). Somebody measured a 25 mb pressure drop in 7 minutes in the derecho. You don't even get that drop rate in the eyewall of most (if not all) hurricanes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 Some of you people would find excuses to complain about 2005 if we were back then too "lol Katrina only made landfall as a Cat 3! BUST!" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BYG Jacob Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 21 minutes ago, andyhb said: When a derecho outclasses every storm but one so far, yeah it's been pretty lacking quality wise (then again, that derecho was historic, but I digress). This is coming from meteorologist, seriously? Were you expecting major hurricane in June or July? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 14 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Some of you people would find excuses to complain about 2005 if we were back then too "lol Katrina only made landfall as a Cat 3! BUST!" I am pretty consistent. I remember getting bashed because I thought Dennis was underwhelming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 7 minutes ago, BYG Jacob said: This is coming from meteorologist, seriously? Were you expecting major hurricane in June or July? No, he just appreciates quality because he is Canadian and doesn’t have to swear fealty to the bud light 30 pack of hurricane seasons. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 9 minutes ago, BYG Jacob said: This is coming from meteorologist, seriously? Were you expecting major hurricane in June or July? And I said that where? Learn to read for context please. By no means am I calling for a "season fail" the rest of the way through, but consider some actual, I don't know, statistics. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BYG Jacob Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 Just now, the ghost of leroy said: No, he just appreciates quality because he is Canadian and doesn’t have to swear fealty to the bud light 30 pack of hurricane seasons. What made you think you were going to get anything on your wish list before September? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 Just now, BYG Jacob said: What made you think you were going to get anything on your wish list before September? Nothing I guess. But until some of those happen I won’t defend this season as being “good”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BYG Jacob Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 1 minute ago, andyhb said: And I said that where? Learn to read for context please. By no means am I calling for a "season fail" the rest of the way through, but consider some actual, I don't know, statistics. I can grasp context, you are bemoaning the lack of quality. So, my question was, why on Earth you expect such quality before September? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 3 minutes ago, BYG Jacob said: What made you think you were going to get anything on your wish list before September? I have no clue how people can call this season a bust. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BYG Jacob Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 1 minute ago, the ghost of leroy said: Nothing I guess. But until some of those happen I won’t defend this season as being “good”. We haven't hit peak climo yet. Chill out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: I have no clue how people can call this season a bust. It’s not a bust yet. It’s just also not good or worth going to the mat for simply because we have found 15 closed circulations and some of them did things. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 21 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Somebody measured a 25 mb pressure drop in 7 minutes in the derecho. You don't even get that drop rate in the eyewall of most (if not all) hurricanes. Cedar Rapids is going to be the new Sandy. 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BYG Jacob Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: And off the rails we go I apologize, I just can't understand why people are complaining about the lack of Majors in the Atlantic, especially before peak. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 1 minute ago, OSUmetstud said: Cedar Rapids is going to be the new Sandy. It’s wasnt even the most interesting derecho of the year. That’s my true hot take for this thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 1 minute ago, the ghost of leroy said: It’s wasnt even the most interesting derecho of the year. That’s my true hot take for this thread. The rockies one in June? Idk man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 10 minutes ago, BYG Jacob said: I can grasp context, you are bemoaning the lack of quality. So, my question was, why on Earth you expect such quality before September? I don't know, because expecting more than 1 out of 15 storms through August to be beyond a Category 1 seems reasonable? Again, it's all relative to the amount of actual activity. Sure if we had only 6 named storms by now, it might look more impressive in terms of "quality" if we had 3-4 canes and 1 major. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 3 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: The rockies one in June? Idk man. Much more unusual genesis, nuclear wind gusts too. Spatial coverage exceeds Iowa too. Plus I am deducting some points for performance enhancements like corn dewpoints and more widespread coverage of trees to damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 How many crap storms did we miss in 1933? I know Landsea says something like 1 to 2 per year pre satellite Era but some of those big years back then it must have been even more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BYG Jacob Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 9 minutes ago, andyhb said: I don't know, because expecting more than 1 out of 15 storms through August to be beyond a Category 1 seems reasonable? Again, it's all relative to the amount of actual activity. Sure if we had only 6 named storms by now, it might look more impressive in terms of "quality" if we had 3-4 canes and 1 major. August was either 4/3/1 on formations in August (Isaias formed in July, but wasn't a hurricane until August). No kidding we didn't get a category 2 above hurricane in June and July, that's not how the Atlantic works. EDIT: I totally forgot Arthur and Bertha were in May, point still stands Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now