mappy Posted April 25, 2020 Author Share Posted April 25, 2020 6 hours ago, jaydreb said: More new cases could just be a result of more widespread testing. We probably should be tracking deaths and new hospitalizations. Yeah there are about 1,500 more tests per day the last few days compared to last week. The percentage of positive from tested, are still roughly the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 1 hour ago, ThePhotoGuy said: Haha... So true though! Our parks have been packed the past weeks/months. Record numbers for this time of the year. Hopefully it's not a big problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 1 minute ago, Amped said: Hopefully it's not a big problem. Good info but there are caveats - China's COVID transmission happened in winter, so you wouldn't expect many outdoor outbreaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 2 hours ago, supernovasky said: Hikes, walking, etc are specifically mentioned as exceptions in the stay at home order, so I can see why people are doing it - it's allowed under the rules. But god they have to learn to wear masks and not congregate. There was NO social distancing at the first hiking trail I pulled up to, hence why I left it. I’m not blaming people for being out at parks and things like that. Just seemed like a lot of people in general out and about today and an uptick in traffic for sure. My local Dunkin’ Donuts was off the chain This morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 We had a bit of a nonessential day and went to do driveway visits to family. Got to see my now 6 week old niece for the first time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Folks be wary of the onslaught of "recent studies". Question the source and see if there was a control group. Otherwise the conclusions are likely dubious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 12 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Folks be wary of the onslaught of "recent studies". Question the source and see if there was a control group. Otherwise the conclusions are likely dubious. I read that COVID transmission in the outside environment is highly dependent on weather conditions. Interesting considering this is a wx forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 Everybody stocking up on nicotine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 Another 2k+ deaths today, just extrapolating what the back side of the US curve might look like based on Italy, I can’t see how we’d end up averaging less than 1k per day for a good part or all of May. Good chance we’ll be 80-90k by the end of May. Really terrible but i don’t see how we just drop down super fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 4 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Another 2k+ deaths today, just extrapolating what the back side of the US curve might look like based on Italy, I can’t see how we’d end up averaging less than 1k per day for a good part or all of May. Good chance we’ll be 80-90k by the end of May. Really terrible but i don’t see how we just drop down super fast. That's with current measures being maintained too. States reopening make me think that 100-200k death is still well within likelihood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 This thread is good example of the effects this crap has on people. You got the same folks that come through every morning and get so excited to post new #s and slice and dice data to meet their agenda and cause fear. They are so consumed by the day to day #s that they can no longer step back and look at bigger picture. They get so worked up and pretend like they have it all figured out, while shaming others that don’t buy into the bs. In the end they are just pushing an agenda that they are to too stupid to even realize even doing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 23 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Another 2k+ deaths today, just extrapolating what the back side of the US curve might look like based on Italy, I can’t see how we’d end up averaging less than 1k per day for a good part or all of May. Good chance we’ll be 80-90k by the end of May. Really terrible but i don’t see how we just drop down super fast. The most alarming part to me is that in a flu season we can see 30-60k related deaths. But with covid19 we are already at that upper level range in less than 6 weeks essentially. Sorry if my numbers are slightly.off, going by memory irt influenza seasonal mortality. Eta: and in actuality, most of the deaths from covid19 in the USA have occurred just in the past 4 week period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 5 minutes ago, Rvarookie said: This thread is good example of the effects this crap has on people. You got the same folks that come through every morning and get so excited to post new #s and slice and dice data to meet their agenda and cause fear. They are so consumed by the day to day #s that they can no longer step back and look at bigger picture. They get so worked up and pretend like they have it all figured out, while shaming others that don’t buy into the bs. In the end they are just pushing an agenda that they are to too stupid to even realize even doing 1 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 8 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: The most alarming part to me is that in a flu season we can see 30-60k related deaths. But with covid19 we are already at that upper level range in less than 6 weeks essentially. Sorry if my numbers are slightly.off, going by memory irt influenza seasonal mortality. Next fall if covid is back simultaneously with a flu season that will be very bad. This year it coincided with the tail end of flu season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Isnt that a covid19 symptom? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 22 minutes ago, Rvarookie said: This thread is good example of the effects this crap has on people. You got the same folks that come through every morning and get so excited to post new #s and slice and dice data to meet their agenda and cause fear. They are so consumed by the day to day #s that they can no longer step back and look at bigger picture. They get so worked up and pretend like they have it all figured out, while shaming others that don’t buy into the bs. In the end they are just pushing an agenda that they are to too stupid to even realize even doing That’s a lot of words used to not say anything of value. Do you have any ideas you’d like to contribute? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 18 minutes ago, Rvarookie said: This thread is good example of the effects this crap has on people. You got the same folks that come through every morning and get so excited to post new #s and slice and dice data to meet their agenda and cause fear. They are so consumed by the day to day #s that they can no longer step back and look at bigger picture. They get so worked up and pretend like they have it all figured out, while shaming others that don’t buy into the bs. In the end they are just pushing an agenda that they are to too stupid to even realize even doing The F!$!? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 6 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: That’s a lot of words to not saying anything of value. Do you have any ideas you’d like to contribute? I think at end of day there is no integrity in the data, but yet y’all sit here and freak out all day everyday. It’s clearly become a personal choice if someone wants to buy into the fear or take the risk that perhaps things may not be as portrayed. Just think at this point there’s not much integrity in any data from any country from any study, so nobody should pretend they have it all figured out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 1 minute ago, Rvarookie said: I think at end of day there is no integrity in the data, but yet y’all sit here and freak out all day everyday. It’s clearly become a personal choice if someone wants to buy into the fear or take the risk that perhaps things may not be as portrayed. Just think at this point there’s not much integrity in any data from any country from any study, so nobody should pretend they have it all figured out No integrity in what data specifically? Also, if you’re so above “freaking out” and if the data that we discuss is in your mind no good then why are you in this thread at all? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 This thread may be good example why some of y’all can’t ever predict a snow storm. Too busy consumed on models and what everyone else says to have the balls to form your own opinions. I do appreciate the data you have all shared daily tho and I hope y’all stay healthy during these tough times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 30 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Yeh that was pretty long winded. No lie, while I was writing it, I was like man I sound like that psu bum that writes essays on forum everyday instead of teaching his students. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 7 minutes ago, Rvarookie said: This thread may be good example why some of y’all can’t ever predict a snow storm. Too busy consumed on models and what everyone else says to have the balls to form your own opinions. I do appreciate the data you have all shared daily tho and I hope y’all stay healthy during these tough times. Hahaha I do like your trolling style better than some of the others that have passed through this thread tbh. At least you don’t pretend to try to understand what’s actually happening out there in the world. It’s a little less abrasive, keep it up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Hahaha I do like your trolling style better than some of the others that have passed through this thread tbh. At least you don’t pretend to try to understand what’s actually happening out there in the world. It’s a little less abrasive, keep it up. Thanks! Def not trolling. Just coming from a place where you can’t trust much of anything so I’d prefer to take the risks, yet also trying to be sensitive to others that may not feel that same way. At least we should all agree the denominator has always been off... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, Rvarookie said: Thanks! Def not trolling. Just coming from a place where you can’t trust much of anything so I’d prefer to take the risks, yet also trying to be sensitive to others that may not feel that same way. At least we should all agree the denominator has always been off... The thing about infectious disease though is that it’s not just you. You being out in the world increases the risk that others will get it. Secondly, if you mean the total number of infections is greater than the known number of cases, of course. That is true for every disease in the history of mankind that there is a test for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 27 minutes ago, Rvarookie said: I think at end of day there is no integrity in the data, but yet y’all sit here and freak out all day everyday. It’s clearly become a personal choice if someone wants to buy into the fear or take the risk that perhaps things may not be as portrayed. Just think at this point there’s not much integrity in any data from any country from any study, so nobody should pretend they have it all figured out So if every study and all data is useless what are you using to form your opinion? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 19 minutes ago, Rvarookie said: Yeh that was pretty long winded. No lie, while I was writing it, I was like man I sound like that psu bum that writes essays on forum everyday instead of teaching his students. So you went with “I know you are but what am I”... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 I’d really like to know how much of a risk this is. If groups stay 6 feet apart it seems just based on common sense that it wouldn’t be able to spread like in a confined space. I know there isn’t a lot of conclusive data on this yet.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 3 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: I’d really like to know how much of a risk this is. If groups stay 6 feet apart it seems just based on common sense that it wouldn’t be able to spread like in a confined space. I know there isn’t a lot of conclusive data on this yet.... THAT picture is clearly a risk... Remember one of the biggest clusters came from spring break travelers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted April 26, 2020 Share Posted April 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: I’d really like to know how much of a risk this is. If groups stay 6 feet apart it seems just based on common sense that it wouldn’t be able to spread like in a confined space. I know there isn’t a lot of conclusive data on this yet.... It probably looks worse than it actually is. If people keep their distance from one another the risk of transmission is fairly low. The other issue, however, is that all those people are touching more gas pumps, parking meters, etc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts