PhineasC Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 12 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Our testing volume has plateaued recently. If we keep finding the same number of cases on approx the same number of tests that shows the prevalence might not be dropping very much. The current volume of cases is causing thousands of deaths a day. I’m not sure what’s complicated about that for you. You have zero idea when those 30k people caught the virus or from whom. It kinda tells you nothing, actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 15 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: I really don’t know what your point is sorry. OK, well I can't make it any simpler for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 Just now, PhineasC said: You have zero idea when those 30k people caught the virus or from whom. It kinda tells you nothing, actually. Hahaha ok. It must be fun to live in your world where you can just make up all the rules to fit the narrative you like best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 If a bomb explodes in your city and kills 1,000 people in a day, would you go around saying that based on the data today bombs kill as many or more people per day in the city as guns? No, of course not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 Just now, DCTeacherman said: Hahaha ok. It must be fun to live in your world where you can just make up all the rules to fit the narrative you like best. I can promise you Dr. Fauci isn't basing any of his guidance on rolled up national daily case numbers given with zero context. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 LOL people here get so mad when I point out that the stats they have been consuming for 40 days straight as the basis for every opinion they have on this virus are total crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 1 minute ago, PhineasC said: If a bomb explodes in your city and kills 1,000 people in a day, would you go around saying that based on the data today bombs kill as many people per day in the city as guns? No, of course not. What are you even talking about? A new virus isn’t analogous to a bomb that goes off once on one day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 5 minutes ago, PhineasC said: LOL people here get so mad when I point out that the stats they have been consuming for 40 days straight as the basis for every opinion they have on this virus are total crap. No ones mad. I think I’m going to stop antagonizing you now though. While It’s extremely fun/entertaining for me but I can see why this thread would be better off if I stopped doing this. So I’ll stop. Anyways have a good evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 10 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: What are you even talking about? A new virus isn’t analogous to a bomb that goes off once on one day. It appears COVID-19 is not so lethal that herd immunity won't eventually relegate it to "normal" status. Like swine flu. Our lack of herd immunity means the virus is running rampant now, but that won't continue. That's not how viruses like this work. This isn't MERS with a 30% death rate. It is high R0, low IFR. So it hits us hard for a few months and then fizzles into the background as another respiratory disease we see at low numbers every year. So, this was basically a viral "bomb" that went off and then will fade. Acting like this will kill thousands of Americans indefinitely unless we undertake major interventions is BS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 Just now, DCTeacherman said: No ones mad. I think I’m going to stop antagonizing you now though. While It’s extremely fun/entertaining for me but I can see why this thread would be better off if I stopped doing this. So I’ll stop. Anyways have a good evening. I don't think you are antagonizing me. I am under the impression you just don't understand the stats all that well and are just watching too much TV news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 Just now, PhineasC said: I don't think you are antagonizing me. I am under the impression you just don't understand the stats all that well and are just watching too much TV news. I fully understand all the reasons why daily case counts aren’t the ideal metric but I really like to rile you up. The last 3 times I’ve posted the 30k thing it’s just to get a response from you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 Welcome to the Phin vortex where he argues just to argue and win internet debates 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: It was supposedly 80%+ just recently so it sounds like it is dropping, as expected with the weather warming up... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40westwx Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 1 hour ago, snowfan said: SIAP This seems not good. Just so you know.. when people start dying there this week.. they are hospice center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 5 minutes ago, 40westwx said: Just so you know.. when people start dying there this week.. they are hospice center. It won't matter to the #stayathome and #everylifematters virtue signalers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 46 minutes ago, PhineasC said: It was supposedly 80%+ just recently so it sounds like it is dropping, as expected with the weather warming up... Or perhaps a miracle is happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 It’s gonna be funny seeing the pivot and excuse making here when every state is wide open by mid May. ”Wow my governor just said COVID disappeared overnight! Amazing!” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 Cuomo is starting to give in New York State to open boatyards and marinas for personal use https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.wivb.com/news/new-york/new-york-state-to-open-boatyards-and-marinas-for-personal-use/amp/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 1 minute ago, PhineasC said: It’s gonna be funny seeing the pivot and excuse making here when every state is wide open by mid May. ”Wow my governor just said COVID disappeared overnight! Amazing!” VA order is until June 10th... so unless there's a change... not opening anytime in May Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 3 minutes ago, yoda said: VA order is until June 10th... so unless there's a change... not opening anytime in May They will cave if everyone around them is open. They will have to unless they put checkpoints at the State border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Cuomo is starting to give in New York State to open boatyards and marinas for personal use https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.wivb.com/news/new-york/new-york-state-to-open-boatyards-and-marinas-for-personal-use/amp/ As expected... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inverted_Trough Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 4 minutes ago, PhineasC said: It’s gonna be funny seeing the pivot and excuse making here when every state is wide open by mid May. ”Wow my governor just said COVID disappeared overnight! Amazing!” By wide open, I assume you mean conferences, concerts and sporting events will resume. And restaurants will be at full capacity. And all tourist sites will be completely open. I’ll take you on that bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 Just now, Inverted_Trough said: By wide open, I assume you mean conferences, concerts and sporting events will resume. And restaurants will be at full capacity. And all tourist sites will be completely open. I’ll take you on that bet. Those things will be allowed with some caveats but very poorly attended/patronized, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 55 minutes ago, PhineasC said: It appears COVID-19 is not so lethal that herd immunity won't eventually relegate it to "normal" status. Like swine flu. Our lack of herd immunity means the virus is running rampant now, but that won't continue. That's not how viruses like this work. This isn't MERS with a 30% death rate. It is high R0, low IFR. So it hits us hard for a few months and then fizzles into the background as another respiratory disease we see at low numbers every year. So, this was basically a viral "bomb" that went off and then will fade. Acting like this will kill thousands of Americans indefinitely unless we undertake major interventions is BS. Thousands die of the annual flu. I don't understand your point here. Why the **** are you still here? You have no say in the matter so if your goal is not to diminish the extent of the lock-down then you are just a contrarian as many have stated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 1 minute ago, Vice-Regent said: Thousands die of the annual flu. I don't understand your point here. Why the **** are you still here? You have no say in the matter so if your goal is not to diminish the extent of the lock-down then you are just a contrarian as many have stated. You calling me a contrarian troll is pretty hilarious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 Just now, PhineasC said: You calling me a contrarian troll is pretty hilarious. The greenhouse doomsday future is waiting for your children. You made one good decision in your life. I am right there with you brother. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 Just now, PhineasC said: It’s gonna be funny seeing the pivot and excuse making here when every state is wide open by mid May. Wide open? Doubt it. I have repeatedly said I believe when many of the stay at home orders(not lock downs, as they don't exist here) expire mid May, we will likely be moving in steps back towards "open for business'. Yeah some of the red states will begin that process sooner. Already happening to some degree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inverted_Trough Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 5 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Those things will be allowed with some caveats but very poorly attended/patronized, IMO. I'd be shocked if any of the major professional sports come back by May 15th. I look forward to you pivoting on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 Just now, Inverted_Trough said: I'd be shocked if any of the major professional sports come back by May 15th. I look forward to you pivoting on this. Sports have already been canceled. I don’t think things already canceled months ago will come back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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