NorthArlington101 Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: Next run. This one looked similar to 12z...off run toss it this is a crazy run for Central/Western VA. oh man 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 7 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: this is a crazy run for Central/Western VA. oh man A GFS/ECM blend gives me 7.25 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 Heavy snowfall getting closer and closer Bristow!! The toy is ready! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 Just now, Wonderdog said: Heavy snowfall getting closer and closer Bristow!! The toy is ready! If this happens I’m buying you a gift. I have no idea why. But we both know.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 17 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: this is a crazy run for Central/Western VA. oh man The accumulation maps are so much different from weatherbell to tropical tidbits. The maps on tropical tidbits cut this in like half, maybe more. Weatherbell is for Weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 The accumulation maps are so much different from weatherbell to tropical tidbits. The maps on tropical tidbits cut this in like half, maybe more. Weatherbell is for Weeniesnever said I wasn’t a weenie! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 Pretty sure 1 inch would be historic for KHEF...our closest reporting airport...after 15April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 I still believe possibly 1-3 for Valley Augusta. Above 2000 ft. 3- 5. Above 3500 ft. 5 - 10 depending on qp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 37 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: Heavy snowfall getting closer and closer Bristow!! The toy is ready! Could the GFS really be out to lunch 54 hours before the event? Don’t answer that....In our younger days we would have been pretty enthused about this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 I’m amazed at the level of coverage of the Wind Advisories across the eastern half of the country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 45 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Could the GFS really be out to lunch 54 hours before the event? Don’t answer that....In our younger days we would have been pretty enthused about this. Maybe a cut off lp at Hatteras? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Dr. No at 18Z says what midweek wave for anyone but higher elevations... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 10 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Dr. No at 18Z says what midweek wave for anyone but higher elevations... Pretty reasonable for mid April, right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 17 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Pretty reasonable for mid April, right? True but it’s actually because the euro is weak sauce with the wave. If it had heavy qpf like the NAM it likely would have higher snowfall also. Not saying I buy any of it but the guidance is very cold for this late. Runs that have enough heavy precip to mix out the boundary layer warmth carry snow east of the mountains. Euro was doing that to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 21 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Pretty reasonable for mid April, right? Indeed. But agree with PSU, EURO is weaker overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 12 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Indeed. Looks like this will be fairly localized over the higher terrain of w VA/WV, with an upper jet, area of 700-850 fronto forcing, and probably some orographic lift thrown in- if it comes together at all. As PSU said, Euro is not impressive with the dynamics on the latest run. Either way it looks to be very elevation dependent for any accumulating snow. No shocker there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 15 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Looks like this will be fairly localized over the higher terrain of w VA/WV, with an upper jet, area of 700-850 fronto forcing, and probably some orographic lift thrown in- if it comes together at all. As PSU said, Euro is not impressive with the dynamics on the latest run. Either way it looks to be very elevation dependent for any accumulating snow. No shocker there. In other words, mid April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Just now, nj2va said: In other words, mid April. Precisely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Not sure about the Euro but the gfs is really cold aloft. Won’t be any trouble at all to snow at 34-36 degrees. Accumulating snow is another story though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Augusta qpf dropped from .75 to .47: 12z - 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 10 minutes ago, stormy said: Augusta qpf dropped from .75 to .47: 12z - 18z Lol. I’m beginning to think you want a drought. Don’t be the new NPZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 14 minutes ago, stormy said: Augusta qpf dropped from .75 to .47: 12z - 18z Your snowfall is the next thing that’s gonna drop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 WB 0Z NAM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Of course 3km NAM is just showing virga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 NAM and GFS on their own with the heavier precip. I’m actually thinking my fail will be due to lack of heavy rates not temperatures. It actually looks cold enough overnight if we get heavy rates up here. But the wave looks more and more pathetic each run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 LWX morning take There will be enough cold air aloft for snow in the mountains, and accumulating snow is expected in the Allegheny and Potomac Highlands as well as the Blue Ridge Mountains. Several inches of snow are possible above 2000 feet. Snow may mix in even to the valley floors of northern Maryland, extreme northern VA and eastern WV, but any accumulation should be light (if any) and confined to grassy surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Crap load of rain this morning already. Any winds now a bigger issue with soft ground 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Latest NAM. And I can't believe I am going to say this. But maybe we should also be keeping an eye on the late Fri time period as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 0.80" so far. The overnight rain here was mostly light to moderate. Much heavier this morning, and is associated with the warm front lifting through plus some vorticity aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Won't even crack an inch back here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now