CAPE Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 1 minute ago, showmethesnow said: Considering the issues I have had with mosquitoes some years I am probably going to hit them hard and often this year. Not knowing if they could possibly spread this virus or not is playing into that. Would hate to go through this whole thing just to have one of those suckers catch us unawares. These suckers are vectors for all sorts of nasty stuff as it is- don't need to add something else. I have one clear source of mosquitoes here, a woodland (non-tidal) wetland- that is wet in the late winter/early Spring then it dries up. If I hit it with larvicide a couple times, the only mosquitoes I see around my place in the summer are ones that can be easily controlled my not having objects/places near the house where small amounts of water can sit for a few days after it rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 We don't need unpredictable models to predict rain up here in Hanover. Going by Hanover Lore is as accurate as you can be. "When the stench in the air has its say. You know rain is surely on its way." This is one of the benefits of having a paper mill a few miles to your NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 2 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GFS. If even half of this verifies, I will be satisfied until November. There is that crazy solution psu mentioned. That would be the biggest event of the year. Fun to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 1 hour ago, C.A.P.E. said: @Weather Will These snowfall maps are cool and all, but how about posting a total precip map from the 0z Euro for the next 2 days? Thanks. Happy Easter! WB 6Z EURO....not posting the Dr. No snow map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 1 hour ago, C.A.P.E. said: Ha mostly yeah. Its dried up back there quite a bit with the low dews and all the wind and minimal rain over the past 10 days. A tad concerned about the wind potential here(tree issues), but that almost never materializes to an extreme. Hopefully the high wind watch here goes to an advisory later on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 5 minutes ago, frd said: I mentioned this in the severe thread, but probably the high wind watch will go to a warning for the immediate coasts of DE and NJ, with advisories elsewhere. In our region, this area is most likely to see gusts to 60. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 1 minute ago, C.A.P.E. said: I mentioned this in the severe thread, but probably the high wind watch will go to a warning for the immediate coasts of DE and NJ, with advisories elsewhere. In our region, this area in most likely to see gusts to 60. Agreed. Already had many down limbs from previous event, saving grace some of my trees are still not fully leafed. This time the direction is South versus W and WNW during the last wind event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 5 minutes ago, frd said: Agreed. Already had many down limbs from previous event, saving grace some of my trees are still not fully leafed. This time the direction is South versus W and WNW during the last wind event. There is a big oak tree on the edge of the lot next to me that is leaning and the root ball is lifting on the one side. Just noticed this the other day, and it probably got worse in the recent wind event. Its going to uproot, just a matter of time. Its not near the house, but if it falls it will completely block my driveway. It is leaning in a NNE direction, so the winds in the upcoming event might do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 3 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: There is a big oak tree on the edge of the lot next to me that is leaning and the root ball is lifting on the one side. Just noticed this the other day, and it probably got worse in the recent wind event. Its going to uproot, just a matter of time. Its not near the house, but if it falls it will completely block my driveway. It is leaning in a NNE direction, so the winds in the upcoming event might do it. Since the NAO block got going been rather active here HA hybrid events ....... wish it were winter, would be memorable. Bummer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 hah, maybe I should be going down to Charlottesville to chase for three days. My poor off-Grounds house is just sitting there vacant... an enhanced, maybe moderate risk tomorrow? Then 6” of snow on the GFS Wednesday? Sign me up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 40 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: hah, maybe I should be going down to Charlottesville to chase for three days. My poor off-Grounds house is just sitting there vacant... an enhanced, maybe moderate risk tomorrow? Then 6” of snow on the GFS Wednesday? Sign me up. Imagine if you got 6 inches? Warning event in April? I know not happening but wow. What a memory to have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 WB 12Z GFS and 12K NAM. Canadian added. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 Another silly run of GFS. psu called it. Just silly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 9 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Another silly run of GFS. psu called it. Just silly NAM and Canadian also showing tv snow east of BR. Not giving up yet until DR. NO in another hour or so. Also think the big storm needs to clear out before the midweek weak storm’s final track and strength is set in stone. 0Z Tuesday we should know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: NAM and Canadian also showing tv snow east of BR. Not giving up yet until DR. NO in another hour or so. GFS has improved East of BR every run since yesterday. Usually the Canadian is most optimistic. Still eons of time for things to totally collapse on the models which is totally expected. Fun to look at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 20 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Another silly run of GFS. psu called it. Just silly Just wish predicting the weather was as easy as predicting that model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 Another silly run of GFS. psu called it. Just sillynow it’s 8 inches in CHO, haha. What a garbage model. CMC has got to be better at this point. ICON probably is too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 12 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: now it’s 8 inches in CHO, haha. What a garbage model. CMC has got to be better at this point. ICON probably is too. Even the NAM is telling the GFS “whoa big fella...let me send you a link to a calendar brah” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 That bullseye is showing up in all of them. It’s just a matter of where Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 WB 12Z EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 8 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO The Euro on steroids. It spikes my area from 2.5 at 00z to 4.1 at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 Just now, stormy said: The Euro on steroids. It spikes my area from 2.5 at 00z to 4.1 at 12z. Bullseye to my SW..that could mean snow tv. All I could hope for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 4 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Bullseye to my SW..that could mean snow tv. All I could hope for. I could believe 1-3" slushy acc. on grass. That would be the latest acc. during the last 50 years. Prior was 9" on April 7, 1971. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 13 minutes ago, stormy said: I could believe 1-3" slushy acc. on grass. That would be the latest acc. during the last 50 years. Prior was 9" on April 7, 1971. For you yes I could see that. I am elevation challenged. Challenged in other ways too. Flakes flying is my bar. Even that might be too much for this late date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 WB 18Z NAM 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 This is clearly an elevation "event". 2000 ft+ probably a few inches of wet snow. Once you get down to 1000 ft, maybe some wet slush bombs mixed in. Below that, it's a chilly rain. LOL at snow in southern NJ. Keep those maps coming though! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 WB 18Z ICON. Does not seem like much but best it has ever looked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 I’ll bet the rest of this Easter ham the happy hour GFS is back to reality. And looks like the ICON. I really need to get rid of this ham. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 15 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I'll take 5-6" April 10 1996, and April 14 2014 both saw 3-5" in Carroll county so it has and can happen. I believe April 18, 1983 put down 1-2" up here as well. I'm pretty sure there was also a very late season snowfall in April 1993. I'm usually good at remembering details but for some reason that one is vague. I think it was after the 10th and maybe closer to the 20th. I was attending Western Maryland College at the time and recall it snowing quite heavily at times until noon. The most on the ground at any time was maybe 2 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 12, 2020 Share Posted April 12, 2020 Next run. This one looked similar to 12z...off run toss it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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