NJwx85 Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 26 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said: Don't understand why anyone would want strong damaging winds? Or hope for very heavy rain? Especially since it's been so wet and the water table is so high. If you live in an area like me, with septic systems, you don't want any more rain for awhile. Many around here think I’m crazy but I love a good rain storm. This reminds me of a big event from many years ago where we got a firehose of convection and lots of wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 this is looking like a bust for most east of far western nj 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 Just now, NJwx85 said: Many around here think I’m crazy but I love a good rain storm. This reminds me of a big event from many years ago where we got a firehose of convection and lots of wind. Yeah those historic events are dramatic and memorable. I just dont want it raining every other day ya know lol. Getting a big event a couple times a month is a good thing to keep things interesting this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 Just now, forkyfork said: this is looking like a bust for most east of far western nj it's not really a bust when you consider that this is what these kinds of storms usually do. More rain west / more wind east. NYC/LI 1-2" of rain and 50 mph gusts.... western NJ/PA 3-5" of rain and 30 mph gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 6 minutes ago, kat5hurricane said: I was just going to say that. The peak winds perhaps aren't quite as high but much more consistent than the much more hyped after Easter storm. Yep, classic. One event is hyped with meh results and this under the radar wind event ends up more impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: it's not really a bust when you consider that this is what these kinds of storms usually do. More rain west / more wind east. NYC/LI 1-2" of rain and 50 mph gusts.... western NJ/PA 3-5" of rain and 30 mph gusts there are places that will wind up with under an inch in nj 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Yeah those historic events are dramatic and memorable. I just dont want it raining every other day ya know lol. Getting a big event a couple times a month is a good thing to keep things interesting this time of year. One of my favorite storms of all time was the March 2010 Noreaster. The combination of the rain and wind were extremely impressive. And I'll never forget being out with the fire department the night that Sandy came in. Wind howling, trees coming down. One narrowly missed our engine. So many flashes of light in the sky from blowing up transformers that it looked like lightning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 28 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: By May even cooler weather still feels okay. The exception is a coastal or any prolonged onshore flow. That being said a high in the 50s is definitely well below normal for May which is pushing 70+ for climo. And again I don't think it will be a high in the 50s. I think it will be 60 to 63 mid-late next week, but we'll see. But yeah whether it's upper 50s or low 60s, it will feel ok. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 3 minutes ago, forkyfork said: there are places that will wind up with under an inch in nj GFS FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 31 minutes ago, qg_omega said: 10 to 20 degrees below normal That's nowhere near 20 degrees below normal. 10 degrees below at most, and less than that if we make low 60s mid-late next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 Models are traditionally awful at QPF. Use the current radar and other tools to see the picture. The flood watch doesn't even begin until 8PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 0.07 so far here today. Would need tonight to produce to get over a inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 Classic setup for training heavy rain here with negatively tilted trough and closed ULL over the Ohio Valley. Impressive moisture transport coming out of the Caribbean. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 Just now, Allsnow said: 0.07 so far here today. Would need tonight to produce to get over a inch The winds here are already far more impressive than the last two over hyped events. And I'm over an inch in the bucket since midnight. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 1 hour ago, NJwx85 said: It’s going to come down to training. I’m already over an inch since midnight. No you don’t.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: No you don’t.... Hate to break it to you, but that's inaccurate, at least for where I live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 54 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: One of my favorite storms of all time was the March 2010 Noreaster. The combination of the rain and wind were extremely impressive. And I'll never forget being out with the fire department the night that Sandy came in. Wind howling, trees coming down. One narrowly missed our engine. So many flashes of light in the sky from blowing up transformers that it looked like lightning. Yeah I made this list of rain storms that I would take over most snow storms (outside of the 20+ inch snowstorms, those are in their own category.) This is in chronological order (if I had to rank them by severity I think I'd put Dec 1992 first, for its longevity, sustained high winds, rainfall and widespread flooding.) 1. Hurricane Gloria (1985) 2. November severe weather event (1989) 3. Hurricane Bob (1991) 4. Perfect Storm (1991) 5. December noreaster (1992) 6. July Hailstorm (1994) 7. Tropical Storm Bertha (1996) 8. May Derecho (1998) 9. Labor Day Tornado (1998)- an F2 only 2 miles from my house! 10. Hurricane Floyd (1999) 11. October rainstorms (2005)- rainiest month EVER here, around 20" of rain! 12. March noreaster (2010) 13. September derecho/tornadoes (2010) 14. August rainstorm (2011)- rainiest single storm here, around 10" of rain! 15. Hurricane Irene (2011) 16. Hurricane Sandy (2012) There's probably a lot more I missed, but these come to mind right away. edit- I added some severe wx events that came to mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 30 minutes ago, Allsnow said: No you don’t.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 47 minutes ago, Allsnow said: GFS FTW? most models screw over e nj 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 .67 on day here so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 56 minutes ago, forkyfork said: there are places that will wind up with under an inch in nj subsidence area between two heavier bands? thats where we usually end up in snowstorms lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 56 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: One of my favorite storms of all time was the March 2010 Noreaster. The combination of the rain and wind were extremely impressive. And I'll never forget being out with the fire department the night that Sandy came in. Wind howling, trees coming down. One narrowly missed our engine. So many flashes of light in the sky from blowing up transformers that it looked like lightning. Yes! March 2010 was the first time I saw transformers blowing up everywhere...it looked like red lightning! Sandy was the second time I saw that. There was a third time it happened here, around midnight in a severe wx event, but I cant remember what year it was (I know I posted about it here though.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 6 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: subsidence area between two heavier bands? thats where we usually end up in snowstorms lol. the bowing out of the line south of us leads to less training 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 warm front through here-some blue skies to the south and temps have jumped to 58 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 new 3K NAM jackpots NJ while the regular NAM screws them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 a good portion of that is from convection tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 16th day in a row with a negative temperature departure in NYC. This is a rare feat after April 15th. Most of our streaks this long have occurred from November into March. 2020-04-15 -4.9 2020-04-16 -9.3 2020-04-17 -10.1 2020-04-18 -10.5 2020-04-19 -2.8 2020-04-20 -2.2 2020-04-21 -5.0 2020-04-22 -11.8 2020-04-23 -9.6 2020-04-24 -10.5 2020-04-25 -1.8 2020-04-26 -10.1 2020-04-27 -12.4 2020-04-28 -3.2 2020-04-29 -4.5 2020-04-30 -3.0 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 Rgem cut way back too. Mostly .5 to 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 Just now, Stormlover74 said: Rgem cut way back too. Mostly .5 to 1" some spots might get that with slow moving shallow convection tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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