Rtd208 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Currently the strongest shear combined with a few hundred j/kg of SBCAPE are moving into Northern NJ with one more wave about to move in. If we are going to see something, this is probably going to be it. Once that passes through in the next hour things should shut off pretty quickly from West to East. Overall a bit of a disappointment out this way. I know a lot of damage has been reported on the coast so don't want to downplay things but looks like further inland the inversion won out. Things could have been a bit more interesting if the system had tracked a bit further West and we truly got warm sectored. South jersey was the clear winner (or loser) today, some of the damage pics coming out of those areas are impressive especially in Cape May County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 7 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Currently the strongest shear combined with a few hundred j/kg of SBCAPE are moving into Northern NJ with one more wave about to move in. If we are going to see something, this is probably going to be it. Once that passes through in the next hour things should shut off pretty quickly from West to East. Overall a bit of a disappointment out this way. I know a lot of damage has been reported on the coast so don't want to downplay things but looks like further inland the inversion won out. Things could have been a bit more interesting if the system had tracked a bit further West and we truly got warm sectored. So far in my area, very similar to recent wind events. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 That cell north of Philly will be the one to watch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: South jersey was the clear winner (or loser) today, some of the damage pics coming out of those areas are impressive especially in Cape May County. The line is really bowing out as it moves into Cape May County. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 7 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said: Slight Risk expanded slightly to include NYC Probs: 5% Tornado ; 15% Wind ; 0% Hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 We basically traded places with the storm last week. We had more wind then but the rainfall amounts today have been much better. Disclaimer: This is for the NYC metro region. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 24 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: not much cold has made it to the east coast even with the -NAO, seems alot different than last year which had rains/clouds/chilly weather relentlessly So far the main impact on temperatures have been muted highs. This is the first April 1-13 at Newark not to reach 70 since 2009. Time Series Summary for Newark Area, NJ (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Ending Date Highest Max Temperature Apr 1 to Apr 13 Missing Count 2020-04-13 69 1 2019-04-13 80 0 2018-04-13 84 0 2017-04-13 84 0 2016-04-13 80 0 2015-04-13 71 0 2014-04-13 83 0 2013-04-13 85 0 2012-04-13 71 0 2011-04-13 87 0 2010-04-13 92 0 2009-04-13 68 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 45 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Outside eastern Long Island and southeast jersey, the majority of the area had stronger winds last Thursday/Friday Not even close to accurate my friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 So far my peak gust today out of the south is 41mph. Last Friday my peak gust was 38mph out of the NW and last Thursday my peak gust was 40mph out of the west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 There does appear to be a few more line of showers that may give me some high gusts, we shall see. Right now it looks like the sun is trying to come out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 17 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said: That cell north of Philly will be the one to watch It looks like that cell is making a b-line towards my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 here are local airport observations: https://www.weather.gov/okx/observations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 13, 2020 Author Share Posted April 13, 2020 1 hour ago, Maureen said: Wow, stunning shot! Thanks Maureen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Cell passing just North of Princeton remains one to watch but lightning strikes remain limited. Everything else looks DOA. Maybe a few more discrete cells can pop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Northern end of that cell, just some heavy rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 And that’s all she wrote, remaining portion of the tornado watch has been lifted. Lack of instability really ruined chances North of Philly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Weakening as it heads towards Staten Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Just some rain in this storm moving through.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Sun is out now in New Providence. Winds never really picked up at all around here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Turning out to be a beautiful evening down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 1 hour ago, lee59 said: So far my peak gust today out of the south is 41mph. Last Friday my peak gust was 38mph out of the NW and last Thursday my peak gust was 40mph out of the west. Not sure what to tell you man, every single airport gusted much higher than 41...I'll go with the ASOS over your jerry rigged wind meter lol. ISP gusted to 61, and FRG 51. Your 41 is off. Get a new anemometer. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Nice out there now, sunshine and temp has gone up to 66 here. Picked up 1.61" of rain for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 The most reports of 60mph+ gusts in the OKX zones were over Suffolk. This is where the models had indicated than the strongest LLJ in our local area would occur. The 82 mph gust along the Jersey Shore was with the well defined gravity wave. ...SUFFOLK COUNTY... ORIENT 68 404 PM 4/13 TRAINED SPOTTER ORIENT 66 231 PM 4/13 CWOP STONY BROOK 63 319 PM 4/13 CWOP ISLIP AIRPORT 61 147 PM 4/13 ASOS ISLIP AIRPORT 61 147 PM 4/13 ASOS 1 S BROOKHAVEN 60 146 PM 4/13 MESONET 1 E BELLVIEW BEACH 60 149 PM 4/13 WXFLOW EATONS NECK 60 232 PM 4/13 WXFLOW STONY BROOK 58 243 PM 4/13 CWOP ORIENT 57 245 PM 4/13 CWOP GREAT SOUTH BAY 57 133 PM 4/13 WXFLOW WEST GILGO BEACH 56 131 PM 4/13 CWOP SINAI HARBOR 56 1218 PM 4/13 WXFLOW MECOX BAY 55 205 PM 4/13 WXFLOW BLUE POINT 55 346 PM 4/13 WXFLOW FISHERS ISLAND AIRPO 55 1255 PM 4/13 WXFLOW FARMINGDALE AIRPORT 55 200 PM 4/13 ASOS FIRE ISLAND CG 54 143 PM 4/13 WXFLOW SHIRLEY AIRPORT 54 155 PM 4/13 ASOS NAPEAGUE 53 309 PM 4/13 WXFLOW WESTHAMPTON AIRPORT 52 206 PM 4/13 ASOS WEST ISLIP 49 159 PM 4/13 CWOP EASTPORT 48 228 PM 4/13 CWOP WEST ISLIP 47 138 PM 4/13 TRAINED SPOTTER SOUTHOLD 47 305 PM 4/13 CWOP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 29 minutes ago, psv88 said: Not sure what to tell you man, every single airport gusted much higher than 41...I'll go with the ASOS over your jerry rigged wind meter lol. ISP gusted to 61, and FRG 51. Your 41 is off. Get a new anemometer. People don't live at the airport. Look closely at those observations. 90% of the peak wind gusts observations (for each observation period) at the airports were below 50. I believe the only 60 was Islip. Remember my anemometer, which is very accurate, is in a neighborhood like where most people live. The airports receive the highest wind gusts because they are wide open spaces. By the way, about 1/2 the airports listed did not report wind gusts of 50mph despite the fact that they are in wide open spaces. Another words, if the vantage pro anemometer that I have was located at an airport, I'm sure I would have had a peak gust about 50 or more. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 10 minutes ago, lee59 said: People don't live at the airport. Look closely at those observations. 90% of the peak wind gusts observations (for each observation period) at the airports were below 50. I believe the only 60 was Islip. Remember my anemometer, which is very accurate, is in a neighborhood like where most people live. The airports receive the highest wind gusts because they are wide open spaces. By the way, about 1/2 the airports listed did not report wind gusts of 50mph despite the fact that they are in wide open spaces. Another words, if the vantage pro anemometer that I have was located at an airport, I'm sure I would have had a peak gust about 50 or more. You have to remember that the the open spaces like airports and shorelines are better representations of the actual peak wind gusts than your local neighborhood Davis sensor. Notice how many reports of downed trees there were across the entire area that weren’t near airports or the shoreline. This is telling you that the peak winds in local neighborhoods were realized near the treetop level. So the trees we’re blocking many home sensors from measuring the actual neighborhood peak gusts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 16 minutes ago, bluewave said: The most reports of 60mph+ gusts in the OKX zones were over Suffolk. This is where the models had indicated than the strongest LLJ in our local area would occur. The 82 mph gust along the Jersey Shore was with the well defined gravity wave. ...SUFFOLK COUNTY... ORIENT 68 404 PM 4/13 TRAINED SPOTTER ORIENT 66 231 PM 4/13 CWOP STONY BROOK 63 319 PM 4/13 CWOP ISLIP AIRPORT 61 147 PM 4/13 ASOS ISLIP AIRPORT 61 147 PM 4/13 ASOS 1 S BROOKHAVEN 60 146 PM 4/13 MESONET 1 E BELLVIEW BEACH 60 149 PM 4/13 WXFLOW EATONS NECK 60 232 PM 4/13 WXFLOW STONY BROOK 58 243 PM 4/13 CWOP ORIENT 57 245 PM 4/13 CWOP GREAT SOUTH BAY 57 133 PM 4/13 WXFLOW WEST GILGO BEACH 56 131 PM 4/13 CWOP SINAI HARBOR 56 1218 PM 4/13 WXFLOW MECOX BAY 55 205 PM 4/13 WXFLOW BLUE POINT 55 346 PM 4/13 WXFLOW FISHERS ISLAND AIRPO 55 1255 PM 4/13 WXFLOW FARMINGDALE AIRPORT 55 200 PM 4/13 ASOS FIRE ISLAND CG 54 143 PM 4/13 WXFLOW SHIRLEY AIRPORT 54 155 PM 4/13 ASOS NAPEAGUE 53 309 PM 4/13 WXFLOW WESTHAMPTON AIRPORT 52 206 PM 4/13 ASOS WEST ISLIP 49 159 PM 4/13 CWOP EASTPORT 48 228 PM 4/13 CWOP WEST ISLIP 47 138 PM 4/13 TRAINED SPOTTER SOUTHOLD 47 305 PM 4/13 CWOP Outside Suffolk county the high wind warning was posted too far west. The soundings some were posted had too much inversion. People can’t rip and read those euro gust maps. (Not referring to you) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 winds never gusted passed 50 here. the rain was torrential though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Unimpressed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 NEWARK AIRPORT 47 932 AM 4/13 ASOS QUEENS COUNTY... NYC/JFK AIRPORT 53 211 PM 4/13 ASOS JACKSON HEIGHTS 52 1007 AM 4/13 CWOP NYC/LA GUARDIA 51 226 PM 4/13 ASOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 18 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Outside Suffolk county the high wind warning was posted too far west. The soundings some were posted had too much inversion. People can’t rip and read those euro gust maps. (Not referring to you) There were also areas north of NYC that had HWW conditions. CWOP ...Dutchess County... Bannerman Island 66 1045 AM 4/13 WXFLOW Beacon 60 1020 AM 4/13 NYSM 1039 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 S MAMARONECK 40.92N 73.73W 04/13/2020 M60 MPH ANZ335 NY WXFLOW LARCHMONT HARBOR WXFLOW STATION...ELEVATION 40 FEET. CWOP ...Westchester County... Tappan Zee Light 14 68 1051 AM 4/13 WXFLOW Bridgeport Airport 61 1153 AM 4/13 ASOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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