Maureen Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 15 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: At 2 pm, the temperature was 59° with strong southeasterly winds. Wow, stunning shot! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 7 minutes ago, bluewave said: Looks like 82 mph is the maximum gust so far. Looks like the highest gust won’t be on Long Island. Nam did a good just of predicting the best winds being extreme southeast NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 17,000 without power on LI. I forecasted gust of 62 at ISP, they hit 61. Pretty solid forecast by me. City west was never supposed to see high winds. its predictable that some posters cry when they miss out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Just heard a loud crack of thunder here in Inwood Nassau County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 The sky is actually starting to brighten here. Pretty good line of strong/severe storms developing from around Philly down to just south of Dover Del. where there is now a tornado warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 18 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Looks like the highest gust won’t be on Long Island. Nam did a good just of predicting the best winds being extreme southeast NJ. Pretty good forecast. Peak gust on LI of 66 and 68 in Westchester so far. That 82 mph gust was with the gravity wave from Delaware into Ocean County NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 There are always extreme gusts, especially at airports and other open locations. I think most areas have gotten wind gusts in the 35 to 45 mph zone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 4 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: The sky is actually starting to brighten here. Pretty good line of strong/severe storms developing from around Philly down to just south of Dover Del. where there is now a tornado warning. South Jersey about to got rocked, looking meh for areas North of Philly. About ready to put a fork in this one for our area, although a marginal threat exists with the activity near Wilkes-Barre. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 50 minutes ago, uncle W said: there is a chart that estimates the wind speed called the Beaufort scale... MPH.....comments... calm.....smoke rises vertically... 01-03.....wind direction shown by drift of smoke... 04-07.....wind felt on face, leaves rustle, flag stirs... 08-12.....leaves and twigs in constant motion...wind extends light flags... 13-18.....dust, loose papers, and small branches are moved... 19-24.....small trees and leaf begin to sway...wavelets form on inland waters... 25-31.....large branches in motion...whistling telegraph wires... 32-38.....whole trees in motion...walking is hindered... 39-46.....twigs break off trees... 47-54.....slight damage to houses... 55-63.....trees uprooted....much damage to houses... 64-75.....widespread damage..... over 75..violence and destruction... Yes this has been around a long time. From what I see in my area, the 39-46 fits right in with the 41mph. high gust that I have recorded. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 100 knots at 900mb is just ridiculous! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Small supercell has popped up ahead of the line in Western Atlantic County. Some broad rotation on radar, with decent environment to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 3 minutes ago, lee59 said: There are always extreme gusts, especially at airports and other open locations. I think most areas have gotten wind gusts in the 35 to 45 mph zone. Outside eastern Long Island and southeast jersey, the majority of the area had stronger winds last Thursday/Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Peak gust of 42mph here in Jersey City as of this moment. Some decent rotation on that cell just south of Dover,DE. And as @NJwx85 pointed out, gotta watch those cells ahead of the line in SNJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 in other news, the Euro continues with its theme of killing the MJO in phase 2, so we'll get back to the torch in no time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 5 minutes ago, lee59 said: Yes this has been around a long time. From what I see in my area, the 39-46 fits right in with the 41mph. high gust that I have recorded. poster on another board in Lindenhurst reported a gust of 62, and frequent gusts to high 50s. Home annenometers are often inaccurate for obvious reasons. Most of Nassau and suffolk gusted 50-60, higher in suffolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 The rain has been relentless, like a monsoon most of the day. Like a tropical storm with the sideways rain squalls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: in other news, the Euro continues with its theme of killing the MJO in phase 2, so we'll get back to the torch in no time I will assume the 12z Euro lost the coastal storm that the 00z was showing for the weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Models did a nice job with the 50 mph sustained winds at the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: I will assume the 12z Euro lost the coastal storm that the 00z was showing for the weekend? It has a couple of short waves moving through. Next weekend looks like the strongest of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 You know it must be spring when the models correct stronger with the -EPO and -NAO. New run Old run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, bluewave said: You know it must be spring when the EPS corrects stronger with the -EPO and -NAO. New run Old run When we want it we don't get it, when we don't want it we get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 24 minutes ago, psv88 said: poster on another board in Lindenhurst reported a gust of 62, and frequent gusts to high 50s. Home annenometers are often inaccurate for obvious reasons. Most of Nassau and suffolk gusted 50-60, higher in suffolk. I went to Jones Beach did not get a gust to 40, I admit I was only there for 15 minutes. I have a vantage pro 2 wireless which is considered pretty accurate. It is 33ft up as to weather bureau specifications. With the wind out of the south I get little obstruction. I believe my 41 mph so far is more in line with most places than 50-60mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: When we want it we don't get it, when we don't want it we get it. not much cold has made it to the east coast even with the -NAO, seems alot different than last year which had rains/clouds/chilly weather relentlessly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 We will probably see one more big storm system towards the middle or end of next week as the -NAO rebounds. I doubt we see much in the way of snow as it will be late April by then, but it might bode well for more severe chances and wind threats. Then the pattern should break and Spring should finally take hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 1 minute ago, Rtd208 said: When we want it we don't get it, when we don't want it we get it. These big spring -NAO drops have become common since 2012. +NAO winter followed by strong spring blocking when the sun returns to the Arctic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Severe threat sorta of a bust this afternoon so far in Sussex County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 10 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: not much cold has made it to the east coast even with the -NAO, seems alot different than last year which had rains/clouds/chilly weather relentlessly Trough has been centered in the center of the country. That will change after Tuesday with temps in the 40’s and 50’s. Next weekend looks miserable. Plus keep in mind a sunny day in April will be warm regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Currently the strongest shear combined with a few hundred j/kg of SBCAPE are moving into Northern NJ with one more wave about to move in. If we are going to see something, this is probably going to be it. Once that passes through in the next hour things should shut off pretty quickly from West to East. Overall a bit of a disappointment out this way. I know a lot of damage has been reported on the coast so don't want to downplay things but looks like further inland the inversion won out. Things could have been a bit more interesting if the system had tracked a bit further West and we truly got warm sectored. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 Slight Risk expanded slightly to include NYC Probs: 5% Tornado ; 15% Wind ; 0% Hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 13, 2020 Share Posted April 13, 2020 One discrete cell has popped near Doylestown. Could be one to watch as it moves generally towards the Princeton area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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