Fear and loathing April, 2020 discussion, obs, and the occasional derailment

[CoastalWx]

Might be some decent coastal flooding Ginxy. 

[Ginx snewx]

Napril?

[Ginx snewx]

6 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Might be some decent coastal flooding Ginxy. 

2.5 foot surge . Good thing tides are 9.7 feet, at an astro high of 12 feet you would be looking at 14.5 foot tide

04/03 18Z,    surge 2.40, 12.11 tide

[Damage In Tolland]

Models backed off on rain amounts and western fringe rain. CT may not see much at thankfully 

[Ginx snewx]

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Models backed off on rain amounts and western fringe rain. CT may not see much at thankfully 

Half to .75 River east

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Half to .75 River east

Sell. Think under .25 here 

[Ginx snewx]

12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Sell. Think under .25 here 

Probably in Tolland with downsloping NE winds. Good thing it's not January you would be calling for 6 to 12 and end up with 4 while Boston bangs a foot plus.

[Damage In Tolland]

12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Probably in Tolland with downsloping NE winds. Good thing it's not January you would be calling for 6 to 12 and end up with 4 while Boston bangs a foot plus.

Glad we don’t live there .

[kdxken]

34 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Sell. Think under .25 here 

A few sprinkles, 60s and 70s in the afternoon. The warm Napril continues.

[Ginx snewx]

18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Glad we don’t live there .

I mean what's the difference misty rain and 40s or heavy rain and 40s. 

[dendrite]

56 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Sell. Think under .25 here 

Downslopey up here. A nice breezy mist coming off the Sandwich Range.

[CoastalWx]

Man too bad this isn't a month ago. Should be a good storm here 1-2" rain and 50+ winds. Will take Bryce to see some good waves tomorrow.

[Damage In Tolland]

11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Downslopey up here. A nice breezy mist coming off the Sandwich Range.

Enjoy 36 and 2” of rain up there! 

[Ginx snewx]

Just wait lol we clown in Maine

[klw]

A few flakes now, big big winter continues!

[wxeyeNH]

36/31  Light snow just started

[tamarack]

55 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Just wait lol we clown in Maine

5+ feet atop Sugarloaf - would be a challenge to skin up the mountain in yards of wet snow. 

[HalloweenGale]

Rain/drizzle here. This storm looks awfully subtropical.

[alex]

Very pretty this morning. Approaching 1”

[dendrite]

39.6° -SHRA/DZ

[Typhoon Tip]

Looks like the 12z NAM is cooling the 800 mb to SFC thermal profile in the last 18 hours of this retrograde event enough to offer 'chutes/paws for the Worcester Co and probably Middlesex ...west of I-95..    

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/gopher-local/albany/FOUS61

BOS
36013955313 -2208 120428 45040000    ... Those "00" are 0C at 800 and 900 mb from right to left... Cold rain at Logan, wet sn inland?
42013966315 -1210 160325 44030000   
48010944320 -1613 190320 44020197   
54002923624 -0912 200415 44029998

[KoalaBeer]

What a beast on satellite. It's really starting to back NW now watching the loops. Should be fun to watch the surf tomorrow morning. Quite a few ECMWF members make it sub-tropical as well. 

 

[Typhoon Tip]

Does look like Sandy in an homage - 

Those individual members are 'perturbed' which just means they have variant physical equations ...but that means the convective processes are handled slight different, creating different system-internal thermal handling ... This was evidenced as warm secluded already, so it meandering over a tepid SST G-string out there ...it may be taking on 'faux' profiles due to version-based thermal surplus...  If/when it did take on 'real' ST characteristics probably requires analysis after the fact. 

[Torch Tiger]

looks like something we don't want

[KoalaBeer]

3 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said:

looks like something we don't want

I'm getting sick of the cold wind blasted rain along the shore the past few weeks, Sunday and Monday felt like 24+ hours of 30mph sustained winds with cold rain... I definitely would of taken the snow with this one if I had a choice. Not like I'm doing anything outside anyways, beaches, golf courses, ski resorts all closed. Even Mount Washington is closing off access to tuckermans, gulf of slides etc to back country travelers. Coastal flooding would be much more of a concern though if this came in next week during astronomical high tide. 

[Brian5671]

Still clear down this way but winds have been picking up all day

[powderfreak]

2 hours ago, alex said:

Very pretty this morning. Approaching 1”

You might do real well.

6z EURO was fairly snowy.

[powderfreak]

5 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Sell. Think under .25 here 

You are surprisingly conservative on a system backing in from the east.  Those are usually gung-ho river east with goodies for all back to NY state, no?

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, powderfreak said:

You are surprisingly conservative on a system backing in from the east.  Those are usually gung-ho river east with goodies for all back to NY state, no?

It’s warm season now with dry air. This would produce more precip much farther west in a typical cold winter airmass with East inflow. This time of year , dry air just chews it up. Sunny windy day today 

[powderfreak]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s warm season now with dry air. This would produce more precip much farther west in a typical cold winter airmass with East inflow. This time of year , dry air just chews it up. Sunny windy day today 

I'm fairly certain the laws of thermodynamics would disagree about the warm season being drier, but the response seems iron clad, ha. Love it.