hawkeye_wx Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 A few cells are trying to pop around here, but it's too late. All that hype for a big zero. At least we got a nice afternoon out of it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 4 minutes ago, Chinook said: There could be a CC drop representative of a TDS near Kirkwood, Illinois. Yeah no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 Just now, hawkeye_wx said: A few cells are trying to pop around here, but it's too late. All that hype for a big zero. At least we got a nice afternoon out of it. Lots of warnings in Iowa, and never know what the LLJ is gonna do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 Yeah, it's a good sign but it's still early. You know the ones that have multiple deaths reported almost right after the tornado passes are going to be really bad... like Joplin.It’s not Joplin. There were dead people laying on the ground everywhere 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 One of the IA warnings goes right up to the MS River. Can't imagine it will stay surface-based into WI though, given Madison is 45/43. Wasn't expecting this, though: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0257.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 1 minute ago, nwohweather said: It’s not Joplin. There were dead people laying on the ground everywhere Yeah...not even close to that. Looking like EF 3 type damage but will have to wait for more information. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, nwohweather said: It’s not Joplin. There were dead people laying on the ground everywhere That's what I was getting at. We probably would've been hearing about fatalities by now if it was going to be very big death toll. Hopefully nobody died. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 7 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Yeah...not even close to that. Looking like EF 3 type damage but will have to wait for more information. This car though... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 Given the evolution of the storms in W IL, going to imagine lapse rates never really recovered — providing limited instability. Plenty of amazing shear throughout the column, maybe just too much given the assumed thermodynamic profile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 WoodhullSent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 0z ILX sounding says it all...horrific all around... Edit: Apparently this was inaccurate, so deleted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 IKK 63/60 backed se wind.......Lansing IL 60/59 east wind....both just to the ne of the PDS tor watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 6 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said: This car though... Yeah that pic is strange because structures around it are in fairly good shape in comparison. That pic is strange I’ll give you that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 6 minutes ago, jojo762 said: Given the evolution of the storms in W IL, going to imagine lapse rates never really recovered — providing limited instability. Plenty of amazing shear throughout the column, maybe just too much given the assumed thermodynamic profile. Thermos and lapse rates definitely killed our threat here. That morning wave was the nail in the coffin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob's Burgers Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 alot of the damage seems to be in business areas including the mall many are closed because of coronavirus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 6 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Yeah that pic is strange because structures around it are in fairly good shape in comparison. That pic is strange I’ll give you that. It's certainly very puzzling. I'm also agreeing based on early guesswork that we're seeing EF3 damage but how did this car get so terribly mangled? That'd be a sign of EF4 winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 1 minute ago, Bob's Burgers said: The shot of those vehicles before ten seconds and the shot of the tree at ten seconds say all you need to know about this tornado... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 Hmmm.Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
twistingtornado Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 23 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: One of the IA warnings goes right up to the MS River. Can't imagine it will stay surface-based into WI though, given Madison is 45/43. Wasn't expecting this, though: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0257.html SPC has baffled me all day, and then this. I don't know how they expect to get the greatest short-term threat for tornadoes out of elevated convection in southern Wisconsin. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 Waiting for the watch to be canceled here, glad I was telling friends and family all throughout todays prolonged rain and clouds not to be surprised if things do not play out as being forecast. Not that I am complainging things went how they did, not what anyone needs right now, i just love a good thunderstorm. Seems more times than not when we don't have crapvection to deal with we either get capped, an outflow triggers a storm well before the forcing was forecast stabilizing things or just as today unfolded, things just linger well into the late morning early afternoon with no time to recover. Luckily it's only March, still plenty of Spring left(all of it ) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 Just now, crossbowftw3 said: It's certainly very puzzling. I'm also agreeing based on early guesswork that we're seeing EF3 damage but how did this car get so terribly mangled? That'd be a sign of EF4 winds. So far we’re only seeing damage in business districts, and a lot of the residential areas likely haven’t been reached yet, so there could very well be violent damage somewhere along the path that hasn’t been photographed or filmed yet. This is typical after a strike in a populated area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 This wannabe squall can't even muster up enough to maintain convectiveness 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 I mean the fact these "supercells" in a 15 hatched barely have rotation and no lightning speaks for itself. So much shear, so little cape. It's just pushing over the updrafts. I saw Iowa managed to squeeze out a brief tube Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 Velocities are starting to look more impressive south of Andover, IL. It’s trying. We’ll see if anything actually happens though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, Buckeye05 said: Velocities are starting to look more impressive south of Andover, IL. It’s trying. We’ll see if anything actually happens though. Yeah looking tighter, headed generally towards @cyclone77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, Buckeye05 said: Velocities are starting to look more impressive south of Andover, IL. It’s trying. We’ll see if anything actually happens though. Inflow is really ripping in both those storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 QLCS with embedded circulations looking more likely. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 Not really tightening up though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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