wolfie09 Posted November 9, 2020 Author Share Posted November 9, 2020 It's really a no win lol You're gonna have a hell of a lot of angry people either way.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 9, 2020 Author Share Posted November 9, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 10, 2020 Author Share Posted November 10, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 WNY is on the naughty list. Upgraded to a yellow zone in most of Erie County. Man... zoom in on that Erie County Map... there’s clusters everywhere... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 My community here has been put in the yellow as well. Our staff meeting will be an interesting one tomorrow when we are asked who is willing to get tested. With it being done every week, I can't see any way of anybody avoiding being tested over the next couple weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 10 hours ago, Luke_Mages said: I'm not a conspiracy theorist but thought this is interesting. Shared on a local car forum. This is somebody’s cut and paste from Twitter. The original comes from a Twitter account called APhilosophae, and his analysis is based on a flawed data set (he used a rounding method to reverse engineer a level of accuracy that does not exist in the data set), and is a selective analysis, excluding data sets from states that contradict his analysis. It’s clearly an attempt to create uncertainty by assuring an online audience clamoring for proof of vote fraud that he found such evidence, then mystifies his claim with a purportedly technical analysis. I’m a data analyst, and once I located his data set (there are a bunch of weird scammy links that in the Twitter thread), I spotted the methodology error fairly quickly. There are a number of technical evaluations of this purported evidence on Twitter. One that I found that noted the rounding issue and several other flaws is here: The original analysis wouldn’t hold up under scrutiny in court, if it came down to that, but audience isn’t a judge with the authority to act upon a legitimate claim of fraud. The audience is a bunch of very mad, very online people who were absolutely certain that Trump would win, so they know with equal certainty that his loss must mean that the election was a fraud. A lot of beliefs in which I had a lot of confidence were blown out of the water by Trump’s election, but it was inarguable that he won enough votes to have an electoral college majority in 2016. It wasn’t the world that was wrong, it was ME that was wrong. I shouldn’t have to tell anyone that a worldview which rejects empirical data — what your eyes and ears tell you or sources who have little reason not to be impartial tell you — is staggeringly dangerous. The “fake news” ideology in which anything that contradicts your belief system must be wrong is absolutely circular reasoning, and circular reasoning has no claim to truth. And even worse, a great many people belief that their side has an absolute right to rule and the other side is categorically illegitimate. The political system that comes from those beliefs is by definition totalitarian, and all of the hand waving about “upholding the Constitution” doesn’t make it any less so. People ascribe their own ideology to the founding fathers all the time, but one thing that the foundational documents of this country have in common is opposition to totalizing ideology. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 8 hours ago, WNash said: This is somebody’s cut and paste from Twitter. The original comes from a Twitter account called APhilosophae, and his analysis is based on a flawed data set (he used a rounding method to reverse engineer a level of accuracy that does not exist in the data set), and is a selective analysis, excluding data sets from states that contradict his analysis. It’s clearly an attempt to create uncertainty by assuring an online audience clamoring for proof of vote fraud that he found such evidence, then mystifies his claim with a purportedly technical analysis. I’m a data analyst, and once I located his data set (there are a bunch of weird scammy links that in the Twitter thread), I spotted the methodology error fairly quickly. There are a number of technical evaluations of this purported evidence on Twitter. One that I found that noted the rounding issue and several other flaws is here: The original analysis wouldn’t hold up under scrutiny in court, if it came down to that, but audience isn’t a judge with the authority to act upon a legitimate claim of fraud. The audience is a bunch of very mad, very online people who were absolutely certain that Trump would win, so they know with equal certainty that his loss must mean that the election was a fraud. A lot of beliefs in which I had a lot of confidence were blown out of the water by Trump’s election, but it was inarguable that he won enough votes to have an electoral college majority in 2016. It wasn’t the world that was wrong, it was ME that was wrong. I shouldn’t have to tell anyone that a worldview which rejects empirical data — what your eyes and ears tell you or sources who have little reason not to be impartial tell you — is staggeringly dangerous. The “fake news” ideology in which anything that contradicts your belief system must be wrong is absolutely circular reasoning, and circular reasoning has no claim to truth. And even worse, a great many people belief that their side has an absolute right to rule and the other side is categorically illegitimate. The political system that comes from those beliefs is by definition totalitarian, and all of the hand waving about “upholding the Constitution” doesn’t make it any less so. People ascribe their own ideology to the founding fathers all the time, but one thing that the foundational documents of this country have in common is opposition to totalizing ideology. He makes some good points on data extrapolation but he completely missed the point. He’s claiming the original poster was using a cumulative R/D ratio in the graphs and it’s not. (I hope I have no accounts wherever he’s an actuary) The outliers can’t exist if it was cumulative. If it was cumulative then the large Biden drops could explain the shift. What the original poster is claiming is an unnatural shift in the per batch ratio towards the dems as time went on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 10, 2020 Author Share Posted November 10, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 10, 2020 Author Share Posted November 10, 2020 Trumps team wants a new election in Michigan lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 10, 2020 Author Share Posted November 10, 2020 Arizona lawsuit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 10, 2020 Author Share Posted November 10, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 10, 2020 Author Share Posted November 10, 2020 With the transition clock ticking and yet no action from the Trump administration on handing over to President-elect Joe Biden’s team, Biden’s team is reportedly looking at legal action, among other options, as the General Services Administration (GSA) fails to formally recognize the Democrat’s election win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 10, 2020 Author Share Posted November 10, 2020 Here is why trump is so defiant.. The most serious legal threat facing Trump is the Manhattan district attorney's broad criminal investigation into the financial workings of the Trump Organization. Prosecutors have suggested in court filings that the investigation could examine whether the President and his company engaged in bank fraud, insurance fraud, criminal tax fraud and falsification of business records. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 10, 2020 Author Share Posted November 10, 2020 Covid-19 vaccine needs to stay at -103°F , 50 degrees colder than any other vaccines.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 13 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Covid-19 vaccine needs to stay at -103°F , 50 degrees colder than any other vaccines.. Buy stock in N2 processing companies like praxair and Parker. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 10, 2020 Author Share Posted November 10, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 3 hours ago, wolfie09 said: The Faux news lemmings will say it was taken out of context............. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 10, 2020 Author Share Posted November 10, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 4 hours ago, wolfie09 said: Arizona lawsuit I wonder why trump and the lil trumpies never mentioned social media when he was being blasted on social media for the past 4+ years.......... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 Sorry America... Get to the back of the line! Is this real life? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 12 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Sorry America... Get to the back of the line! Is this real life? Lmao. Literally lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 Just now, Luke_Mages said: Lmao. Literally lmao Great we wont be getting vaccine until 2022. No summer vacations next year, back to quarantine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 7 minutes ago, brentrich said: Great we wont be getting vaccine until 2022. No summer vacations next year, back to quarantine. Tbh if you’re under 55 you won’t be getting vaccinated until 2022 regardless. But I laugh at Biden’s advisors idea because as insane as it sounds it’s completely possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 7 minutes ago, Luke_Mages said: Lmao. Literally lmao The more I read about this “doctor” the more crazy it gets. He believes people (including himself) should die by age 75. Then in regards to the vaccine... Emanuel argued, that “prioritizing seniors at higher risk would mean sending a disproportionate amount of vaccines to wealthier countries” Maybe I’m wrong but aren’t high risk seniors the most likely group to die from COVID? Shouldn’t they be first in line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 You see Cuomos remarks today? What does that even mean... 0 % chance I vote for him and literally every single person I know isn't either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 Yeah, not really a fan of Biden. He's just a puppet for the democratic party. But he's better than the alternative, at least I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 11, 2020 Author Share Posted November 11, 2020 Yeah, but NYC will.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 11, 2020 Author Share Posted November 11, 2020 The only republican candidate to declare so far is a sheriff out of redfield lol My girl knows him because he's a regular at RAC.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 7 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Yeah, but NYC will.. You think? I'm not so sure. Lots of people have been shutdown the entire year and have lost lots of business. That map will dramatically change in 2022. You don't mess with a persons ability to put food on the table and clothes on their children...$500 a week UI in NYC doesn't get you very far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 NYC average rent Beds Bot 25% Median Top 25% Studio $2,300 $2,595 $2,950 1BR $2,650 $3,150 $3,550 2BR $3,100 $3,600 $4,696 Max UI: $504 a week.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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