gravitylover Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 It never got above the half inch here but it hasn't stopped snowing. It warmed up just enough that it's mostly melted off but it started snowing harder a little while ago so it's sticking to itself, what was white is whiter otherwise it's sloppy wet. It sure adds to the melancholy feel of the day with almost no moving traffic on the street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 23, 2020 Author Share Posted March 23, 2020 Sleet & snow at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 23, 2020 Author Share Posted March 23, 2020 All sleet. looks like it’s a wrap for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 That was a nice long burst of moderately heavy snow with a rapid flip to sleet. Now it's that dwindling down, light, frozen and semi frozen wind driven stuff. Yuck... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 Wantage NJ...variable intensity IP... 0.3" snow sleet total so far. 33.3F Home pavements now slippery except where treated. Not sure about the roads-not traveling. Today, seems like a good example of where sleet largely diminishes snow totals in the modeling. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 Heavy, heavy sleet now. Edit: 5 minutes later, no more sleet, huge flakes now. Edit 2: Heavy snow, everything is covered even the street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 19 minutes ago, gravitylover said: Heavy, heavy sleet now. Edit: 5 minutes later, no more sleet, huge flakes now. Still all sleet here. I suspect it'll flip when those heavier echoes move overhead 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 Flipped back to moderate snow here now which is accumulating again on all surfaces Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 Flipping back and forth between ice pellets and snow currently. Large flakes and pellets. Ground is covered along with the roadway with grapple. 34 degerees edit, now all moderate snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 15 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Flipped back to moderate snow here now which is accumulating again on all surfaces The yard raking you did the other day jinxed it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 Wantage NJ...8sv High Point. Probable final. All rain now w just a few ice pellets at times. 0.4 snow sleet comprised of 0.2 snow and 0.2 sleet. 33.1 slushy underfoot on home pavement due to recent sleet accumulation. First measurable wintry stuff since 2/14-Valentines Day. Seasonal total 20.0. 128P/23. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 Latest Euro has 6+ for a large part of Orange, Dutchess, and Ulster counties but hard to see that happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 Had some heavy snow move in about an hour ago and temp dropped from 32.6 to 31.4. It actually began to stick to roads and cover driveway. Peak depth so far today is 1.3 inches but in areas that would be exposed to sun that begins to compress and melt when precip lightens. Back to 32.4° with a light mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 ^^Pretty much the same here but I don't think I got over 1" at any time. Areas that melted off after the morning batch got covered again with at least another half inch so I'm comfortable calling the total 1". All rain now making for a wonderful slush consistency that soaks your shoes in seconds. Mmm yum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 Wantage NJ. Rain back to light-moderate sleet around 450P...some sticking to pavement. 33.8F 509P/23. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 23, 2020 Author Share Posted March 23, 2020 1 hour ago, wdrag said: Wantage NJ. Rain back to light-moderate sleet around 450P...some sticking to pavement. 33.8F 509P/23. Ripping sleet at the moment temp 30f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 23, 2020 Share Posted March 23, 2020 1 hour ago, Animal said: Ripping sleet at the moment temp 30f Changing back to sleet here. Another coating of ice pellets in the last hour. Temp down to 32. It’s looking like the temps are busting on the low side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted March 24, 2020 Share Posted March 24, 2020 So, here's a little mapping of yesterdays snow-sleet totals. I've also included an example of EPS prob off 3+" and NWS prob of 1+" from around 08z/23. It is obvious to me the NWS ensemble was much more conservative in PA/NJ, but did not perform very well in NYS/New England which you could also see in the actual ensemble forecasts (not shown here). EPS/EC op failure on the southern edge (too robust) may be related to how it handles sleet conversion to snow depth (10 to 1). NWS probabilistic ensemble may suffer from a problem I've been seeing regarding the GFS determining rain vs snow... I think the GFS is a little weak on determining the approximate rain-snow line. I saw this clearly a month ago in a midwest system and it occurred again yesterday. No modeling to my knowledge handled the rain back to sleet in ne PA/nw NJ late afternoon- that little surprise I can live with. The first two reality check maps are the best I can do in a hurry to fill in some actual data. The latter two, the EPS prob of 3+, 85% and greater did very well! The NWS ensemble for 1+ inch produced ~ 08z/23 didn't do too well. These are the issues that need to be dealt with in briefing folks. Finally, the complex problems of merging data sets-in a hurry I might add- in the operational setting. The last image was the snowfall forecast issued "Sunday" morning 09z/22. Not too shabby---overdone a little here and there on the southern edge, but convert the sleet to snow and you've got the numbers. Effectively, this NWS operational map which we all use for point-click output, was a pretty good effort. Good work there, imo. 1517z/24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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