OSUmetstud Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 lols Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 2nd one is actually colder further south Where is the cold coming from? The first storm ends as rain and there’s no CAA, so I’m selling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 Snows would keep more folks at home a bit more, especially around here, so it’s a good thing besides just weenie porn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 Havent' had one of these to post in a couple months. I wonder when the last time ORH has gone through a winter without a warning being issued (I don't think we had one this year). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 23 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: lols Yea I saw that damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Where is the cold coming from? The first storm ends as rain and there’s no CAA, so I’m selling Congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Congrats On rain? Nah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: On rain? Nah Let's do this. Storm 1 is 2 to 4 for you storm 2 3 to 6 congrats on March 12 ehhh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Let's do this. Storm 1 is 2 to 4 for you storm 2 3 to 6 congrats on March 12 ehhh I’ll take 2-4” first and 0” second with no cold air left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’ll take 2-4” first and 0” second with no cold air left Please wear that bernie hat proudly as you shovel your 4+ weekly total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Please wear that bernie hat proudly as you shovel your 4+ weekly total. Tuesday’s in the 50’s . No shoveling . Then rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 Depending on how much falls, I just may leave it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 48 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Havent' had one of these to post in a couple months. I wonder when the last time ORH has gone through a winter without a warning being issued (I don't think we had one this year). Wasn’t there one (or two) issued for Dec 1-3? I forget Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 35 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yea I saw that damn EPS is more subdued for sure. Thinking that 10" is way more likely than 20" but still looks solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 10 minutes ago, dryslot said: Depending on how much falls, I just may leave it. What’s the threshold? I want the driveway clear so I’ll probably be raising the Ariens and blowing it. At least the subsurface ground has thawed out. So whatever falls can melt and soak in rather than pool up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: What’s the threshold? I want the driveway clear so I’ll probably be raising the Ariens and blowing it. At least the subsurface ground has thawed out. So whatever falls can melt and soak in rather than pool up. I'm going to go with 4" or so as my threshold, Water content probably going to be on the higher side, Plus i'm thinking some of this melts off while falling to cool the surface, Also we look to rebound on Tues to high 40's, But i also have an asphalt driveway, Is yours gravel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: I'm going to go with 4" or so as my threshold, Water content probably going to be on the higher side, Plus i'm thinking some of this melts off while falling to cool the surface, Also we look to rebound on Tues to high 40's, But i also have an asphalt driveway, Is yours gravel? My driveway is dirt and gravel with some larger rocks mixed in. It’s tough to clear with bare, thawed ground. I have longer skids on it now so that should help, but I’m raising it anyway. I think 1-1.25” will be a good height. Tuesday should be able to melt that much remaining on the driveway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: My driveway is dirt and gravel with some larger rocks mixed in. It’s tough to clear with bare, thawed ground. I have longer skids on it now so that should help, but I’m raising it anyway. I think 1-1.25” will be a good height. Tuesday should be able to melt that much remaining on the driveway. Yeah, If you don't raise it you will be throwing gravel everywhere, I had paved mine about 12yrs ago but before that it was gravel, My driveway is 150' and this time of year when it would snow would be very problematic with it being thawed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: Yeah, If you don't raise it you will be throwing gravel everywhere, I had paved mine about 12yrs ago but before that it was gravel, Mine driveway is 150' and this time of year when it would snow would be very problematic with it being thawed. My neighbor has a long gravel driveway. During long winters, the melting snow piles at season’s end leave mounds of gravel...which he then puts back. But he’s always angry at the plow kid for no raising the plow a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: My neighbor has a long gravel driveway. During long winters, the melting snow piles at season’s end leave mounds of gravel...which he then puts back. But he’s always angry at the plow kid for no raising the plow a bit. Its a bitch, Mine was gravel for 20 yrs or so, Plus there is a lot of clay here as well, I would end up just leaving it to melt off this time of year, It was the lesser of two evils really, Otherwise i would have to rake the gravel off the lawn and back into the driveway, What a PITA that was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 12z Nam is a bit south of the 06z run, If that ends up being the case, I would not even bother trying to snow blow it as it looks like it would be gone by Tuesday but i wouldn't bank on it being right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 ORH obliterator on the NAM. Not buying those double digit totals over interior MA yet until euro cools it off a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 Oh how i would love this to verify. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 NAM looks good for folks west of 495 in MA, inside 495 not bad with 3-5" front end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 Ugh. Where was this in February 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 47 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Wasn’t there one (or two) issued for Dec 1-3? I forget No--they had us in a watch for those as ORH is in the southern Worcester zone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 41 minutes ago, dendrite said: What’s the threshold? I want the driveway clear so I’ll probably be raising the Ariens and blowing it. At least the subsurface ground has thawed out. So whatever falls can melt and soak in rather than pool up. My car cM deL with 8, so not plowing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 Even though this is just the 3/24 thread, NAM croaks many in round two as well. Its like this was run out of my basement. Too bad it’s the NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Even though this is just the 3/24 thread, NAM croaks many in round two as well. Its like this was run out of my basement. Too bad it’s the NAM That would be quite a winter. Two fall events in December and two spring events in march. And total crap in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 22, 2020 Share Posted March 22, 2020 Seems like getting an event to actually happen this time, the trial and error game of this last winter ( despite now being spring...), finally does. That was the gist of my conversation with outside Mets over the winter, was the striking neggie interference pattern at all scales, ... damping events, period. It was much less an issue of available cold. There were two tendencies ...well, 'persistence' may be more apropos: systems modulating W; systems modulating weaker. These were the correction vectors that took place ... in every case ...Since the Dec 2019 event. I strongly suspect gradient saturation and velocity were the main culprits ..as I've championed the cause all along. This has been a large scale negative interference pattern pummeling the mid and shorter scales... pretty much unrelenting, the whole time...the whole way. Now, the flow is relaxing as it typically does at the tail end of the season, and we have a chance - go wonder - for a 'well-behaved' cyclone in the models to actually f'ing take place. It all seems really simple to me: take away the limiting factor of a crushing +AO and an unmitigating Hadley Cell also squeezing into the mid latitudes, and things can happen/parlay. About a month ago I posted that I thought we had a chance to recoup on the season when the pattern relaxed.. The EPO came right on schedule... - we'll have to see if we can get a -NAO transience in here...Some oper. GFS runs have been trying to flag that. Anyway, still two events in the pipe line for this week, which is a testament to the better cyclone vitality of this season ending advantage, they have been remarkably stable in all guidance ( save for details). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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