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March 24, 2020 - Coastal Threat


Baroclinic Zone
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2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Based on what Will said 

You prob get 2 or 3 inches of paste on the front end. But it warms quickly. If we can hold that off with more easterly flow vs SE then it could make a big difference over interior. 

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Just now, ORH_wxman said:

You prob get 2 or 3 inches of paste on the front end. But it warms quickly. If we can hold that off with more easterly flow vs SE then it could make a big difference over interior. 

I’m going to plan on rain whole event and hope to be surprised. Just can’t take anymore negativity 

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1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m going to plan on rain whole event and hope to be surprised. Just can’t take anymore negativity 

Prob good to keep expectations low for this one. There’s some potential but there’s enough warts on it to not get too excited. The Wednesday night system looks more promising actually but it’s obviously further out so need to see it get closer. 

If we can tighten up the circulation a bit on the Monday system ala NAM, then there could be some surprises. 

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13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m going to plan on rain whole event and hope to be surprised. Just can’t take anymore negativity 

I’m sorry if what you don’t want to hear, is negative? You can always go towards Dave where the news is more positive. 

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Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think I have him and me at 1-3" for First Call.. 

You might need to up amounts near YBY. Your area over to S NH is in a decent spot. There will be a tight cutoff to your east with onshore flow but you might be far enough west. 

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7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Scoots has all rain south of 90.. maybe even Ray.. so we ride him 

When Scooter rains he loses interest in microclimates like you. Plenty o time to fine tune. EPS round 1 and cumulative and 3 and 6 progs. You can see Scooter is out of the game but you have a 60 plus percent chance of 3 plus

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14-km EPS Probability Precip Snow undefined undefined 192.png

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4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Kevin and Steve are meteorological Trump. If they don’t like what they hear,  they pout and blame everyone else. 

WTF are you talking about. I posted EPS progs. You are like Bernie Sanders can't stand when people challenge you. If it rains it rains. I am not expecting much but I dont flip flop every model run either. EPS until its t minus 48 hrs

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4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

WTF are you talking about. I posted EPS progs. You are like Bernie Sanders can't stand when people challenge you. If it rains it rains. I am not expecting much but I dont flip flop every model run either. EPS until its t minus 48 hrs

You mentioned I lose interest if I don’t get snow. Take a look at my track record of non-events for me. If it’s interesting in SNE,  I always talk about it. 
If this moves south, then many more are in the game. As of now,  it may be tough to stop the WAA below 850 south of 90 even in high terrain. It will start as snow though.

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Just now, CoastalWx said:

You mentioned I lose interest if I don’t get snow. Take a look at my track record of non-events for me. If it’s intersecting in SNE,  I always talk about it. 
If this moves south, then many more are in the game. As of now,  it may be tough to stop the WAA below 850 south of 90 even in high terrain. It will start as snow though.

You do, your the rains to Maine OG

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