40/70 Benchmark Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 On 3/20/2020 at 10:19 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: FYP Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 On 3/20/2020 at 10:24 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: I def did when a couple models signaled it...and i was looking for ratings lol But we all know i will be happy chasing a 4" snow storm to Winchendon Expand That is why I keep referencing the larger potential that has diminished, which makes sense because I didn't think it ever looked impressive enough for 1' amounts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 On 3/20/2020 at 10:22 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: If I remember correctly, you mentioned like a foot on FB that other day.. Expand Why do you post in here but never in the covid forum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 On 3/20/2020 at 10:23 PM, crossbowftw3 said: Yep. Generally above 1500' I'd think. After that 12z Euro head fake run from yesterday with the widespread 8-12, this has consolidated well into an event not too dissimilar to 1/18. I'm lower elevations in the Castkills so not surprised if I get 3" then flip to rain whIle 2000'+ stay snow and manage the 8". It may be hard for even them to get to 8" given the likely arrival time of precip/snow being hard to accumulate in late March sun angles. Expand I always take the more bullish on those 2,000+ elevations of Schoharie (SP?) and Greene Counties (like Tannersville), or even SW Albany County has some towns up near 2,000ft. Its another world at that elevation. They'll have no problem accumulating at that height. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 On 3/20/2020 at 10:26 PM, Whineminster said: Why do you post in here but never in the covid forum? Expand Because I get enough of that everywhere else...including the amwx group text that never sleeps.... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 On 3/20/2020 at 10:27 PM, powderfreak said: I always take the more bullish on those 2,000+ elevations of Schoharie County and Greene Counties (like Tannersville), or even SW Albany County has some towns up near 2,000ft. Its another world at that elevation. They'll have no problem accumulating at that height. Expand Absolutely. Consequently for under 1000' folks like myself the lower end of the 3-6 seems more plausible at this time. We've been bent sideways this winter when it comes to elevation-driven events and that shouldn't change here. Both for the best and worse, of course. Example being the 12/29 ice storm, of course, where at 800' I stayed 33-36 and rain whIle 30 minutes and an extra 600' saw .4 of ice. Simply put, this storm doesn't necessarily seem to have the needed punch to deliver a foot of snow, or anywhere close, over such a widespread area...or the staying power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 On 3/20/2020 at 10:28 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Because I get enough of that everywhere else...including the amwx group text that never sleeps.... Expand No offense to anyone in that, but it gets so annoying when it is going 100 texts per minute. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 On 3/20/2020 at 11:08 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: No offense to anyone in that, but it gets so annoying when it is going 100 texts per minute. Expand Put the text group in “do not disturb” mode. I don’t even notice. All my other texts buzz but that group doesn’t. Anyways, back on topic. Seems like the GFS is the only model that is keeping the bulk of the dynamics south offshore. Probably not a bad spot for models to be if you’re hoping for something in SNE/CNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 On 3/20/2020 at 11:17 PM, ORH_wxman said: Put the text group in “do not disturb” mode. I don’t even notice. All my other texts buzz but that group doesn’t. Anyways, back on topic. Seems like the GFS is the only model that is keeping the bulk of the dynamics south offshore. Probably not a bad spot for models to be if you’re hoping for something in SNE/CNE. Expand So your thoughts Lakes Region South? or better to see CON south/SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 I think a few inches of paste would be great, may get this area to low 30s...only a foot or so below normal would be a win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 On 3/20/2020 at 11:08 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: No offense to anyone in that, but it gets so annoying when it is going 100 texts per minute. Expand That does hurt. I’m not gonna lie. And Will not responding to important questions is bad too 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 20, 2020 Author Share Posted March 20, 2020 On 3/20/2020 at 10:28 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Because I get enough of that everywhere else...including the amwx group text that never sleeps.... Expand On 3/20/2020 at 11:08 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: No offense to anyone in that, but it gets so annoying when it is going 100 texts per minute. Expand On 3/20/2020 at 11:17 PM, ORH_wxman said: Put the text group in “do not disturb” mode. I don’t even notice. All my other texts buzz but that group doesn’t. Anyways, back on topic. Seems like the GFS is the only model that is keeping the bulk of the dynamics south offshore. Probably not a bad spot for models to be if you’re hoping for something in SNE/CNE. Expand 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 Bob what are your latest thoughts Is this capped at advisory for SE mass in your opinion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 On 3/20/2020 at 11:20 PM, 512high said: So your thoughts Lakes Region South? or better to see CON south/SNE? Expand Good shot at shovelable. Hard to say whether it’s warning criteria yet. I feel like there’s a decent chance at a stripe somewhere. N SNE/S CNE is as good a spot as any for it on this setup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 On 3/20/2020 at 11:57 PM, ORH_wxman said: Good shot at shovelable. Hard to say whether it’s warming criteria yet. I feel like there’s a decent chance at a stripe somewhere. N SNE/S CNE is as good a spot as any for it on this setup. Expand Trying to catch up, GFS on board? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 On 3/20/2020 at 11:17 PM, ORH_wxman said: Put the text group in “do not disturb” mode. I don’t even notice. All my other texts buzz but that group doesn’t. Expand Yup do not disturb is wonderful for large group chats. I love looking at my phone when it hasn’t vibrated and see 37 new texts from a group lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 18z Euro back to kind of a weak sauce look. It’s quite subtle aloft but it matters a lot for the sfc. When the base of the wave isn’t as kinked in the flow, it keeps everything more diffuse and weaker. Still accumulating snow but that’s generally sub-warning look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 On 3/20/2020 at 10:28 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Because I get enough of that everywhere else...including the amwx group text that never sleeps.... Expand I don't know what that is but remind me to never join that group. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 On 3/20/2020 at 11:57 PM, ORH_wxman said: Good shot at shovelable. Hard to say whether it’s warning criteria yet. I feel like there’s a decent chance at a stripe somewhere. N SNE/S CNE is as good a spot as any for it on this setup. Expand Sort of deal we can just let’er melt melt away without shoveling? Really not interested in that right now....besides I work out of my basement now....don’t need to get out....#CoronaLife Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 On 3/21/2020 at 1:36 AM, ice1972 said: Sort of deal we can just let’er melt melt away without shoveling? Really not interested in that right now....besides I work out of my basement now....don’t need to get out....#CoronaLife Expand Temperatures jump back to upper 40s for most by Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 On 3/20/2020 at 11:17 PM, ORH_wxman said: Put the text group in “do not disturb” mode. I don’t even notice. All my other texts buzz but that group doesn’t. Anyways, back on topic. Seems like the GFS is the only model that is keeping the bulk of the dynamics south offshore. Probably not a bad spot for models to be if you’re hoping for something in SNE/CNE. Expand Oh, I have it on that, but still... Some people on social still using that old “ground is too warm” chestnut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 On 3/21/2020 at 2:19 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: Oh, I have it on that, but still... Some people on social still using that old “ground is too warm” chestnut. Expand There were 2 texts today all day. I mute and read when I can. If it bothers you I can remove you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 On 3/21/2020 at 2:23 AM, Ginx snewx said: There were 2 texts today all day. I mute and read when I can. If it bothers you I can remove you Expand Most days it’s no big deal. Some days it gets crazy. No worries. I do wish I could shut it off sometimes though. It’s not buzzing or anything but sometimes I need to be using text for work or home stuff and it gets in the way. I’m not offended by anything on it Just one other distraction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 On 3/21/2020 at 2:35 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: Most days it’s no big deal. Some days it gets crazy. No worries. I do wish I could shut it off sometimes though. It’s not buzzing or anything but sometimes I need to be using text for work or home stuff and it gets in the way. I’m not offended by anything on it Just one other distraction. Expand Agree. Today was fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 NAM is much more subdued vs prior runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 On 3/21/2020 at 2:39 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: NAM is much more subdued vs prior runs Expand It was south but more compact too. I actually thought dynamically it was a lot more impressive. Big time CCB sig. That would be a narrow but big shellacking for SE MA and N RI. I doubt it verifies but I just wanted to note the differences in the runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 On 3/21/2020 at 2:44 AM, ORH_wxman said: It was south but more compact too. I actually thought dynamically it was a lot more impressive. Big time CCB sig. That would be a narrow but big shellacking for SE MA and N RI. I doubt it verifies but I just wanted to note the differences in the runs. Expand Yeah I kind of spoke too soon.... that’s the type of look we’ll need for accumulting snows down here. We’ll see what happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 On 3/21/2020 at 2:47 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yeah I kind of spoke too soon.... that’s the type of look we’ll need for accumulting snows down here. We’ll see what happens Expand You are right that less of the forum sees advisory or better snowfall than the previous run...so in that sense it is less impressive. But dynamically this run was very pretty to look at...but it was compact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 @ORH_wxman how do you do the 84hr trick on UQUAM for the RGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 Off hr Euro runs don't always translate to actual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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