Stebo Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 hour ago, OSUmetstud said: Yes. Especially given he fought the virus through passive vaccination (the antibody therapy). Its possible he doesn't have his own antibodies and the injected one will wane and he won't have memory B cells. Fauci said he'd get the vaccine on camera...im hoping others will too. As did Obama, Bush, and Clinton. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 18 minutes ago, dan11295 said: 13,800 cases in LA County today, that is....not good Just unbelievable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Today's data from Florida is absent from worldometers for some reason. They usually get up there fairly early in the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 3 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Today's data from Florida is absent from worldometers for some reason. They usually get up there fairly early in the day. The governor in Florida is actively trying to suppress data Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: The governor in Florida is actively trying to suppress data This particular thing has not really happened much though. Like, Florida tends to report numbers every day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Looking to the skies Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 It would be nice to come to a weather forum and see weather chatter. Every time I click on this region( where I once lived and have many friends) to check, I get sent to here because this is all there is to this forum. I know, I can go to main heading and search for Weather, but goodness.. just my thoughts, back to your 220+ pages of politics on the weather forum 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 30 minutes ago, Hoosier said: This particular thing has not really happened much though. Like, Florida tends to report numbers every day. They are up now, 11,699 cases and 123 deaths 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Looks like we could break the record for cases Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 59 minutes ago, Looking to the skies said: It would be nice to come to a weather forum and see weather chatter. Every time I click on this region( where I once lived and have many friends) to check, I get sent to here because this is all there is to this forum. I know, I can go to main heading and search for Weather, but goodness.. just my thoughts, back to your 220+ pages of politics on the weather forum Every thread in this subforum except for this one is weather chatter. Seems like it shouldn't be difficult to avoid a thread clearly titled "coronavirus" 8 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 California with over 35k cases. No way the hospitals will be able to keep up with this surge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 34 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Every thread in this subforum except for this one is weather chatter. Seems like it shouldn't be difficult to avoid a thread clearly titled "coronavirus" lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Another Friday another record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Looking to the skies Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: Every thread in this subforum except for this one is weather chatter. Seems like it shouldn't be difficult to avoid a thread clearly titled "coronavirus" It is not clearly marked and you know it. The last commented subforum shows in each area, but not by name. Only by last comment Thanks for the sarcasm but I say again. This is the only location in American forum where such happens. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 hours ago, Looking to the skies said: It would be nice to come to a weather forum and see weather chatter. Every time I click on this region( where I once lived and have many friends) to check, I get sent to here because this is all there is to this forum. I know, I can go to main heading and search for Weather, but goodness.. just my thoughts, back to your 220+ pages of politics on the weather forum I guess you didnt see me complaining in the banter. Ill save you the click. The start to this winter is okay in my backyard but sucks overall and I don't know if the storminess everyone thinks will happen will actually happen. lol everything else on this sub is weather aside from this one thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 29 minutes ago, Looking to the skies said: It is not clearly marked and you know it. The last commented subforum shows in each area, but not by name. Only by last comment Thanks for the sarcasm but I say again. This is the only location in American forum where such happens. I guess I use the forum differently. I'm mobile a large majority of the time and come in through the forum link to look at threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, Hoosier said: I guess I use the forum differently. I'm mobile a large majority of the time and come in through the forum link to look at threads. No you are fine, its just someone coming along to complain. It is very easy to not post in this thread. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 hour ago, Looking to the skies said: It is not clearly marked and you know it. The last commented subforum shows in each area, but not by name. Only by last comment Thanks for the sarcasm but I say again. This is the only location in American forum where such happens. It says “coronavirus”. I’m not sure how much more clear it can get. move on. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Doing the math on California's current surge, it is quite possible they will start seeing 600 to 900 deaths a day. Hopefully I am wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 California reported more cases yesterday than every other country except Brazil. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 20 hours ago, StormfanaticInd said: Doing the math on California's current surge, it is quite possible they will start seeing 600 to 900 deaths a day. Hopefully I am wrong Their currently 21-day time lagged CFR is ~1.35% Current 7-day case average of 30k would result in ~400/day. The number might rise a bit further although they are (hopefully) close to heir they peak daily cases which would then start to fall, in line with trends seen in states like Illinois, Wisconsin, Iowa, etc. Unfortunately the damage has basically already been done and its going to being very ugly there for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 7 minutes ago, dan11295 said: Their currently 21-day time lagged CFR is ~1.35% Current 7-day case average of 30k would result in ~400/day. The number might rise a bit further although they are (hopefully) close to heir they peak daily cases which would then start to fall, in line with trends seen in states like Illinois, Wisconsin, Iowa, etc. Unfortunately the damage has basically already been done and its going to being very ugly there for a while. You have factor in LA County's population density and then available hospitals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Texas with 20k+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Now 16 days after Thanksgiving, it's interesting to click around on various states and look at trends in cases. Some states rose after Thanksgiving (this may not definitively be because of Thanksgiving, as it's in line with trends starting before that) while others have remained relatively steady or even continued to fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 55 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Now 16 days after Thanksgiving, it's interesting to click around on various states and look at trends in cases. Some states rose after Thanksgiving (this may not definitively be because of Thanksgiving, as it's in line with trends starting before that) while others have remained relatively steady or even continued to fall. I feel very confident daily deaths will surge next week unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 34 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: I feel very confident daily deaths will surge next week unfortunately Yes, daily deaths will continue rising, because the bottom line is that we still have more cases and hospitalizations in the country right now compared to what we had on Thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/12/13/us/deaths-covid-other-causes.html Interesting read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 I think Hoosier mentioned this earlier, but the IHME model is running too low. Even Covid Tracking, while has lower numbers than Worldometer, is above the top end of the IHME deaths/day estimate for today. I also think the model is showing impacts from vaccination too soon. Someone exposed today who passes away wont be reported in stats on average 28 days later, so not really viable for vaccination to impact mortality before the end of the year. I agree with their expectation that we can start seeing sharp drops in mortality numbers and CFR once we start getting into February. Am guessing somewhere between April and July normalcy gradually returns. assuming enough people get the vaccines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 hour ago, dan11295 said: I think Hoosier mentioned this earlier, but the IHME model is running too low. Even Covid Tracking, while has lower numbers than Worldometer, is above the top end of the IHME deaths/day estimate for today. I also think the model is showing impacts from vaccination too soon. Someone exposed today who passes away wont be reported in stats on average 28 days later, so not really viable for vaccination to impact mortality before the end of the year. I agree with their expectation that we can start seeing sharp drops in mortality numbers and CFR once we start getting into February. Am guessing somewhere between April and July normalcy gradually returns. assuming enough people get the vaccines. The rolling average right now is about 2400 deaths per day, and IHME projection had about 1900 deaths per day at this time. The IHME projected peak deaths per day is basically the same number we are getting now, and we know that's not going to happen with hospitalizations still gradually going up. Unfortunately their "mandates easing" projected deaths looks more realistic to where we are heading, or at least somewhere between that and their official projection. If that's the case, then we would be over 550k deaths by April 1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Vaccine has begun shipping to all 50 states. Not sure if they will be able to start giving shots tomorrow but I'd think by Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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