Birds~69 Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 Just now, Hurricane Agnes said: Thanks for the heads-up! 2 weeks. Ugh. But that poor radar needs it badly. Hope KDOX holds up during that time!!! That's sounds long?? Damn. Oh well, since it's 56F currently, overcast and windy may as well put up my Halloween decorations while chasing trash cans. Oh wait, snap, it's late April! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted April 19, 2020 Author Share Posted April 19, 2020 38 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: That's sounds long?? Damn. Oh well, since it's 56F currently, overcast and windy may as well put up my Halloween decorations while chasing trash cans. Oh wait, snap, it's late April! Kite-flying weather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted April 19, 2020 Share Posted April 19, 2020 Temps dropped for the second half of the week and a procession of rain storms. -EPO/NAO is playing havoc with optimistic forecasts for mild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 Several GFS ensemble members with snow on April 28th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 1 hour ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Kite-flying weather! Damn right! Who cares if my cap/hat flies off I look like a complete hippy. I'll buy a "brown bag" to make things look right starting tomorrow. I'm on a mission! I'm getting on the phone at 9am! I'll be flying a kite in no time.... "Curbside pickup is available at the following stores, listed by county. Each store will take a limited number of orders by phone from 9 a.m. to 1 p.m., or until the store reaches the maximum number of orders it can fulfill that day, Monday through Saturday, starting on Monday, April 20, 2020." Yep. one near me in North Wales: Fine Wine & Good Spirits Premium Collection #4653 Centre Square Commons 984 Dekalb Pike Blue Bell, PA 19422 Complete list: https://dig.abclocal.go.com/wpvi/pdf/Curbside Pickup Store List 04182020.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 Squall line still on for tomorrow, localized damaging winds the highest threat. Small hail possible too with the healthy cold pool developing above us. Lapse rates should be decent tomorrow as a result. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted April 21, 2020 Share Posted April 21, 2020 Currently 55F with a rain shower. Let's see what effect (if any) this has on potential severe later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted April 21, 2020 Share Posted April 21, 2020 4 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Currently 55F with a rain shower. Let's see what effect (if any) this has on potential severe later today. I don't see severe stuff happening. It's a complete shit show out there...drizzle/light rain, wind and temps in the 50s. I don't think things will fire up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted April 21, 2020 Author Share Posted April 21, 2020 4 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: I don't see severe stuff happening. It's a complete shit show out there...drizzle/light rain, wind and temps in the 50s. I don't think things will fire up... Agree. Was surprised to see dew on the cars this morning (temps/dews in the mid-40s this morning) and I hit a high here of 60 just before 10 am, and then the overcast and light rain (not measurable yet) came in and the temp is down to 56. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted April 21, 2020 Share Posted April 21, 2020 11 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: I don't see severe stuff happening. It's a complete shit show out there...drizzle/light rain, wind and temps in the 50s. I don't think things will fire up... Yep, the radar looks like crap. Morning showers helping to stabilize everything as always. But even so, the setup was always riding a fine edge. Low CAPE environments don't typically produce well around here unless you're into the garden variety 30mph breezy frontal passage showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted April 21, 2020 Share Posted April 21, 2020 3 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Agree. Was surprised to see dew on the cars this morning (temps/dews in the mid-40s this morning) and I hit a high here of 60 just before 10 am, and then the overcast and light rain (not measurable yet) came in and the temp is down to 56. Yep. I'll be suprised at severe stuff but hey, who knows? Freeze warning tonight...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted April 21, 2020 Share Posted April 21, 2020 Although the cold air aloft argues at least a chance of small hail, even in the non-severe storms. Won't be severe level hail, but peas and dimes certainly possible. Idk, extended range looks awful with all the rain chances with limited/none severe chances. Maybe we change things around in May and the heat finally comes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted April 21, 2020 Share Posted April 21, 2020 HRRR still feels there will be a small severe line, even with this out ahead of the line. This was never about massive warmth ahead of the front but rather upper dynamics. still may see a line 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted April 21, 2020 Share Posted April 21, 2020 Don't foresee any severe hail, but severe winds are a definite possibility. There's decent CAPE and lapse rates, but good shear for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted April 21, 2020 Author Share Posted April 21, 2020 25 minutes ago, hazwoper said: HRRR still feels there will be a small severe line, even with this out ahead of the line. This was never about massive warmth ahead of the front but rather upper dynamics. still may see a line I have seen line after line after line literally break up before my eyes when they hit the hills here in NW Philly. It's usually only the real "thick" ones that might have something survive a shredding. Interestingly enough,, the lines will often come back together again once they cross the river into the flatter coastal plains of South Jersey. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted April 21, 2020 Share Posted April 21, 2020 Just now, Hurricane Agnes said: lines will often come back together again once they cross the river into the flatter coastal plains of South Jersey. Being in South Jersey....I call bullshit. lol Damn things always seem to miss. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted April 21, 2020 Author Share Posted April 21, 2020 Just now, BBasile said: Being in South Jersey....I call bullshit. lol Damn things always seem to miss. That's why I said "often" but not "always". It seems the areas just across from Center City (Camden and Burlington Counties) seem to have storms "survive". I have even watched tornadic clouds from my office window, roll across downtown Philly, and head across the river to start funneling in Jersey. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted April 21, 2020 Share Posted April 21, 2020 2 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: That's why I said "often" but not "always". It seems the areas just across from Center City (Camden and Burlington Counties) seem to have storms "survive". I have even watched tornadic clouds from my office window, roll across downtown Philly, and head across the river to start funneling in Jersey. LOL I always say that about Cumberland County. Vineland/Millville/Bridgeton is like the severe weather triangle of the area. It's pretty much Moore, Oklahoma. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted April 21, 2020 Author Share Posted April 21, 2020 6 minutes ago, BBasile said: I always say that about Cumberland County. Vineland/Millville/Bridgeton is like the severe weather triangle of the area. It's pretty much Moore, Oklahoma. lol Must be the warm Delaware Bay water influence or something. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted April 21, 2020 Share Posted April 21, 2020 Just a breezy shower here, you guys further east should have a chance at doing better. At least I got a nice pic: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted April 21, 2020 Share Posted April 21, 2020 Dropped down to 52F with this morning's rain. A line is starting to form over Berks & Lancaster counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted April 21, 2020 Share Posted April 21, 2020 Sun coming out here ahead of this new line. Not sure how much it will help, but can’t hurt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted April 21, 2020 Author Share Posted April 21, 2020 Severe Thunderstorm Warning lofted for N/W Quote Severe Thunderstorm Warning Severe Thunderstorm Warning NJC019-041-PAC017-029-045-091-095-101-211730- /O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0036.200421T1704Z-200421T1730Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 104 PM EDT Tue Apr 21 2020 The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Hunterdon County in northwestern New Jersey... Southwestern Warren County in northwestern New Jersey... Montgomery County in southeastern Pennsylvania... Bucks County in southeastern Pennsylvania... Chester County in southeastern Pennsylvania... Northwestern Philadelphia County in southeastern Pennsylvania... Central Delaware County in southeastern Pennsylvania... South central Northampton County in eastern Pennsylvania... * Until 130 PM EDT. * At 103 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from Pleasant Valley to near Green Lane to near Parkesburg, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is possible. * Locations impacted include... Philadelphia, West Chester, Norristown, Pottstown, Phoenixville, Lansdale, West Norriton, East Norriton, Coatesville, Westtown, Quakertown, Perkasie, Doylestown, Byram, Downingtown, Conshohocken, Hatboro, Souderton, Bedminster and Washington. This includes the following highways... Interstate 78 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 27. Interstate 476 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 9 and 19. Pennsylvania Turnpike between exits 312 and 343. Northeast Extension between exits A20 and A31. Interstate 76 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 327 and 336. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Protecting yourself from immediate threats to life and safety shall take priority. Whenever possible, as long as it does not cause greater harm, all COVID-19 protective action guidance should be followed. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 4006 7593 4034 7551 4081 7504 4078 7486 4074 7483 4072 7472 4058 7471 4050 7478 4051 7480 4049 7478 4022 7503 3983 7552 3984 7559 3982 7566 3994 7599 TIME...MOT...LOC 1703Z 287DEG 35KT 4074 7501 4032 7542 4000 7591 HAIL...<.75IN WIND...60MPH $$ Davis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted April 21, 2020 Author Share Posted April 21, 2020 Sun popped out here and temp crept up to 59. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted April 21, 2020 Share Posted April 21, 2020 Brief downpour and wind gust, one distant thunder. April of azz. Although power is a good thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted April 21, 2020 Author Share Posted April 21, 2020 SPC just popped a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for the area - Quote Severe Thunderstorm Watch SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 128 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 125 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2020 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 128 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS PAC017-029-045-091-101-212100- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0128.200421T1725Z-200421T2100Z/ PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUCKS CHESTER DELAWARE MONTGOMERY PHILADELPHIA $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted April 21, 2020 Share Posted April 21, 2020 Gusty winds -- 35mph or so, with a heavy downpour. No lightning or thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted April 21, 2020 Author Share Posted April 21, 2020 Warning now moved to the east - Quote Severe Thunderstorm Warning Severe Thunderstorm Warning NJC005-007-019-021-023-027-035-PAC017-091-101-211800- /O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0037.200421T1728Z-200421T1800Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 128 PM EDT Tue Apr 21 2020 The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Morris County in northern New Jersey... Southeastern Hunterdon County in northwestern New Jersey... Northwestern Camden County in southern New Jersey... Mercer County in central New Jersey... Northwestern Burlington County in southern New Jersey... Somerset County in northern New Jersey... Western Middlesex County in northern New Jersey... Southeastern Montgomery County in southeastern Pennsylvania... Southeastern Bucks County in southeastern Pennsylvania... Philadelphia County in southeastern Pennsylvania... * Until 200 PM EDT. * At 127 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from Wharton to near Washington Crossing to Lima, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is possible. * Locations impacted include... Philadelphia, Trenton, Camden, New Brunswick, Morristown, Somerville, Somerset, Bensalem, East Brunswick, Bridgewater, South Brunswick, Mount Laurel, North Brunswick, Ewing, Willingboro, Dover, Madison, Hopatcong, Middlesex and Princeton. People attending Covid-19 Drive through testing should seek safe shelter immediately! This includes the following highways... Interstate 195 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 7. Interstate 287 in New Jersey between mile markers 3 and 47. Interstate 295 in New Jersey between mile markers 35 and 76. Interstate 78 in New Jersey between mile markers 22 and 42. Interstate 80 in New Jersey between mile markers 29 and 48. Interstate 95 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 22 and 40. New Jersey Turnpike between exits 4 and 8, and between exits 9 and 10. Pennsylvania Turnpike between exits 339 and 353. Interstate 76 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 332 and 342. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Protecting yourself from immediate threats to life and safety shall take priority. Whenever possible, as long as it does not cause greater harm, all COVID-19 protective action guidance should be followed. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 4091 7433 4083 7433 4076 7438 4075 7436 4067 7446 4066 7445 4066 7440 4060 7446 4060 7434 4025 7452 4018 7461 3988 7491 4002 7532 4005 7534 4031 7503 4096 7463 4091 7427 4090 7427 TIME...MOT...LOC 1727Z 278DEG 34KT 4092 7457 4030 7493 3991 7545 HAIL...<.75IN WIND...60MPH $$ Davis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted April 21, 2020 Share Posted April 21, 2020 Okay, 1 loud crack of thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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