wolfie09 Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Yeah they have made a comeback lol Much of that has to do with the last event when they had double digits and me nothing lol They have also had a lot more hours of Lake effect than I have this year.. Every year is different, Fulton has had more snow than Redfield on multiple occasions (not N Redfield lol).. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Fulton average Snowfall is around 175" a year, not much different than here, it's the temps, especially at night that make the difference..My snow actually stays on the ground lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 1, 2020 Author Share Posted March 1, 2020 14 hours ago, rochesterdave said: Considering zero success with any long range products this entire winter, you’ll excuse me if I don’t buy into products predicting events 10 months away. 120 hrs made monkeys out of all the models this winter. I’m sure they’ll do much better with 7,000 hrs..... 2019/20 winter isn’t over. March hasn’t even begun. Maybe for lake effect it’s over but as I’m fond of saying, in Rochester, we see our best synoptic events in March. Something will pop up. Isotherms forecast was pretty spot on, as it usual is. Raindance has been pretty good as well. Go look at their forecast in weather forecasting sub-forum. You can't predict individual storms, but you can predict patterns ahead of time. Both of those guys are so much better then long range models/ENS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Anybody got a link to Mesonet snow totals? I’m curious, you think Mesonet or human is more reliable? I’m assuming Mesonet is a computer measuring system? Correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Isotherms forecast was pretty spot on, as it usual is. Raindance has been pretty good as well. Go look at their forecast in weather forecasting sub-forum. You can't predict individual storms, but you can predict patterns ahead of time. Both of those guys are so much better then long range models/ENS. Agreed. Isotherm does an excellent job with long range forecasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Solid look. Little bit East. We can start watching for real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Euro still a late bloomer, some wrap around, NW flow on the backside verbatim.. Looks like some type of inverted trough as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Guidance overall has some snow this weekend but the big stuff is east.. Getting late in the season for dink and dunking lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Gfs catching onto an inverted trough. Could be good for a few inches Friday into Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Cold advection will change the precip over to all snow late Friday afternoon or early Friday evening. An area of deep wrap around moisture, northerly upslope flow, and some lake response (H85 temps -10c or so) may produce at least some snow accumulations later Friday through Saturday morning. Early for sure, but if ECMWF pattern and QPF verifies (been showing this for a few days now), then somewhere across the Niagara Frontier would probably have at least a few inches of snow by Saturday morning. This system pulls well offshore into the Atlantic on Saturday, with limited snow showers south of the lakes ending by Saturday afternoon. High pressure will then bring dry weather Saturday night and Sunday, with a warming trend still on track for early next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Pretty slow out there. Sure wish something would fire up!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 There were several large flocks of Canada geese flying north today along with robin and red winged blackbird sightings definitely indicate the changing seasons. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 2, 2020 Author Share Posted March 2, 2020 4 hours ago, rochesterdave said: Pretty slow out there. Sure wish something would fire up!! The only thing I'm going to be firing up soon. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Yup that about does it.. I'll be lucky to get that 1/4" I need lol Could be a few inches for wny as the northern stream dives down to catch the S stream... Gfs has nothing pass mid month, which can change but doubtful... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Will change next run but spring has arrived at the end of the gfs.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 10 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Will change next run but spring has arrived at the end of the gfs.. Jesus. What a winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Mild, mild, mild. The kind of winter I detest. We've had plenty of these lately. Yawn. Bring on a summer with Low 70 Highs and 50 degree lows... and low dewpoints/humidity. One can dream. 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 I think we get one more shot of winter especially SW.. Probably a 2"-4" factoring in Ratios.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 The official end of winter! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 3, 2020 Author Share Posted March 3, 2020 4 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: Mild, mild, mild. The kind of winter I detest. We've had plenty of these lately. Yawn. Bring on a summer with Low 70 Highs and 50 degree lows... and low dewpoints/humidity. One can dream. Bring me a summer of high 80s and lows in the upper 60s please! Also lots of sun! Ready for some awesome nights on the water and at the beach! I can tell you don't enjoy those activates or you'd be hoping for the same thing. I enjoy winter as best as anyone can in Buffalo, but summers are by far my favorite season. There is just so much you can do in summer here in Buffalo compared to winter. Kayaking, boating, swimming, BBQ, biking, golf, parties over friends house in backyard, bonfires on the beach, rooftop bars, concerts, there is something going on downtown literally all summer in the city. Can't wait. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 18 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Bring me a summer of high 80s and lows in the upper 60s please! Also lots of sun! Ready for some awesome nights on the water and at the beach! I can tell you don't enjoy those activates or you'd be hoping for the same thing. I enjoy winter as best as anyone can in Buffalo, but summers are by far my favorite season. There is just so much you can do in summer here in Buffalo compared to winter. Kayaking, boating, swimming, BBQ, biking, golf, parties over friends house in backyard, bonfires on the beach, rooftop bars, concerts, there is something going on downtown literally all summer in the city. Can't wait. I’m more of a upper 70s low 80s guy during the day. But agreed. Couple muggy nights with some thunderstorms. Just nice when we can finally get back outside again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 3, 2020 Author Share Posted March 3, 2020 13 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: I’m more of a upper 70s low 80s guy during the day. But agreed. Couple muggy nights with some thunderstorms. Just nice when we can finally get back outside again. I go for a walk nearly every night in summer with the dog. The muggy nights with the crickets, the best! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 13 hours ago, wolfie09 said: Will change next run but spring has arrived at the end of the gfs.. That's not Spring...its mid January conditions... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 12 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: Mild, mild, mild. The kind of winter I detest. We've had plenty of these lately. Yawn. Bring on a summer with Low 70 Highs and 50 degree lows... and low dewpoints/humidity. One can dream. I have a pool. Once May is here I want roasting hot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 Checking out Ottawa as an alternative to the ADK's this weekend. Rideau Canal is already closed for skating for the year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 3, 2020 Author Share Posted March 3, 2020 Overnight tornado in Nashville looks like 10 people dead. https://abcnews.go.com/US/tornado-directly-hits-nashville-extensive-damage-reported/story?id=69352467 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 3, 2020 Author Share Posted March 3, 2020 52 minutes ago, cny rider said: Checking out Ottawa as an alternative to the ADK's this weekend. Rideau Canal is already closed for skating for the year! Went bungee jumping in Ottawa a few years back, loved walking around that city it was beautiful there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 Picked up 1/2" liquid yesterday, already nearing 50° today.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 3, 2020 Author Share Posted March 3, 2020 Looks like strong EF3, low EF4 damage right through downtown Nashville, 10 mile path in the middle of the night. Absolute worst case scenario last night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 3 hours ago, cny rider said: Checking out Ottawa as an alternative to the ADK's this weekend. Rideau Canal is already closed for skating for the year! Tug still looks good. If it can survive today should be ok? I think. We both picked a crap weekend to go. Last weekend would’ve been perfect. Oh well. Might get a little fresh stuff but looks like western Dacks get downsloped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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