March 2020 Temperature Forecast Contest

[Roger Smith]

Predict the temperature anomalies (F deg) relative to 1981-2010 normals for

DCA_NYC_BOS __ ORD_ATL_IAH ___ DEN_PHX_SEA

Deadline 06z Sunday March 1st. The usual late penalties apply (hopefully to nobody).

 

[hudsonvalley21]

DCA +3.4

NYC +3.6

BOS +3.5

ORD +3.7

ATL +1.8

IAH +1.7

DEN +0.6

PHX -0.2

SEA +0.3

[Rjay]

DCA +5.0

NYC +5.0

BOS +5.5

ORD +2.5

ATL +2.0

IAH +1.5

DEN -0.5

PHX 0.0

SEA -1.5

[wxallannj]

DCA +3.6

NYC +3.8

BOS +4.0

ORD +4.0

ATL +2.0

IAH +1.5

DEN  +0.5

PHX  +0.8

SEA -0.7

[donsutherland1]

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

4.1      4.3      4.5        5.0      3.0      1.5        1.0      0.0      -1.1 

[Scotty Lightning]

DCA_NYC_BOS __ ORD_ATL_IAH ___ DEN_PHX_SEA

1.5    1.0    1.0        1.0    2.0   2.0         0.0   1.0   0.5 

[RodneyS]

DCA_NYC_BOS __ ORD_ATL_IAH ___ DEN_PHX_SEA

4.6     3.7    4.0        4.2    2.2    3.0        2.6    1.8    0.0

[Roger Smith]

+2 at all locations for me.

[wxdude64]

DCA  +3.1

NYC  +2.9

BOS  +2.7

ORD  +3.1

ATL  +2.2

IAD  +1.8

DEN  +0.8

PHX  +0.7

SEA  -0.2

[Brian5671]

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

+3.0      +2.5      +2.0     even    +5.0    +3.5   -1.0     -1.0     -2.0

[bkviking]

DCA +3.9

NYC +3.9

BOS +3.9

ORD +4.3

ATL +2.0

IAH +1.0

DEN  -0.6

PHX  +0.2

SEA -1.1

[Tom]

DCA +2.5

NYC +2.6

BOS +2.6

ORD +1.9

ATL +2.0

IAH +1.2

DEN +0.5

PHX +0.1

SEA -0.2

 

[Roger Smith]

Forecasts for March, 2020

 

FORECASTER _____________ DCA _NYC _BOS __ ORD _ATL _IAH ___ DEN _PHX _SEA

RJay _______________________+5.0 _+5.0 _+5.5 __+2.5 _+2.0 _+1.5 ___--0.5 __0.0 _-1.5

RodneyS __________________ +4.6 _+3.7 _+4.0 __+4.2 _+2.2 _+3.0 ___+2.6 _+1.8 __0.0

DonSutherland.1 ___________+4.1 _+4.3 _+4.5 __+5.0 _+3.0 _+1.5 ___+1.0 __0.0 _--1.1

BKViking _____ (-4%) _______+3.9 _+3.9 _+3.9 __+4.3 _+2.0 _+1.0 ___--0.6_ +0.2_ --1.1

wxallannj _________________ +3.6 _+3.8 _+4.0 __+4.0 _+2.0 _+1.5 ___+0.5_ +0.8_ --0.7

hudsonvalley21 ____________+3.4 _+3.6 _+3.5 __+3.7 _+1.8 _+1.7 ___+0.6_ --0.2_ +0.3

___ Consensus ____________ +3.4 _+3.6 _+3.5 __+3.1 _+2.0 _+1.7 ___+0.5_ +0.2_ --0.2

wxdude64 ___ (-1%) _______ +3.1 _+2.9 _+2.7 __+3.1 _+2.2 _+1.8 ___+0.8_ +0.7_ +0.2

Brian5671 ___ (-3%) _______ +3.0 _+2.5 _+2.0 ___0.0 _+5.0 _+3.5 ___--1.0_ --1.0_ --2.0

Tom ________ (-7%) ________ +2.5 _+2.6 _+2.6 __+1.9 _+2.0 _+1.2 ___+0.5_ +0.1_ --0.2

Roger Smith ______________ +2.0 _+2.0_ +2.0 __+2.0 _+2.0 _+2.0 ___+2.0_ +2.0_ +2.0

Scotty Lightning __________ +1.5 _+1.0_ +1.0 __+1.0 _+2.0 _+2.0 ____0.0_ +1.0_ +0.5

___ Normal _________________ 0.0 __0.0 __0.0 ___0.0 __0.0 __0.0 _____0.0 __0.0 __0.0

_______________________________________________________________________

Consensus is the median of 11 forecasts or the 6th ranked forecast. 

Color codes show warmest and coolest forecasts, but Normal is lower for DCA, NYC, BOS, ATL and IAH and equal for ORD.

... Will move over the snowfall contest for easier reference and plenty of laffs. 

[Roger Smith]

Here's an update on anomalies and projections ...

___________________________ DCA _NYC _BOS __ ORD _ATL _IAH __ DEN _PHX _SEA

18th _____ (17 d) __________ +7.1 _+8.0 _+6.0 __+6.7 _+5.0 _+8.4 __+5.4 _+1.8 _--2.5

25th _____ (24d) ___________+6.9 _+6.6 _+4.7 __+5.0 _+6.3 _+8.4 __+2.6 _+0.1 _--1.7

 

18th ____ (p24 d) __________ +5.0 _+5.5 _+4.0 __+4.0 _+3.5 _+6.0 __+3.5 _+1.0 _--1.5

18th ____ (p31 d) __________ +4.5 _+4.5 _+3.0 __+2.5 _+2.5 _+4.0 __+2.5 _+0.5 _--1.0

25th ____ (p31 d) __________ +6.0 _+6.0 _+5.0 __+4.0 _+7.0 _+8.0 __+2.0 __0.0 _--1.0

Final anomalies ___________ +6.4 _+5.5_+3.7e__+4.9_+7.3 _+8.3 __+2.1 _--0.8 _--1.7

__________________________________________________________

Current GFS guidance suggests temperatures somewhat closer to average than the warm start for the month, but except for the western states, anomalies will remain significantly above normal. Small negative anomalies for SEA may largely disappear in coming days but a few colder days are indicated in the outlook. FWIW, there's a major arctic outbreak coming for April 1st in the Great Lakes and northeast. 

(25th) _ Updated through the 24th and projections look very warm for the eastern and central locations, although only slightly warmer than our higher forecasts, so well done to most ... will post some provisional scores in a while. 

(1st April) _ Final anomalies are posted (as of 1230z) except for BOS which is estimated from 30th CF6 and 31st climate reports. Scoring adjustments will be ongoing until scoring post title changes to Final Scoring. 

[Roger Smith]

Update on the no-fall contest ... 

Here's an update on the snowfall contest. 

FORECASTER _________________DCA _ NYC _ BOS ___ ORD _ DTW _ BUF____ DEN _  SEA _ BTV

___ Snowfall to date (May 15) ___ 0.6 __ 4.8 _ 15.8 ___ 34.8 __43.7 _ 69.2 ___ 57.6 __ 0.7 _ 69.7

Tom __________________________ 27.6 _ 48.1 _ 59.8 ___ 44.5 _ 39.8 _ 97.6 ___ 68.6 __ 4.8 _ 85.1

wxallannj _____________________ 22.4 _ 33.5 _ 44.7 ___ 38,9 _ 38.8 _ 69.6 ___ 41.3 __ 7.2 _ 79.4

wxdude64 ____________________ 20.6 _ 42.5 _ 54.1 ___ 50.6 _ 52.7 _100.9 ___ 69.8 __ 9.6 _ 97.4

BKViking ______________________19.0 _ 36.0 _ 51.0 ___ 42.0 _ 29.0 _ 84.0 ___ 55.0 __ 8.0 _ 77.0

hudsonvalley21 _______________ 15.8 _ 31.2 _ 47.7 ___ 42.2 _ 52.6 _ 91.3 ___ 61.1 __10.4 _ 88.8

Roger Smith __________________ 15.5 _ 38.5 _ 55.8 ___ 60.5 _ 60.2 _102.5 ___109.7__ 7.5 _110.5 

RodneyS ______________________14.4 _ 25.1 _ 40.0 ___ 35.0 _ 38.0 _100.0 ___ 80.0 __ 4.0 _ 88.0

Scotty Lightning _______________12.0 _ 24.0 _ 36.0 ___ 48.0 _ 67.0 _105.0 ___45.0 __14.0 _ 90.0

DonSutherland1 _______________10.0 _ 23.5 _ 36.0 ___ 30.0 _ 35.0 _110.0 ___ 83.0 __ 6.5 _ 90.0

___ consensus (mean) _________ 17.5 _ 33.6 _ 47.2 ____ 44.1 _ 45.9 __95.7 ___ 68.2 __ 8.0 _ 94.0

___ % to date ___________________ 3.5 __ 14 ___ 34 ______ 79 ___ 96 ___ 73 _____ 84 ___ 8.7 __ 75

_________________________________________________________________________________________________

In a few days I will post a scoring table, to be updated (for DEN mostly) until snow stops falling (there).

It is quite unusual, I believe, for both DCA and SEA to have an essentially snowless winter, usually it would be one but not the other.

 

Current scoring for the snowfall contest

Unless shown in red, all these departures are errors on the higher side, and can be reduced if any further snowfall occurs at any locations (now only marginally possible for DEN and perhaps the inland northeast). 

FORECASTER _________________ DCA _ NYC _ BOS ___ ORD _ DTW _ BUF __ DEN _ SEA _ BTV ____ TOTAL

 

wxallannj _____________________ 21.8 _ 28.7 _ 28.9 ____ 4.1 __ 4.9 __ 0.4 ___ 16.3 __ 6.5 __ 9.7 ___ 121.3

BKViking ______________________18.4 _ 31.2 _ 35.2 ____ 7.2 __14.7 _ 14.8 ____2.6 __ 7.3 __ 7.3 ___ 138.7

RodneyS ______________________13.8 _ 20.3 _ 24.2 ____ 0.2 __ 5.7 _ 30.8 ____ 22.4 __3.3 _ 18.3 ___ 139.0

hudsonvalley21 _______________ 15.2 _ 26.4 _ 31.9 ____ 7.4 __ 8.9 _ 22.1 _____3.5 __ 9.7 _ 19.1 ___ 144.2

DonSutherland1 ________________9.4 _ 18.7 _ 20.2 ____ 4.8 __ 8.7 __ 40.8 ___ 25.4 __ 5.8 _ 20.3 ___ 154.1

___ consensus (mean) _________ 16.9 _ 28.8 _ 31.4 _____ 9.3 __ 2.2 __26.5 ____ 10.6 __ 7.3 _ 24.3 ___ 157.3

Scotty Lightning _______________11.4 _ 19.2 _ 20.2 ___ 13.2 _ 23.3 _ 35.8 ____12.6__13.3 _ 20.3 ___ 169.3

Tom __________________________ 27.0 _ 43.3 _ 44.0 ____ 9.7 __ 3.9 _ 28.4 ____ 11.0 __ 4.1 _ 15.4 ___ 186.8

wxdude64 ____________________ 20.0 _ 37.7 _ 38.3 ___ 15.8 __ 9.0 _ 31.7 ___ 12.2 __ 8.9 _ 27.7 ___ 201.3

Roger Smith __________________ 14.9 _ 33.7 _ 40.0 ___ 25.7 _ 16.5 _ 34.3 ____ 52.1__ 6.8 _ 40.8 ___ 263.8

__________________________________________________________________________________

(Apr 1st) _ Standings are subject to change, especially if DEN picks up more snow, as the contest leader (wxallannj) will be accumulating error with additional DEN snowfall, and second place BKV has only 1.1" left before starting to do the same; third and fourth place Rodney and DonSutherland1 have some snow left to give -- Rodney can overtake the leader if 12" or more should fall at DEN.  Otherwise it would appear that a few more inches at say BTV or ORD-DTW would make no great difference to the outcome. So we await further developments at DEN. 

(Apr 15th) _ DEN has picked up 1.8" this month, BUF 0.9" and DTW 0.2" -- RodneyS now needs DEN snowfall of 10.5" although any further snow at DTW adds a bit to the task. 

(May 4th) _ ORD and DTW both added 4.7" since last report. For the three leaders, that generally meant no significant change as they had enough to absorb that addition at ORD and were already accumulating for DTW (wxallannj gained slightly as he was not quite over the limit for DTW.) The Midwest snow did move hudsonvalley21 past DonSutherland1 in the contest standings. Since DEN has added only 1.9" since last report above, given the above slight differential, that reduces the amount needed by  RodneyS now to 8.8" to catch wxallannj. RodneyS has moved to within 0.3" of second place BKV who is also now accumulating error points at DEN, so a further 0.2" would change those positions. BUF added 1.9", BOS 0.7" and BTV 0.1" -- these reduced all forecaster total errors equally.

(May 16th) _ Since the last report, DTW added 0.5" BUF 0.3" and BTV 0.1" (NYC trace !) ... these amounts leave the contest in the same situation awaiting any further snow which now is almost certain to be confined to DEN (if any falls, the current model run has no really strong indications of any). I will be posting this summary in the May thread and any further edits or comments will be found there. 

 

 

 

 

 

[Roger Smith]

Final scoring for March 2020

Scoring is based on the provisional forecasts for end of the month (two posts back).IAH will probably require a scoring boost (max 60 rule). The two lowest raw scores remain as they would be higher than the adjusted progression scores. The late penalties are shown in separate scoring lines after raw scores (in orange type) but for wxdude64, who could only drop one point, raw scores are shown with * meaning a deduction of one point. Scores in bold are high and the color codes for warmest and coldest forecasts are retained. 

Note: scoring adjusted after late penalty review for April contest. Adjustments are small (reduced late penalties).

 

FORECASTER _____________ DCA_NYC_BOS_east_ORD_ATL_IAH_cent__ c/e__ DEN_PHX_SEA_west ____ TOTAL

 

DonSutherland.1 ___________68 _ 81 _ 80 __ 229 __ 98 _ 37 _ 24^__ 159 _ 388 __ 78 _ 84 _ 88 __ 250 _____ 638

RodneyS __________________ 78 _ 69 _ 90 __ 237 __ 86 _ 22 _ 54^__ 162 _ 399 __ 88 _ 48 _ 66 __ 202 _____ 601

RJay ______________________ 86 _ 95 _ 60 __ 241 __ 52 _ 20 _ 24^__ 096 _ 337 __ 48 _ 84 _ 96 __ 228 _____ 565

hudsonvalley21 ____________54 _ 67 _100__ 221 __ 76 _ 18 _ 30^__ 124 _ 345 __ 70 _ 88 _ 60 __ 218 _____ 563

wxallannj __________________58 _ 71 _ 90 __ 219 __ 82 _ 20 _ 24^__ 126 _ 345 __ 68 _ 68 _ 80 __ 216 _____ 561

 

___ Consensus ____________ 54 _ 67 _100 __ 221 __ 64 _ 20 _ 30^__ 114 _ 335 __ 68 _ 80 _ 70 __ 218 _____ 553

 

BKViking __________________ 64 _ 73 _ 92 __ 229 __ 88 _ 20 _ 10 __ 118 _ 347 __ 46 _ 80 _ 88 __ 214 __ 561

_______________(-3%) _______ 62 _ 71 _ 89 __ 222 __ 85 _ 19 _ 10 __ 114 _ 336 __ 45 _ 78 _ 85 __ 208 _____ 544

Brian5671 _________________ 46 _ 45 _ 70 __ 161 __ 02 _ 77 _ 60^__ 139 _ 300 __ 38 _ 96 _ 94 __ 228 __ 528

______________(-2%) ________ 45 _ 44 _ 69 __ 158 __ 02 _ 75 _ 59 __ 136 _ 294 __ 37 _ 94 _ 92 __ 223 _____ 517

wxdude64 ___ (-1%) ________ 48 _ 52*_ 83*__183 __ 63*_ 22_ 36^__ 121 _ 304 __ 73*_ 69*_61*__203 _____ 507

Tom _______________________36 _ 47 _ 82 __ 165 __ 40 _ 20 _ 12 __ 072 _ 237 __ 68 _ 82 _ 70 __ 220 __ 457

____________ (-5%) __________34 _ 45 _ 78 __ 157 __ 38 _ 19 _ 11 __ 068 _ 225 __ 65 _ 78 _ 67 __ 210 _____ 435

Roger Smith _______________ 26 _ 35 _ 70 __ 131 __ 42 _ 20 _ 48^__ 110 _ 241 __98 _ 44 _ 26 __ 168 _____ 409

Scotty Lightning ___________ 16 _ 15 _ 50 __ 081 __ 22 _ 20 _ 48^__ 090 _ 171 __ 58 _ 64 _ 56 __ 178 _____ 349

___ Normal _________________00 _ 00 _ 30 __ 030 __ 02 _ 00 _ 00 __ 002 _ 032 __ 58 _ 84 _ 66 __ 208 _____ 240

_________________________________________________________________________________

Extreme forecasts 

DCA, NYC, ORD, ATL and IAH -- the warmest forecasts have prevailed, earning two wins for RJay (DCA, NYC) and Brian5671 (ATL, IAH) and one for DonSutherland1 (ORD). 

At PHX (-0.8) the coldest forecast has won, one more for Brian5671 (total of three this month). 

At SEA (-1.7) the high score was second coldest (RJay -1.5) so he has a win and Brian5671 (-2.0) adds a loss to the three wins.

At DEN the final value (+2.1) gives Roger Smith a win (+2.0) and RodneyS (+2.6) a loss.

BOS ended up in the middle of our range and did not qualify. 

Annual update to follow, and this table subject to adjustments as the actual values are reported.

[Roger Smith]

< < < < < ........ <<<< ---- ====== Annual Scoring (Jan-Mar) 2020 ====== ---- >>>> .......> > > > >

Numbers in red denote highest cumulative scores for each of nine locations. Numbers in bold black type denote highest subtotals for regions. 

 

FORECASTER ______________ DCA_NYC_BOS__east__ORD_ATL_IAH__cent__ c/e __DEN_PHX_SEA__west ___ TOTAL

 

RodneyS ___________________246_212 _211 __ 669 __253_171_170 __ 594 __1263 __202_188_200__590 ____ 1853

wxallannj __________________168 _194 _189 __ 551 __155 _149 _134 __ 438 __ 989 __156_242_188__586_____1575

RJay _______________________220 _236_165 __ 621 __ 99 _ 137 _128 __ 364 __ 985 __ 146 _218_152__516 ____1501

Brian5671 _________________ 237 _213 _188 __ 638 __ 72 _ 228_173 __ 473 __1111 ___ 41 _190_148__379 ____1490

Don Sutherland.1 ___________172 _182_155 __ 509 __195 _126_124 __ 445 __ 954 __ 114 _170 _212__496 ____1450

 

___ Consensus ______________148 _148 _175 __ 471__131 _139_146 __ 416 __ 887 __132 _252_178__562 _____1449

 

BKViking ___________________162 _160 _176 __ 498__152 _140 _126__ 418 __ 916 __ 133 _240_157__530 ____1446

hudsonvalley21 _____________124 _142 _161 __ 427__141 _135_116__ 392 __ 819 __148 _266_168__582 ____1401

Tom _______________________ 112 _112 _135 __ 359__111 _134_119__ 364 __ 723 __ 121 _262_179__562 ____1285

wxdude64 __________________ 82 __ 74 __ 91 __ 247 __ 98 _125 _167__ 390 __ 637 __ 114 _238_161__513 ____1150

Scotty Lightning _____________50 __ 44 __ 65 __ 159 __ 82 _117_162__ 361 __ 520 __ 120 _236_202__558 ____1078

Roger Smith ________________ 52 __ 55 __ 98 __ 205 __ 89 _127_136 __ 352 __ 557 __ 134 _116 _ 56__306 _____ 863

___ Normal __________________04 __ 04 __ 30 __ 038 __ 52 _ 46 _ 94 __ 192 __ 230 __ 92 _ 260_ 212__ 564 _____ 794

yoda _ (2/3) _________________64 __ 43 __ 16 __ 123 __ 18_118 _125 __ 261 __ 384 __ 71 _161_ 70 __ 302 _____ 686

JakkelWx _ (1/3) ____________ 28 __ 21 __ 40 __ 089 __ 07 _ 37 _ 48 __ 092 __ 181 ___ 12 _ 88 _ 06 __ 106 _____ 287

rclab _ (1/3) _________________05 __ 00 __ 00 __ 005 __ 00 _ 11 _ 24 __ 035 __ 040 ___ 56 _ 88 _ 66 __ 210 _____ 250

dwave _ (1/3) _______________ 72 __ 75 __ 48 __ 195 __ 12 _ 25 _ 10 __ 047 __ 242 ___ 16 _ 34 _ 00 __ 050 _____ 292

Rhino16 _ (1/3) ______________00 __ 05 __ 20 __ 025 __ 00 _ 13 _ 30 __ 043 __ 068 ___ 04 _ 52 _ 54 __ 110 _____ 178

==============================================================================

Extreme forecast standings

22 of 27 forecasts so far have qualified for an extreme forecast award for the warmest forecast(s), 18 for warmest and 4 for coldest.

FORECASTER ____ Jan _ Feb _ Mar _ Apr _ May etc ___ Standings to date

Brian 5671 _______ 4-0 __ 1-0 __ 3-1 __ ---- __ ---- ________ 8 - 1

RodneyS _________ 2-0 __ 3-0 __ 0-1 __ ---- __ ---- ________ 5 - 1

RJay _____________ ---- __ ---- __ 3-0 __ ---- __ ---- _________ 3 - 0

Scotty Lightning __ 2-0 __ 0-0 __ ---- __ ---- __ ---- _________2 - 0

RClab ____________ 2-0 __ ---- __ ---- __ ---- __ ---- _________ 2 - 0

DonSutherland1___0-0 __ 1-0 __ 1-0 __ ---- __ ---- ________ 2 - 0

yoda _____________ 0-0 __ 1-0 __ ---- __ ---- __ ---- _________1 - 0

Tom _____________ 1-0 __ 0-0 __ ---- __ ---- __ ---- _________ 1 - 0

Roger Smith ______ ---- __ ---- __ 1-0 __ ---- __ ---- _________ 1 - 0

Normal ___________1-0 __ 0-1 __ ---- __ ---- __ ---- _________ 1 - 1

================================================================================

BEST SCORES -- Totals for January to March

Forecasters are listed in same order as annual points standings. Only those who have any best scores are listed.

Ties are possible which is why some locations have more than two best scores, also, if Normal or consensus

achieve a top score, the actual forecaster with high score gets an award also.

 

FORECASTER ______________ DCA_NYC_BOS__east__ORD_ATL_IAH__cent__c/e__DEN_PHX_SEA__west___Months

RodneyS ___________________ 1 ___ 1 ___ 1 ____ 1 ____ 2 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 2 ____ 2 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 _____ 2 _ Jan, Feb

wxallannj ___________________0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 _____ 0

RJay _______________________ 1 ___ 1 ___ 0 ____ 1 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 _____ 0

Brian5671 __________________ 2 ___ 1 ___ 1 ____ 1 ____ 0 ___ 2 ___ 1 ___ 0 ____ 1 ____ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 _____ 0

DonSutherland.1 ____________0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 1 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 _____ 1 _ Mar

___ Consensus ______________0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 _____ 0

hudsonvalley21 _____________0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 _____ 0

Tom ________________________0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 _____ 0

Scotty Lightning ____________ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 1 ___ 1 ___ 1 ___ 0 _____ 0

Roger Smith ________________ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 _____ 0

yoda _______________________ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 _____ 0

_____ Normal _______________ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 1 ___ 1 ___ 0 _____ 0

RClab _______________________0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 1 ___ 1 ___ 1 ___ 1 _____ 0