BuffaloWeather Posted February 27, 2020 Author Share Posted February 27, 2020 So much potential 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Made it here before it got too bad, but the wind was already picking up and there’s a light accumulation so far. Here’s to hoping we all get crushed later on . Decided to stick with Pulaski over Watertown. We’ll see how it goes but at any rate I’m expecting legitimate blizzard conditions so that itself should make the trip worth it. Yeah I was in Pulaski last night, was a lot of Grass showing, hopefully they covered that up for you lol Radar is a little outdated since it's not updating but you can see the enhancement firing up.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 27, 2020 Author Share Posted February 27, 2020 4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Definitely covered up, and about the most winter I've seen all year. I like being out here in WNY. Shame I couldn't make Redfield work this time, but I love the adventure of the chase. So much so...I was halfway to Utica when I realized I forgot my yardstick lol. Who cares though, it's all gonna be blowing around. Go buy a yardstick, I want measurements! Blizzard conditions are verifying here. Light/Moderate snow with whiteouts, especially in open areas. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 27, 2020 Author Share Posted February 27, 2020 Here comes the lake effect, on the northern edge of it right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 A little over 2.5” here since the flip. Need that wind direction Wolfie for later! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Honestly don't think your gonna need a Yard stick lol It's hard to ignore what guidance is showing.. If they are correct the band stays north of us the entire time until tomorrow afternoon when it quickly sweeps by lol The best part of this event will probably be till this afternoon with lake Enhancement.. The northern portion of the Tug Hill on Friday morning looks likely as earlier model guidance trended a bit north with the band and that scenario still seems to be favored 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 NWS is reluctant to reduce the Snowfall all at once lol Pulaski went from 31"-25"-22" over the last 3 updates.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 27, 2020 Author Share Posted February 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Honestly don't think your gonna need a Yard stick lol It's hard to ignore what guidance is showing.. If they are correct the band stays north of us the entire time until tomorrow afternoon when it quickly sweeps by lol The best part of this event will probably be till this afternoon with lake Enhancement.. The northern portion of the Tug Hill on Friday morning looks likely as earlier model guidance trended a bit north with the band and that scenario still seems to be favored Yeah the rgem caught on early it shows wsw winds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Some guidance is closer than others so still worth keeping an eye on lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 7 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Honestly don't think your gonna need a Yard stick lol It's hard to ignore what guidance is showing.. If they are correct the band stays north of us the entire time until tomorrow afternoon when it quickly sweeps by lol The best part of this event will probably be till this afternoon with lake Enhancement.. The northern portion of the Tug Hill on Friday morning looks likely as earlier model guidance trended a bit north with the band and that scenario still seems to be favored Your prediction of Watertown looks legit if models keep trending north. Sad! May not even snow most of the day tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 27, 2020 Author Share Posted February 27, 2020 The high winds are also ripping apart the bands off Erie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Rgem always wins lol We had 2 huge bust last year similar to this lol Rgem nailed them both, something about those WSW winds lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Nam products have 2"-3" for Fulton and that includes a couple hours of snow today lol NWS still has 15" for them haha Looking good for the Enhancement portion so far..2.6" so far.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Another crusher on the ARW but like I mentioned yesterday, it has a huge southern bias.. Maybe it can pull one out of it's ass lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 What a dud. Even stopped snowing here in west falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Lake Erie looks like its really coming alive on IR satellite. Perhaps as the shear decreases and the cold air deepens we can develop a nice band over Holiday Valley. I took off tomorrow so I'm going regardless at this point. **Does snow dance in thread** https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-MI-13-48-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=data 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Really nasty out right now, starting to add up.. Wind direction 264° so almost due west.. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Really nasty out right now, starting to add up.. Wind direction 264° so almost due west.. I’m hoping for ya Wolf. I’m also hoping on Snow Ridge. I’ll be checking in with their cam often. I’ve got nothing to offer as I’m not a LE guy. I know little about it but I’d love to see you cash in with a couple feet. Man, BUF has taken it on the chin with accumulation thus far. I know it’s early but those guys always freak out when a LE event comes around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 27, 2020 Author Share Posted February 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: I’m hoping for ya Wolf. I’m also hoping on Snow Ridge. I’ll be checking in with their cam often. I’ve got nothing to offer as I’m not a LE guy. I know little about it but I’d love to see you cash in with a couple feet. Man, BUF has taken it on the chin with accumulation thus far. I know it’s early but those guys always freak out when a LE event comes around. They said 4-8" for the synoptic part of this event and were pretty much spot on. Lake effect will add another 1-2' across areas south of Buffalo. This was never a metro event. Blizzard conditions occurred this morning, but not for a continuous 3 hours, a warning would have sufficed. I like saving blizzard warnings for truly bad storms. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BUF&issuedby=BUF&product=LSR&format=CI&version=5&glossary=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Is it to much to ask for the gfs to school all the SR models lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Looks like a single band is starting to fire up . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Just now, wolfie09 said: Looks like a single band is starting to fire up . 4” so far in 5 hours. Keep me posted on the wind direction. 12z RGEM was WAY north but still spreads enough around for 12-18”. Come on GFS haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Yeah Rgem was really close for us on the southern edge..I would consider a foot a win for sure lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 It can literally snow like this for 5 days straight and never accumulate and the temps in the mid 20's and yes, the March Sun angle is doing its job already, Spring is here, lol!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 If you like what your seeing on radar as winds veer to the WSW and this is why I wont even be watching this horrific event but bbn I hope Wolfie gets the Hammer cause he deserves it and I think you are right in the Jackpot area bro so congrats, Finally!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 10 minutes ago, swva said: 4” so far in 5 hours. Keep me posted on the wind direction. 12z RGEM was WAY north but still spreads enough around for 12-18”. Come on GFS haha It's not just the gfs either, euro and ukmet are similar with wind direction..The flow off the lake looks pretty similar to the ARW, I guess we can hope lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 The Suns rays are shining through the clouds already so stick a fork in this one as well be sucking exhaust for the foreseeable future!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Max wind gusts so far 28.6mph , that's at about 3 meters.. Just in case I grow a few feet.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Someone under that LO band? Looks like it's starting to crank up. http://www.oswego.edu/webcam/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 6 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: If you like what your seeing on radar as winds veer to the WSW and this is why I wont even be watching this horrific event but bbn I hope Wolfie gets the Hammer cause he deserves it and I think you are right in the Jackpot area bro so congrats, Finally! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Boy, this event makes me miss snowmobiling on the hill (I am headed back in a couple weeks - conditions permitting). Based on wind direction alone, I'd give unnecessary body parts to be sitting in or @ Sears Pond/Montague/Carthage/Lowville for this event. Seems like of late, southern tug ie. Redfield/pulaski/altmar areas have been the winners. This has a true WSW component until the death band starts it pivot south tomorrow. Cams looking pretty good right now (on the hill mind you). Enjoy. Nut 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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