BuffaloWeather Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Buffalo, and Batavia ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph resulting in significant blowing snow. * WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Northern Erie, and Genesee counties. * WHEN...From Wednesday evening through early Thursday afternoon. Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Warsaw, Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park, and Springville ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Long duration heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 2 feet possible. Snowfall rates may reach 1 to 2 inches per hour at times. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph resulting in significant blowing and drifting snow. Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Long duration heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 3 feet possible. Snowfall rates may reach over 2 inches per hour at times. Winds could gust as high as 40 to 45 mph resulting in significant blowing and drifting snow. * WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. The greatest snow amounts are expected to focus across the Tug Hill Plateau. * WHEN...From late Wednesday night through Saturday afternoon. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Here we go! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Man if this sucker was just 75 miles east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 9 minutes ago, tim123 said: Man if this sucker was just 75 miles east. It’s not over yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 NAM continues to be unimpressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 NAMed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 My call for this area: An inch or so of synoptic, and then 1 to 3 inches of wind-blown snow showers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 NAM looks much further north on the LES band. Pretty typical if it holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Look at that LES band off Ontario. Triple Lake connection all the way back to Superior. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Yawn. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 With the Low taking the track it looks to be tracking, this will be a Westerly wind to SW wind lake effect event, with most synoptic missing much of Upstate NY. Doubtful the last minute shift S and E occurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 11 minutes ago, swva said: NAM looks much further north on the LES band. Pretty typical if it holds. Yeah definitely more WSW than it's Previous run but still a big time hit with 2'+.. Which is what the NWS is calling for.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Just now, wolfie09 said: Yeah definitely more WSW than it's Previous run but still a big time hit with 2'+.. Which is what the NWS is calling for.. 3k still very impressive and still snowing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 It does make me nervous to see the usual juiced up NAM so unimpressed. GFS may be coming back down to earth 00z. Just a gut. Likely a solid high end advisory/low end warning snowfall for WNY. I’d go for 5-10” for WNY. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Just now, WesterlyWx said: It does make me nervous to see the usual juiced up NAM so unimpressed. GFS may be coming back down to earth 00z. Just a gut. Likely a solid high end advisory/low end warning snowfall for WNY. I’d go for 5-10” for WNY. Hopefully it works out for you guys. Do you still have snowcover over there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: Hopefully it works out for you guys. Do you still have snowcover over there? Nope, haven’t for days, save for the snow piles from plows etc... green grass and mud. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Didnt the last storm end up like 100 miles east of where is was projected 24 hours before? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Just now, tim123 said: Didnt the last storm end up like 100 miles east of where is was projected 24 hours before? Sure did. We can hope. It’s a spring thing, anything can happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Nope, haven’t for days, save for the snow piles from plows etc... green grass and mud. We had several snowfalls with some ice encased layers, so some snowpack is holding strong despite several days in the 40s/50s with full on sunshine. Some areas have about 8 inches still, while other areas that are exposed to full day sun and under heavy trees have some bare grass showing. I would say still about 90% snow coverage here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 26, 2020 Author Share Posted February 26, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 GFS ticked back East by a click. Rochester still right on the cutoff. Wyoming County probably does well especially in elevated areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Friday into sat looks nice for lake snow for roc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Ukmet from 12z had hamlin getting near 2 feet at 10 to 1! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 GFS still showing a foot in BUF by Friday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Cmc way east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Models are very confused. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Ukmet is pretty meh for the synoptic event, still looks really good for the lake effect event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 4 hours ago, tim123 said: Man if this sucker was just 75 miles east. It's going to be 75 Miles west...done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 I hope the band is a little wider than this lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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