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March Medium/Long Range Disco


CAPE
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4 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said:

before we finally transition to Hot and humid with little rain for the long, long, looooong Summer ahead

The Atlantic is going to boil this summer. As will your grass , but maybe the extreme heat will kill your moles.

Might be an early and a extended beach season this year . The robust Western Atlantic ridge may be so large at times to deflect storms into the Gulf but we are to a degree due for a East Coast threat that effects a large portion of the coastline, such as a Donna track. And yes, it will be a long summer but you never know, the consensus early on is for heat but why not think chaos and maybe a cooler summer is in the cards.  Hard to go against extreme heat coming out of this winter but you never know.            

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Hopefully this background state changes as the year progresses.  Even HM commented the last time in regards to the HL and the NAM this winter was way back  in the Pinatubo era.  

https://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/1997/fs113-97/

 

Deep Westerlies,  as Simon states,  and your Westerly dominant AAM regime mentioned by Matt are keys . Put that on your checklist next December.   

No changes expected here for at least a month or longer, I might speculate months.  

 

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2 minutes ago, Yeoman said:

GFS likes day 10-16? Never seen that before... 

Well past time to give these ridiculous maps a rest, crawl out of mom's basement and enjoy some other hobbies life has to offer.

LOL--the GGEM---the worlds #2 model now(we use this line) everytime it shows snow also likes day 9-10

 

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_39.png

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