BristowWx Posted March 26, 2020 Share Posted March 26, 2020 8 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I don’t see any real issues with snow and temps in the low 40’s Nope. It’s pretty common. I’ve seen snow with temps in the 60s. I drink a lot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 26, 2020 Share Posted March 26, 2020 8 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Nope. It’s pretty common. I’ve seen snow with temps in the 60s. I drink a lot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 26, 2020 Share Posted March 26, 2020 14 hours ago, Kmlwx said: We are probably going to need a massive near-equator volcanic eruption to get us some good winter Like Tambora level? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 26, 2020 Share Posted March 26, 2020 1 hour ago, Maestrobjwa said: Like Tambora level? Tambora, Toba, Long Valley, Yellowstone, St. Helens, Pinatubo all in one afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 26, 2020 Share Posted March 26, 2020 1 hour ago, Kmlwx said: Tambora, Toba, Long Valley, Yellowstone, St. Helens, Pinatubo all in one afternoon. Eh, take Pinatubo outta there...that robbed of us of a mod Niño if I've read the history correctly...lol (and did St. Helen's have a climate impact at all?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted March 26, 2020 Share Posted March 26, 2020 2 hours ago, losetoa6 said: Eps coastal signal for day 6-8 getting stronger. 0z OP Euro verbatim with a little further se track would have thrown down some wet paste for far nw burbs. Interesting timeframe. Even a 2-4" rainy windy noreaster would be fun to track imo. The PSU storm version 3.0 goes along with this And this as well. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted March 26, 2020 Share Posted March 26, 2020 April going to be cold yet again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 26, 2020 Share Posted March 26, 2020 Where TF was that in January!?! 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 26, 2020 Share Posted March 26, 2020 Worst possible scenario. I want a southeast ridge and sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 26, 2020 Share Posted March 26, 2020 11 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Where TF was that in January!?! Salt in the corona wound! SMH. Maybe somehow we can score some snow TV out of this one. I’m already tired of Netflix and Disney+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 26, 2020 Share Posted March 26, 2020 12Z GEFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 26, 2020 Share Posted March 26, 2020 10 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I'll take p10 and call it a winter ( I mean spring) Ukmet with a 985 mb low off the NC coast Beats tracking COVID-19! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 26, 2020 Share Posted March 26, 2020 12 Canadian went to a coastal as well. Again, too bad it is April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 26, 2020 Share Posted March 26, 2020 4 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Worst possible scenario. I want a southeast ridge and sun Why? We can't go anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 26, 2020 Share Posted March 26, 2020 WB 12Z EURO.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 26, 2020 Share Posted March 26, 2020 WB 12Z EPS. Only 2 Members bring some snow to the NW burbs. Looking like Wed. into Thursday is going to be a miserably wet day. I am holding out for my 5% chance until early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 26, 2020 Share Posted March 26, 2020 2 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Why? We can't go anywhere. I can open windows and doors and go for a walk. So, yeah, 41 and driving rain in early April while at home is the sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 26, 2020 Share Posted March 26, 2020 4 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Why? We can't go anywhere. LOL, I’ve played golf 5 times the last two weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 4 hours ago, North Balti Zen said: I can open windows and doors and go for a walk. So, yeah, 41 and driving rain in early April while at home is the sucks. Yea but would you want to be outside in a normal April pattern when it’s 52 and raining? Either way a rainy day in April is miserable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Yea but would you want to be outside in a normal April pattern when it’s 52 and raining? Either way a rainy day in April is miserable. I’m a enthused about it. I get a bit depressed in warmer weather especially if the sun is out. And the current situation hasn’t helped much for any of us. Maybe a good cold rain will help us all feel a bit better and think of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 46 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Yea but would you want to be outside in a normal April pattern when it’s 52 and raining? Either way a rainy day in April is miserable. Whether it’s 41 or 52, either way is not awesome, which was my response to wiggum, on nicer days, even quarantined, I can enjoy a sunny day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 52 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: @Jis JMA even has a coastal ....just southeast of OC... Damn shame we didnt have this set up a month ago. No guarantee it would of worked then either but we would of had a shot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 9 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Damn shame we didnt have this set up a month ago. No guarantee it would of worked then either but we would of had a shot. So you’re saying there’s a chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 1 hour ago, North Balti Zen said: Whether it’s 41 or 52, either way is not awesome, which was my response to wiggum, on nicer days, even quarantined, I can enjoy a sunny day. I know just imo the April blocking thing is overblown some. If it’s a sunny day barring some Uber rare arctic shot it’s likely going to be 50-55 degrees. That’s not that bad. It was 55 with a breeze here today and felt great outside in the sun. 55 vs 70 isn’t worth all the worry. And if it’s a rainy day yea a 40 degree rain sucks more than a 50 degree rain but either way I’m not going to be out in it so who cares. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 4 hours ago, losetoa6 said: Quick look at the latest Eps for our coastal it appears the blocking is so good our low doesn't have enough room to amplify and really blow up close enough to the coast. Low hieghts to the northeast are inhibiting a nice closed 500 mb low from really getting established it appears. Still an interesting setup and I will continue to track and one we haven't seen in a long time . no cold high is killing us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 16 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said: LOL, I’ve played golf 5 times the last two weeks Wow your courses are still open down there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 19 minutes ago, Ji said: no cold high is killing us Basically an extension of winter. Fail within 5 or 6 days. Either ends up too warm with crud track or HP overwhelms and storm blows up well S and E off the coast. Pattern persistence has not changed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 1 hour ago, Ji said: no cold high is killing us It would have been plenty cold enough 4 weeks ago. Most of our biggest blocking regime snowstorms aren’t arctic cold. 1996 was rare in that regard. Way more often they are cold enough but not super cold. Many of them even looked marginal temp wise from range like feb 2010 and Jan 2016. A 40 degree rain now would have been a 30 degree snow a month ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Basically an extension of winter. Fail within 5 or 6 days. Either ends up too warm with crud track or HP overwhelms and storm blows up well S and E off the coast. Pattern persistence has not changed. If this was winter...I actually think this has trended the way we want the last couple runs. The upper track is about perfect now. We just need it to amplify more. Not that impossible a get from 5 days. But it won’t matter either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 27, 2020 Author Share Posted March 27, 2020 7 hours ago, psuhoffman said: It would have been plenty cold enough 4 weeks ago. Most of our biggest blocking regime snowstorms aren’t arctic cold. 1996 was rare in that regard. Way more often they are cold enough but not super cold. Many of them even looked marginal temp wise from range like feb 2010 and Jan 2016. A 40 degree rain now would have been a 30 degree snow a month ago. The three big storms in 2009-10 all started out with marginal temps that fell as the storm got going. I recall the first Feb storm, the temp was 37 when it started snowing, but within an hour it was in the low 30s with moderate snow, then most of the storm it was in the mid 20s.(amazing how that happens when we have everything in the right places with a feed of cold, dry air- complete opposite of this winter). The follow up storm a few days later actually was rain here for a while before the mid level low moved over and temps crashed into the 20s in an all out blizzard. The coldest storm by far that winter was the late Jan cold powder event with temps in the mid teens. Ended up with 7-8'" of fluff here, and I actually enjoyed that one almost as much as the biggies- probably some of it had to do with it trending better and better in the last couple days leading up. Looked like a sure miss to the south at one point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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