Amped Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Nah, not at 7/8 days in a progressive flow. Get it inside of 3 days I might bite. Throw in a -NAO a 50/50 low, a -epo, a PNA ridge, and the EURO and I'd bite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 I only have 24 hr maps but it appears the EURO is too far north but has the storm...984 over NYC at 216 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 6 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: I only have 24 hr maps but it appears the EURO is too far north but has the storm...984 over NYC at 216 Correct. Waaaay too far north and warm. Rain for all except Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 10 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: I only have 24 hr maps but it appears the EURO is too far north but has the storm...984 over NYC at 216 Yup....Interesting how different the WB GFS and EURO maps are at 18Z Thursday, but almost on top of each other at 18Z Friday. I would also note that the EURO did not have the storm at 0Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: I only have 24 hr maps but it appears the EURO is too far north but has the storm...984 over NYC at 216 So the preponderance of evidence has a storm there but its north and warm.... and the one guidance that has a known severe cold bias is cold/south...hmmm... wonder what is going to happen. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 They trend south all the time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 11 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: I only have 24 hr maps but it appears the EURO is too far north but has the storm...984 over NYC at 216 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: So the preponderance of evidence has a storm there but its north and warm.... and the one guidance that has a known severe cold bias is cold/south...hmmm... wonder what is going to happen. We just need luck on Friday, the 13th....come on now!!! Our luck has been so bad this winter, it would be very ironic if we get some good luck next Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 20 minutes ago, Weather Will said: We just need luck on Friday, the 13th....come on now!!! Our luck has been so bad this winter, it would be very ironic if we get some good luck next Friday. It would be super incredible if we get some wound up beast that pummels the whole east coast. March 13. Yeah ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 29 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: So the preponderance of evidence has a storm there but its north and warm.... and the one guidance that has a known severe cold bias is cold/south...hmmm... wonder what is going to happen. I mean, I am not expecting anything either in terms of snow here, but at least it's noteworthy that everything at least has the storm this far out. Maybe someone will score somewhere in the northeast with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 Let's keep it real. We'll keep watching even though we know the outcome. We do it because we are strange, strange people. Yet, everything, this far out has a chance, even in a terrible winter like this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaNATS Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 Let's keep it real. We'll keep watching even though we know the outcome. We do it because we are strange, strange people. Yet, everything, this far out has a chance, even in a terrible winter like this one.Sitting on a toilet it's that kind of winter, but we can hope on scoring something bu the 15th.Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 Well.. LWX does have the snow word out in the LR at the end of this afternoon's disco... It is too early to say, but a chance of light rain or light snow is not out of the question Wednesday into later in the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 4 hours ago, Weather Will said: 12Z GEFS does give some support to the operational run. That looks like the complete opposite of support! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 WB 12Z EPS control run is similar track to GFS operational but too warm. Only a couple of EPS members show a hit late next week so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 4, 2020 Author Share Posted March 4, 2020 Fringed by the death band. Thankfully there is plenty of time for adjustments. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 Fringed by the death band. Thankfully there is plenty of time for adjustments.I think this is the first time since december that we have seen a decent run 2 3 times in a row lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 4, 2020 Author Share Posted March 4, 2020 GFS trying to go all meso with depicting localized banding at day 9. Ambitious. Ground truth will probably translate to 60 and light rain. Or partly sunny. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 GFS trying to go all meso with depicting localized banding at day 9. Ambitious. Ground truth will probably translate to 60 and light rain. Or partly sunny.Before it can snow in your back yard it has to snow digitally. @bobchill is interested Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 17 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Fringed by the death band. Thankfully there is plenty of time for adjustments. Holy Sheeeeeeyeahnothappening. But one can pray for light at the end of this long dark ass tunnel. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 How’s happy hour gonna take me from a HECS March Blizzard to that pitiful thing! Blasphemy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 5, 2020 Share Posted March 5, 2020 18Z WB GEFS....Day 9-16 Happy Hour! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 5, 2020 Share Posted March 5, 2020 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: 18Z WB GEFS....Day 9-16 Happy Hour! What about next week.,I,guess nothing worth posting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psurulz Posted March 5, 2020 Share Posted March 5, 2020 I'd take P12 and be done until next winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 5, 2020 Share Posted March 5, 2020 18Z GEFS thru Day 8. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 5, 2020 Share Posted March 5, 2020 13 minutes ago, Weather Will said: 18Z WB GEFS....Day 9-16 Happy Hour! I’m still not buying it one bit, not even a little. But that is the best ensemble run for a specific discreet threat all winter. That said nope. Not biting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 5, 2020 Share Posted March 5, 2020 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I’m still not buying it one bit, not even a little. But that is the best ensemble run for a specific discreet threat all winter. That said nope. Not biting. Nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 5, 2020 Share Posted March 5, 2020 Too far away for any legitimate representation 12 hours from now the low will be in Ohio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 5, 2020 Share Posted March 5, 2020 I just want to see how many more awesome fantasy runs we can pull out of this. The pattern is really working against this thing, which means a 99.9% chance it's not happening. But maybe we can do 20+ on the 00z or 06z before the GFS finally wakes up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2020 Share Posted March 5, 2020 I’m still not buying it one bit, not even a little. But that is the best ensemble run for a specific discreet threat all winter. That said nope. Not biting. Just buy it..its mid march...what else is there to buy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted March 5, 2020 Share Posted March 5, 2020 Just now, Ji said: Just buy it..its mid march...what else is there to buy? Mud is free! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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