MD Snow Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I see no change in 12Z GFS thru hour 90. Yeah, a slight step back at h5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Meh. GFS has been terrible this year. Didn’t we say the Canadian has been better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Looks like the GFS is going in a different direction for that 15" weenie storm next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 40 minutes ago, paulythegun said: from last night's EPS, but worth it Which day was that? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Well 12z GFS is back to a pitiful run lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Over/under the amount of snow the gfs takes away in the 12z run? My guess is 10” from my area. Win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Nice seeing the Canadian with a 981 not too far off delmarva and 528 thickness nearby but rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Nice seeing the Canadian with a 981 not too far off delmarva and 528 thickness nearby but rain It's amazing. But totally believable this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: It's amazing. But totally believable this year. 528 is the new 540. Although I would imagine if the column crashes have 528 would be a nice step towards actually seeing snow especially in March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Euro looking diggy with the ns so far... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, poolz1 said: Euro looking diggy with the ns so far... Its slightly further east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 9 minutes ago, poolz1 said: Euro looking diggy with the ns so far... Gettin' diggy with it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Gettin' diggy with it? Nope... fails as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 This is such a great setup that I don’t even know when we are talking about. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: This is such a great setup that I don’t even know when we are talking about. the Feb 2006 Feb MECS didnt show up on the models in a good way till Wednesday noon(JMA started first) and then it snowed Saturday. So ill give up on on it Wednesday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Pity flakes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 12 minutes ago, Ji said: the Feb 2006 Feb MECS didnt show up on the models in a good way till Wednesday noon(JMA started first) and then it snowed Saturday. So ill give up on on it Wednesday night You knew this was how it was going to go...trend better for 3 days until we just needed one more bump in our favor to be looking good...and then it would start to slide the wrong way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 That phenomenon isnt just the gods toying with us though imo....there are always going to be adjustments from long range and trends one way and another...but when we start off so far from good...its likely when there are good trends they won't get there for us...they will simply make the miss look closer for a time before slipping away again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 6 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: That phenomenon isnt just the gods toying with us though imo....there are always going to be adjustments from long range and trends one way and another...but when we start off so far from good...its likely when there are good trends they won't get there for us...they will simply make the miss look closer for a time before slipping away again. look when southern sliders trend as far North as Fredricksburg...then end up missing Richmond to the south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, Ji said: look when southern sliders trend as far North as Fredricksburg...then end up missing Richmond to the south? The storm you are talking about never looked good for us...it was obvious it was going to stay to our south from 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 43 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Pity flakes! Fringed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 One thing to keep an eye on...all guidance is hinting at an inverted trough feature associated with this system. Those are incredibly difficult for guidance to resolve at range...and those can sometimes produce some fluky results, especially in spring. The palm sunday blizzard being the ultimate example. It's one thing that could lead to a surprise somewhere and worth at least watching for. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 hmmm at first glance the EPS actually seems to have improved 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 12z EPS looks better wrt SLP, H5, qpf, but the snowfall is pretty much identical...seems to be because some of the really amped solutions are rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 I suppose this is worth keeping an eye on...even if it is likely just teasing us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: 12z EPS looks better wrt SLP, H5, qpf, but the snowfall is pretty much identical...seems to be because some of the really amped solutions are rain. this winter when everything has looked better..snowfall has stayed the same or worsened...remember early in the winter when we had a good pattern and EPS was still showing no snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I suppose this is worth keeping an eye on...even if it is likely just teasing us. id feel better if the Low wasnt almost off the western coast of Africa 3 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I suppose this is worth keeping an eye on...even if it is likely just teasing us. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 this is the best EPS ive seen thats been within 7 days lol smh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 WB 12Z EPS...still about 20-25%.....with 12 nice hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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