CentralVaNATS Posted March 8, 2020 Share Posted March 8, 2020 I would say we are in the ball park with what the GFS and Canadian are advertising for end of the run. FWIW this winter we take as the first spring weekend snow storm Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 8, 2020 Share Posted March 8, 2020 On 3/8/2020 at 3:57 PM, CentralVaNATS said: Clowns do have asses last time I checked. They also interpret model data much better than this forum for this winter. You guys think I will get a snow day so I dont have to go to clown college? Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Expand You are becoming tedious. I let you rant for a while, but we all get it now man. You think the models and people here suck. Ok. You're free to keep going, but move it over to banter. 2 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 How’s our next snowstorm looking. Are the probability maps looking good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 4:45 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: How’s our next snowstorm looking. Are the probability maps looking good? Expand How anyone could experience a day like today with 70s, flowers blooming, birds chirping, etc. and want it to snow is beyond me. Sunset after 7pm. Cold beer. Spring. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 So I see we have hit rock bottom. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 4:54 PM, StantonParkHoya said: How anyone could experience a day like today with 70s, flowers blooming, birds chirping, etc. and want it to snow is beyond me. Sunset after 7pm. Cold beer. Spring. Expand Proper interpretation is a key skill around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 4:54 PM, StantonParkHoya said: How anyone could experience a day like today with 70s, flowers blooming, birds chirping, etc. and want it to snow is beyond me. Sunset after 7pm. Cold beer. Spring. Expand People can enjoy 2 things you know. I am loving this weather. I also loved playing in the snow Saturday. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 5:00 PM, losetoa6 said: Quick peek shows Gfs and icon with light snow this weekend. Expand couple runs had something similar-ish this 12z GFS look colder for that but drier compared to 6z...looks to get chilly afterwards so maybe some hope there to hold off the warm weather beyond the next couple days. But spring will ultimately win the war as we know. Just gotta shut the blinds until November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 4:45 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: How’s our next snowstorm looking. Are the probability maps looking good? Expand this is actually our best chance in a long time. We got deep cold high pressure...just neeed some moisture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Its a Breeze Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 5:53 PM, losetoa6 said: This is easy... Days like today are a dime a dozen. Pick any day on the calendar and you can get a day like yesterday or today. Snow is a precious commodity only possible for a few months Expand The window for days like this is just as short! It's only a matter of time before the heat and humidity become unbearable.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 9, 2020 Author Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 6:02 PM, Its a Breeze said: The window for days like this is just as short! It's only a matter of time before the heat and humidity become unbearable.... Expand Our best run of "nice" days- 60s and 70s and low dews- comes in the Fall. Warm and humid can set in pretty quickly in Spring around here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 6:43 PM, C.A.P.E. said: Our best run of "nice" days- 60s and 70s and low dews- comes in the Fall. Warm and humid can set in pretty quickly in Spring around here. Expand Part of that is also what you've adapted to. 70 degrees with a dew in the upper 50s can feel awesome in fall but humid in spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 4:54 PM, StantonParkHoya said: How anyone could experience a day like today with 70s, flowers blooming, birds chirping, etc. and want it to snow is beyond me. Sunset after 7pm. Cold beer. Spring. Expand Because there are a lot more of these days than snow days. Also, while there are more of these days than snow days, there are actually not THAT many San Diego-type days here. Most of our springs are a mixture of cool and rainy and/or huge jumps in temperature before you can adjust. If it was a string of beautiful, 70 degree days, that would be different. But we will inevitably get a jump from rain and 60 to hot and humid and mid 80's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 My concern this year is insects, particularly the stinging variety. And I have lots of tree work on our property that I need to do. As a neighbor of mine who's in his 80s tells me, it keeps you young. He burns about 10 cords/year heating his place but now his son who is an arborist helps a lot. His pile was up to 30+ cords last fall and it doesn't look like he's put much of a dent in that. I wonder why! LOL I don't mind the warmer temps if it's not gonna snow TBH. We have Diesel (backup power+heat), solar, and electric (BGE) providing NM service here. Plus a pellet stove which I usually put a handful of tons through, this year has been the lightest indeed! I just wish we had a few zero degree lows in Jan. Does a good job of knocking down those damnable insects. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 My concern is no one commented on HH 138...cmon folks...it’s still March 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 9:32 PM, Zanclidae said: My concern this year is insects, particularly the stinging variety. And I have lots of tree work on our property that I need to do. As a neighbor of mine who's in his 80s tells me, it keeps you young. He burns about 10 cords/year heating his place but now his son who is an arborist helps a lot. His pile was up to 30+ cords last fall and it doesn't look like he's put much of a dent in that. I wonder why! LOL I don't mind the warmer temps if it's not gonna snow TBH. We have Diesel (backup power+heat), solar, and electric (BGE) providing NM service here. Plus a pellet stove which I usually put a handful of tons through, this year has been the lightest indeed! I just wish we had a few zero degree lows in Jan. Does a good job of knocking down those damnable insects. Expand Not to be rude...and I know tracking season is on it's last week or two...but shouldn't these kind of things be discussed in one of the other threads? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 10:11 PM, BristowWx said: My concern is no one commented on HH 138...cmon folks...it’s still March Expand I was actually just about to say something about that, lol Man I'm gonna be picky and hope we can get .2 of an inch that just to save this winter from being a one incher at BWI...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 10:13 PM, Maestrobjwa said: I was actually just about to say something about that, lol Man I'm gonna be picky and hope we can get .2 of an inch that just to save this winter from being a one incher at BWI...lol Expand My man! 1050 high to the north...East to west...540 line tucked south..what could go wrong 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 10:15 PM, BristowWx said: My man! 1050 high to the north...East to west...540 line tucked south..what could go wrong Expand i said this was one of our better setups of the year lol....we just need some kind of storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 10:35 PM, Ji said: i said this was one of our better setups of the year lol....we just need some kind of storm Expand I am still skeptical. Rightly so. But it’s not impossible to snow in mid March...it’s just unlikely. It’s likely to snow in Feb but it didn’t. One more round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 10:39 PM, BristowWx said: I am still skeptical. Rightly so. But it’s not impossible to snow in mid March...it’s just unlikely. It’s likely to snow in Feb but it didn’t. One more round. Expand have we had a 1050 high? Its only 100 hours out pretty much. We just need a moisture stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 9, 2020 Author Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 10:51 PM, Ji said: have we had a 1050 high? Its only 100 hours out pretty much. We just need a moisture stream Expand It likely wont be 1050 in reality, and even the general look as advertised is a 50 degree day in mid March without a deep low developing of the NC coast. Even then it would likely just be 40 degree rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 10:51 PM, Ji said: have we had a 1050 high? Its only 100 hours out pretty much. We just need a moisture stream Expand No not that I can recall. Modeled maybe but not this close in time. 1050 is great provided it doesn’t push too far south and crush anything incoming south. Curious about the GEFS. My guess is it won’t like this situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 10:58 PM, C.A.P.E. said: It likely wont be 1050 in reality, and even the general look as advertised is a 50 degree day in mid March without a deep low developing of the NC coast. Even then it would likely just be 40 degree rain. Expand Fair enough But it has snowed on March 15th. You are saying a 1050 wedging south with a deepening low off NC would still be rain everywhere or just 95 East? This as depicted isn’t a deepening low anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 9, 2020 Author Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 11:02 PM, BristowWx said: Fair enough But it has snowed on March 15th. You are saying a 1050 wedging south with a deepening low off NC would still be rain everywhere or just 95 East? This as depicted isn’t a deepening low anyway. Expand Ofc it has. This year? Highly doubt it. As depicted it is not wedging very far south- it is sliding across to the north with nothing impeding it, and no there isn't a deep low. Just mentioned that because with progressive flow it would likely still end up being a fail, outside of perfect timing and a rapidly deepening low in the right spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 10:51 PM, Ji said: have we had a 1050 high? Its only 100 hours out pretty much. We just need a moisture stream Expand Come on. You know it's not going to be there tonight. When have we ever gotten two good runs in a row or something that holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 11:18 PM, C.A.P.E. said: Ofc it has. This year? Highly doubt it. As depicted it is not wedging very far south- it is sliding across to the north with nothing impeding it, and no there isn't a deep low. Just mentioned that because with progressive flow it would likely still end up being a fail, outside of perfect timing and a rapidly deepening low in the right spot. Expand Agreed all points. Fun to talk about something other than blooming flowers. We’ll watch it but Randy is right..two good runs is folly at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 Omg 2 good gfs runs in a row 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 On 3/10/2020 at 4:20 AM, Ji said: Omg 2 good gfs runs in a row Expand Good run for i81 corridor to BR... i95 naso much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 WB 6Z GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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