Weather Will Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 WB 0Z EPS. Still in the game but with probs not increasing inside of 5 days running out of time. Will need luck that we have not had all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 6z GFS continued improvement for Friday to this untrained eye. Cold as always is the big issue as I see it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Agreed. But may just be noise. First wave will go too far south and be too warm. Second wave cold enough, but low too far NE. WB 0Z and 6Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 6 minutes ago, BristowWx said: 6z GFS continued improvement for Friday to this untrained eye. Cold as always is the big issue as I see it Agreed. Better look at h5. Trough is further west. Close to something better. Been trending the right way for like 7 runs in a row now. That’s something we haven’t seen all year. It’s march. I’ve seen flakes falling from the sky like 3 times all year. I don’t care about 3”. My bar for any storm at this point is seeing flakes falling from the sky. Also, half the fun for me is tracking. And it looks like we might actually have something to track this week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 I agree with that sentiment. Last 20 minute snow shower I had was February 9. Need some snow to christen my new mulch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 WB 6Z GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 GFS/GEFS has perhaps a potentially larger threat Day 10. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 6z GFS weenie run lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 2, 2020 Author Share Posted March 2, 2020 2 hours ago, BristowWx said: 6z GFS continued improvement for Friday to this untrained eye. Cold as always is the big issue as I see it The biggest issue is any phasing appears to occur well offshore. Even the CMC trended that way. Still some time, but given the progressive nature of the flow, probably not happening. We will get our wind though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 march 10-day threats? lol good luck with that. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Next week's threat is valid. I'll be in Dallas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 1 hour ago, losetoa6 said: Didn't get a chance to look at Gefs but I liked the change at h5 in with the Eps . It has the ns sw diving a bit further south and west and earlier. That's what we want to see . Looks like 06z continues the trend...getting close to some interaction with the ss wave on the latest run. Maybe this is a long shot but it will keep me interested as long as we keep seeing baby steps. If we can start to see the 2 interact just a little bit I would think we may see the ns dive further south as a result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 march 10-day threats? lol good luck with that. The 93 storm was nailed 10 days out 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 49 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: The biggest issue is any phasing appears to occur well offshore. Even the CMC trended that way. Still some time, but given the progressive nature of the flow, probably not happening. We will get our wind though. Cape Cod crush job incoming. Maybe the wind can blow the moss of my trees. So wet, even after the recent dry several days. Meanwhile, the last 30 day AO state and amplitude suggests a warm March. The CPC recently updated the 30 day outlook to mild across wide areas of the country for March. So, for now the focus becomes what of April? Some analogs suggest a cooler April after a mild March. Personally bring me dryness and sun in April and no eternal 15 days in a row of dark depressing cloudy days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 1 hour ago, mappy said: march 10-day threats? lol good luck with that. Not sure how you could doubt this is going to happen with this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 I'm already in summer mode...I'm beginning to think we have a severe drought this year. I'm fearful for the farmers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 2 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 6z GFS weenie run lol 52 inches near Boston lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 It's all over now.... https://twitter.com/TonyPannWBAL/status/1234479837877874688?s=20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Over/under the amount of snow the gfs takes away in the 12z run? My guess is 10” from my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 NAM at range but why not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 27th anniversary storm? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 6Z EPS. Nice uptick!!!! About 12 solid hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 6 minutes ago, Weather Will said: 6Z EPS. Nice uptick!!!! About 12 solid hits. Too all or nothing for me....typically the nothing happens but we'll see in the coming hours how today goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 One thing that is encouraging up to this point is that things have trended in a positive way over the last 48 hrs basically across all guidance. Which goes against the trend this winter. Famous last words. Hope 12z doesn't lay an egg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 4 minutes ago, MD Snow said: One thing that is encouraging up to this point is that things have trended in a positive way over the last 48 hrs basically across all guidance. Which goes against the trend this winter. Famous last words. Hope 12z doesn't lay an egg. Agreed. Let's see if this is a trend in the right direction or just a blip. 25% chance on EPS 4-5 days out is good for us this winter, but that does not mean it snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 from last night's EPS, but worth it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 I see no change in 12Z GFS thru hour 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Yeah GFS doesnt get it done. Might even be a slight step back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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