Weather Will Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Late week WB 6Z GEFS for late week says 5% chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 1, 2020 Author Share Posted March 1, 2020 5 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z EURO says what storm??? As advertised, the wave timing is all out of sync in a progressive flow. The southern stream shortwave dampens as it slides east in the wake of the exiting midweek wave, while the NS UL energy dropping in behind is too late. Has the looks of a big fish storm on the latest runs, that might get captured in time to crush the Eastern Canada Provinces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 I think the only chance is March tilt time and that's dismal but the eps upticked my snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 WB 0Z EPS also had about 5% chance for end of week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 WB 6z EURO as far our as it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 6Z EPS also says what storm? Stays south and east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 I think @Weather Will is beginning to crack 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 WB 6Z EPS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 1, 2020 Author Share Posted March 1, 2020 44 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z EPS... 0 Beautiful. That's what I like to see for the first week of Spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 3 hours ago, Weather Will said: 6Z EPS also says what storm? Stays south and east. I doubt we get anything BUT your looking at the wrong thing. The initial SS wave is going to slide out south. Even if it did come up it’s not cold enough without the NS anyways. It’s the NS system diving in a day later that “could” phase and spark redevelopment along the coast. That’s the thing to watch. It’s very low probability but it’s a better chance than that SS wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 10 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z EURO says what storm??? It did go from 991 to 962 in 12 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Gfs has my big rainstorm from a storm that would have been snow a week earlier. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Gfs has my big rainstorm from a storm that would have been snow a week earlier. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 I think we are all looking at the wrong thing. Outside doing yard work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 6 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I think we are all looking at the wrong thing. Outside doing yard work. Lol. I doubt anyone is waiting with baited breath for each run. But even in this crap year it’s still possible to fluke into some kind of frozen event in the next 4 weeks. It’s not likely and even if it happens it’s likely a minor event but for some it’s still worth a quick glance once in a while. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: Gfs has my big rainstorm from a storm that would have been snow a week earlier. Lol You hear that sound, it's the sound of inevitability. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 1, 2020 Author Share Posted March 1, 2020 Too nice out for staring at weather models when we have incredible persistence and know the outcome. Been outside pulling up chickweed in my mulch areas. Kinda therapeutic until you realize its just another losing battle with nature lol. So many weeds out so early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 32 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Too nice out for staring at weather models when we have incredible persistence and know the outcome. Been outside pulling up chickweed in my mulch areas. Kinda therapeutic until you realize its just another losing battle with nature lol. So many weeds out so early. Agreed, gaining sun fast and next week DST starts, also get some sun and vit D 3 conversion going on which is proven to increase your resistance to viruses and strengthens your immune system, and a natural anti depressant too! I have given up on snow weeks ago. I still look every few days at the models but expect nothing and so far nothing it has been. On a long term note of interest, these bad winters have happened before and we will bounce back in the next few years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Speculations can be made, and not sure myself the causes here as referenced by Maue beyond lagged effects and warm oceans, but this trend along with the lack of a strong Nino is a bit concerning. This itself is remarkable as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Fun to look at...doubt it will have any meaningful impact on wintery conditions for our area. BUT all you can ask is for things to trend in the right direction...and for now it appears to be happening. Looks to be trending to the CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inverted_Trough Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Does Ryan Maue trust the climate change science? I thought everyone on WeatherBell were politicized deniers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 1, 2020 Author Share Posted March 1, 2020 The biggest (quite possibly the only) impact for next weekend will beeee....yup, you guessed it- wind. Unless there are some serious;y big changes in the current guidance(sorry CMC, you are still third string), this is going to be some showers followed by a big ol fish storm. Outside chance eastern NE gets a decent hit. Oh joy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Icefishingrocks Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 This Michigan transplant has lived in The Baltimore area for 20 years now, and this winter takes the cake. This winter can Fu@# OFF! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 WB 18z GEFS. Slight increase...probably just noise, but it is too dark for yard work now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 WB 18z GEFS. Slight increase...probably just noise, but it is too dark for yard work now. I think this storm is going to end up being a 6-12 for dc by the time all is said and done 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 3 hours ago, frd said: Speculations can be made, and not sure myself the causes here as referenced by Maue beyond lagged effects and warm oceans, but this trend along with the lack of a strong Nino is a bit concerning. This itself is remarkable as well. Yeah, but Helsinki isn’t Carroll County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 WB 18Z EPS...also some increase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Any 70s showing up on the models? More interested in that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 ICON has trended positively its last three runs for the Friday threat. It has been the most disjointed over the last 24 hrs. Now develops a coastal and get's snow into interior new England. Through 72 hrs on 0z GFS SS system is slightly further north/west while NS is further south. IMO we want the SS to slow down in order for the northern stream to catch it, phase and pull it up the coast before going out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 15 minutes ago, nj2va said: Any 70s showing up on the models? More interested in that. Nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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