Scraff Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/26/2020 at 10:25 AM, losetoa6 said: The hits keep coming lol @C.A.P.E.s got the 4 leaf clover working overtime. Expand NE MD pummeled! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 WB 6Z GEFS. Note most of this is potential is still over seven days out with the exception that most Members seem to like some flurry action this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Very impressive deep dive on the PNA coming up along with the expected adjustment on the AO index. currently moving back up in the extended after a rather feeble attempt at neutral. The long lasting AO positive trend shows no indication of reversing as does the very strong vortex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/26/2020 at 2:48 PM, frd said: Very impressive deep dive on the PNA coming up along with the expected adjustment on the AO index. currently moving back up in the extended after a rather feeble attempt at neutral. The long lasting AO positive trend shows no indication of reversing as does the very strong vortex. Expand AO is going to finally drop 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Since it’ll be gone in a few minutes, the GFS gave some pity flakes at 222 that turns to rain quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/26/2020 at 3:27 PM, Deer Whisperer said: Since it’ll be gone in a few minutes, the GFS gave some pity flakes at 222 that turns to rain quickly Expand I think we may get one...can feel it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/26/2020 at 2:48 PM, frd said: Very impressive deep dive on the PNA coming up along with the expected adjustment on the AO index. currently moving back up in the extended after a rather feeble attempt at neutral. The long lasting AO positive trend shows no indication of reversing as does the very strong vortex. Expand Any hope of that factor changing left the building a while ago. At this point whatever minimal chances at snow remain hinge on getting a lucky wave track from short wavelength induces chaos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Suckers 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/26/2020 at 4:24 PM, stormtracker said: Suckers Expand I doubt anyone actually expects it to snow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Its a Breeze Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 ...are we going to mention the fact that the GFS Op is hot garbage (if you like snow) for 95ish% of everyone east of the Mississippi - in terms of populated areas? No? Ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/26/2020 at 6:15 PM, Its a Breeze said: ...are we going to mention the fact that the GFS Op is hot garbage (if you like snow) for 95ish% of everyone east of the Mississippi - in terms of populated areas? No? Ok. Expand Are we going to mention that nobody really cares? Yes! Ok 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/26/2020 at 4:31 PM, psuhoffman said: I doubt anyone actually expects it to snow Expand I expect it to start snowing in several hours. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/26/2020 at 3:03 PM, MJO812 said: AO is going to finally drop Expand The AO went + on Christmas and never looked back 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 WB 12Z GEFS is not good....the only merciful thing is that this is over in a couple of weeks or as some have said, it has been over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/26/2020 at 6:36 PM, RedSky said: The AO went + on Christmas and never looked back Expand Santa’s lump of coal. The gift that keeps on giving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dendrimer77 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/26/2020 at 6:34 PM, jonjon said: I expect it to start snowing in several hours. Expand @jonjon Going up to Davis for Blackwater sledding and hopefully some X-country skiing Sat-Mon. What are the local mets up there expecting in terms of upslope snow totals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/26/2020 at 6:54 PM, Dendrimer77 said: @jonjon Going up to Davis for Blackwater sledding and hopefully some X-country skiing Sat-Mon. What are the local mets up there expecting in terms of upslope snow totals? Expand We're expecting a low end "meh" with possible upside to "hmmmmm" In all seriousness, I haven't paid much attention. The Fearless Weatherman expects 6-12" over the 4 day period. See https://whitegrass.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/fearlessfeb26.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dendrimer77 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/26/2020 at 7:01 PM, jonjon said: We're expecting a low end "meh" with possible upside to "hmmmmm" In all seriousness, I haven't paid much attention. The Fearless Weatherman expects 6-12" over the 4 day period. See https://whitegrass.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/fearlessfeb26.txt Expand Thank you sir. I saw that forecast; hopefully The Fearless Weatherman knows his stuff! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/26/2020 at 7:05 PM, Dendrimer77 said: Thank you sir. I saw that forecast; hopefully The Fearless Weatherman knows his stuff! Expand Yeah, he is really the only met who focuses much on our area. There aren't really any other "local mets" It does look like a decent upslope event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 12Z EPS Maps not worth posting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/26/2020 at 7:50 PM, Weather Will said: 12Z EPS Maps not worth posting. Expand Haha. Are they ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/26/2020 at 6:48 PM, Weather Will said: WB 12Z GEFS is not good....the only merciful thing is that this is over in a couple of weeks or as some have said, it has been over. Expand Well, we got nothing when they did look good, so we have that going for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/26/2020 at 7:50 PM, Weather Will said: 12Z EPS Maps not worth posting. Expand Huh? Finally in the yellow! 5 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/26/2020 at 8:01 PM, jaydreb said: Huh? Finally in the yellow! Expand That’s the best look all year for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 60% chance of 70 degree temps! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Funny crowd...We should start a contest on when we will get the first 90 degree day, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 26, 2020 Author Share Posted February 26, 2020 From Mt Holly AFD. Rinse and repeat... By the start of next week synoptic pattern shifts to what has largely been the default pattern this winter... a western Atlantic ridge with upstream troughing over the Central US. This will result in a storm track north and west of the area which will favor warmer temperatures and primarily rain events. At this time details are a bit lacking, but a system does look to track over the Great Lakes Monday PM into Tuesday with a secondary system possibly on its heels on Wednesday. Temperatures will only be a couple degrees above normal Monday but should increase into the low to mid 60s by Wednesday as SW flow increases in association with the aforementioned storm systems. Eventually this wretched pattern will mercifully end, and we will get into the usual warm/humid doldrums for the balance of Spring, before we finally transition to Hot and humid with little rain for the long, long, looooong Summer ahead. Don't y'all just love it here? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 26, 2020 Author Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/26/2020 at 9:56 PM, Weather Will said: Funny crowd...We should start a contest on when we will get the first 90 degree day, Expand We will see a few days well into the 70s in March. Can bank on that. Would not be at all surprised to see 80+. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/26/2020 at 9:56 PM, Weather Will said: Funny crowd...We should start a contest on when we will get the first 90 degree day, Expand What do the probability maps show? EPS , of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 On 2/26/2020 at 5:31 PM, losetoa6 said: I'd be pretty shocked if our area doesn't see anymore snow this season so ...to answer your question...yes I do expect it to snow . If it doesn't it would be historic up here for such a long stretch without an inch ( Since Jan 8th) . Jan 19th was a 1/4" then ice storm . We moved up to CC in 88' . It would be a first to my knowledge. Actually going the month of February alone snowless here i believe would be historic . The good thing is it will snow again . If not this season...then next . My weather tracking never stops so I'll keep on rolling rain/snow/ hail or whatever . A March 1958 , 1942, 1993, or 1962 redux is preferred however Expand Was I-795 finished when you moved up Carroll County way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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