tamarack Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 57 minutes ago, MetHerb said: When I look at my top 10 warmest March's, 2012 is on top of course but the next 4 aren't even 2002. 2010, 2000, 2016 and 1991 all come next. This week has had a few warm days but things look more normal by this weekend. Number 2 here since moving in May 1998; as March 2010 was 0.64° milder. At Farmington 2012 is #6, but trails only 2010 (0.98° milder) since the obs site was moved out of the built-up area of town in 1966. Snow at the stake down to 13" this morning as yesterday's dry and mostly cloudy 40s couldn't touch the armorplate. We'll have a snowy lawn at the equinox, but barring some cold and/or snow this month will be the 7th March of 22 in which continuous snow cover failed to last into April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 Hopefully this wave gets stronger or stays intact 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 11, 2020 Author Share Posted March 11, 2020 24 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Hopefully this wave gets stronger or stays intact I hope you get your flurry, but even that would probably be sprinkles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: They laughed when we said #2. Sister of 2012. They aren’t laughing anymore. Or posting Wait, you actually still believe this? I figured you would’ve dropped the comparison by now since it’s becoming even less likely mathematically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Wait, you actually still believe this? I figured you would’ve dropped the comparison by now since it’s becoming even less likely mathematically. BS in Tolland still trying to twist and Spin lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 Just now, WinterWolf said: BS in Tolland still trying to twist and Spin lol. I mean, I get that it’s a torch month...but it’s not 2012 and probably won’t be even close. Something like a +6 like 2016 would actually not quite make the top 10. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: I have greening, weeds, and flowers coming up. Earliest I’ve seen since moving here in 2013. 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: My water lilies broke through, only thing up so far. Crocus have been blooming by my back door all week. Daffodils in my yard have buds and there are some blooming in Norwich already. Have also seen frogs hopping across the road during a couple of the recent, warm, rainy evenings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Wait, you actually still believe this? I figured you would’ve dropped the comparison by now since it’s becoming even less likely mathematically. Yes. This will be 2nd or maybe 3rd warmest Morch on record in SNE. I’m not sure how one could even debate that ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yes. This will be 2nd or maybe 3rd warmest Morch on record in SNE. I’m not sure how one could even debate that ? Because it hasn't happened yet? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yes. This will be 2nd or maybe 3rd warmest Morch on record in SNE. I’m not sure how one could even debate that ? Considering there are 20 more days in the month...it better get real real warm again, and stay that way for the next 20 days then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 11, 2020 Author Share Posted March 11, 2020 Had a large mosquito on me yesterday, though I could be exaggerating according to some 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Moonlit Sky Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 33 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: Had a large mosquito on me yesterday, though I could be exaggerating according to some I've been seeing occasional mosquitoes since February. They're out and about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 11, 2020 Author Share Posted March 11, 2020 31 minutes ago, Minenfeld! said: I've been seeing occasional mosquitoes since February. They're out and about. yeah, I guess it isn't too early for a hatch given the mild stretch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 11, 2020 Author Share Posted March 11, 2020 My o my Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yes. This will be 2nd or maybe 3rd warmest Morch on record in SNE. I’m not sure how one could even debate that ? Probably because of mathematics? I don’t think you actually understand how hard it is to maintain +10 or something close to it. We barely just achieved that in the first 10 days with some epic torch days. We’re gonna be pretty meh for a large chunk of this weekend and next week...that’s gonna erode the departures back and then it gets harder to make them up the deeper you get into the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 3 hours ago, powderfreak said: Perfect football weather.... oh wait, wrong season. Lol...haha... when I wrote that was thinking zactly that - ... "Octovember" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Probably because of mathematics? I don’t think you actually understand how hard it is to maintain +10 or something close to it. We barely just achieved that in the first 10 days with some epic torch days. We’re gonna be pretty meh for a large chunk of this weekend and next week...that’s gonna erode the departures back and then it gets harder to make them up the deeper you get into the month. From mid week into weekend it’s 65-70 next week. Even if Sunday and Monday come out normal. We’ll add to it next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Probably because of mathematics? I don’t think you actually understand how hard it is to maintain +10 or something close to it. We barely just achieved that in the first 10 days with some epic torch days. We’re gonna be pretty meh for a large chunk of this weekend and next week...that’s gonna erode the departures back and then it gets harder to make them up the deeper you get into the month. I tried to explain this ... Altho I'm inclined to replace "meh for a large chunk of this weekend' with annoyingly cold and a big piece of shit... but that's cause I hate futility chill in spring with a particularly fervency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: From mid week into weekend it’s 65-70 next week. Even if Sunday and Monday come out normal. We’ll add to it next week dude, you just made his logical case! Normals is like mid 40s tops... how the f are you gonna through mid 40s into the paint without tainting it toward cooler colors... wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 In any case... it'll come down to offsets - naturally ... Whatever cold there is needs to have double the hot in terms of absolute magnitude or you don't total/n-terms... and Will's right, that's going to be harder if we dilute this weekend... Heh ...not that +5 to +7 is any less repulsive to the cold weather enthusiasts.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 It would be hard to challenge Will in any temperature statistical argument to be honest. Must be really confident with a strong understanding of how hard it gets to change departures the deeper you get into a month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: dude, you just made his logical case! Normals is like mid 40s tops... how the f are you gonna through mid 40s into the paint without tainting it toward cooler colors... wow You are going to come down. Who said differently? You’ll come right back up next week. Try and follow along please. I know your’re emotional with the corona scare, but man up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: From mid week into weekend it’s 65-70 next week. Even if Sunday and Monday come out normal. We’ll add to it next week Why would you think that they are cumulative? Let's say you have 10 days that are +10 departure. That's an average of +10. If the next 5 are 0, you now have 15 days or 100/15 which is now +6. If you have another 10 days of +10 you now have 25 days or 200/25 which is 8. Add in another 5 days at 0 and you have 30 days or 200/30 and an average temp of +6.6. So even if most of the month is +10 which as Will stated is hard to maintain, you're not averaging +10 for the month to make it warmer than 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 I don’t think you’ll get through to Kevin on the math/statistics of it. How about this...friendly wager Kevin...if we finish top 3 at BDL (I assume this is what you are using since ORH and BOS do not have 2012 as their warmest), I’ll pick up your tab at next GTG we both attend. If not, you pick up mine. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 I agree with Kevin this ends up being too 3. Next week we’re going to add on to the departures...not just from highs but lows. Looks like much of next week could feature lows that are at least +5 to +10 and perhaps as much as +15. I guess we’ll have to see what happens during the second half of the month but I see ridging holding firm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 3 hours ago, MJO812 said: Hopefully this wave gets stronger or stays intact Congrats W.V.? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I don’t think you’ll get through to Kevin on the math/statistics of it. How about this...friendly wager Kevin...if we finish top 3 at BDL (I assume this is what you are using since ORH and BOS do not have 2012 as their warmest), I’ll pick up your tab at next GTG we both attend. If not, you pick up mine. Done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: I mean, I get that it’s a torch month...but it’s not 2012 and probably won’t be even close. Something like a +6 like 2016 would actually not quite make the top 10. Would not mind another 2012 near as much as repeating 2010, which I see as the more likely (though still low) outcome here. At least 2012 was interesting - 5.5" snow on the 1st and 85% of avg March snow, -10 on the 6th, a week of record-smashing summer right after the Ides, accum snow end of month including the month's 5th day staying under 32, 11 days with BN temps. In contrast, 2010 never got past mid 60s, never got down to 10 much less subzero, had 0.6" total snow in 4 "events" and only 3 BN-temp days. Also very wet, 3.5 times as much precip as 3/12. I'd take warm sun over wet meh any time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 Forsythia are starting to come out. Unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 High of 31F today in the valley absolutely sucks. It needs to be warm now, ha. It’s the time of year where the south side of the driveway is grass while the north side still has 6-8” of icepack you can walk on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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