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March 2020 disc/obs


Torch Tiger
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Just now, CoastalWx said:

I don't see anyone angry. I just feel bad for those getting sucked in. Just offering my two pennies.

I truthfully haven’t seen a single person getting sucked in. Just discussion... and like yesterday and to a lesser degree overnight... the Canadian continues to be insistent on SE Mass getting into the fringe of the heavy precipitation... verbatim... a nice overnight event 

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1 hour ago, OSUmetstud said:

Isn't the inverted trough more over the ny? It looks like its sw of new england to me. 

Maybe the heaviest is modeled there for now but there seems to be some general light snow modeled over most of SNE as well. 

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1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I truthfully haven’t seen a single person getting sucked in. Just discussion... and like yesterday and to a lesser degree overnight... the Canadian continues to be insistent on SE Mass getting into the fringe of the heavy precipitation... verbatim... a nice overnight event 

I never understand why peeps who are checked out care so much about those who are doing what this board is for. 

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Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I truthfully haven’t seen a single person getting sucked in. Just discussion... and like yesterday and to a lesser degree overnight... the Canadian continues to be insistent on SE Mass getting into the fringe of the heavy precipitation... verbatim... a nice overnight event 

I think you want something with some meat and overnight to help with precip. Would probably start as a mix and then flip. Otherwise, anything with lighter rates and during the aftn may not stick at all.  12z UKMET is just some clouds.

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2 hours ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

The 12z NAM improved tremendously at H5 compared to previous runs.  I would not pay attention to the surface until the pattern at H5 is resolved, that could be until 12 hours away.  I was told by someone wise one day that the surface is the hardest area for the models to see, go with the H5 level until that is resolved, the surface will be what it is, it just doesn't make sense to be that far southeast with at least a partial phase ongoing as the northern stream continues to dive to the south and southeast more and more each run.  The 18z 3 KM NAM had the clipper and northern stream energy as far northeast as Upstate NY, now it is diving across southwest MI.

Exactly ... the fall back position:  we’re getting a storm anyway - delusion over disparity 

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