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March 2020 disc/obs


Torch Tiger
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4 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

Was there an expectation for strong tornadoes last night down there Wiz? I haven’t been following it very closely 

I didn't really pay close attention either outside of just a general forecast. I know the SPC was considering an upgrade to enhanced with the 20z outlook. the environment was characterized by very steep lapse rates and strong shear so there was definitely some support with some of the ingredients. IIRC one of the greatest concerns was whether convection would become sfc based. 

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6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

OWD 70F :lol:

Toss that long and far. It's time for the NWS to check that one out now that they've given BOS a look. As for BOS, it's seabreeze season there. Down to 55F.

Yeah, OWD has been off even longer than BOS...but it obviously didn't receive the same scrutiny not being a first order site.

 

 

KOWD_MADIS.png

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3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

In still holding out hope for this weekend


The upcoming weekend is going to be characterized by ridging
aloft. Sprawling surface high pressure will build to the west
Saturday and then settle south of the region Sunday and Monday.
Heights could flatten aloft on Monday as a northern stream
shortwave may begin approaching. Temperatures on Saturday will
be below normal in the low 40s and then warm above normal Sunday
into Monday. Highs on Monday should end up back in the 50s and
possibly 60s in the normal warmer locations.

No worries at all according to upton

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4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah, OWD has been off even longer than BOS...but it obviously didn't receive the same scrutiny not being a first order site.

 

 

KOWD_MADIS.png

Remember that there's some bad analysis data in there beginning last summer. Here's ORH which has no problem...

image.png

 

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Since this includes SNE I can post it in here haha. 

Very low probability but if there were to be a brief tornado this evening the area circled in red would be favored spot. Highest helicity occurs down this way and perhaps some of the strongest (though still weak) instability.

Continued signal for a short line/cluster of rain/thunder to move into SNE which may be accompanied by some strong gusts

image.thumb.png.2eba1be928529959945a4a50228ba86b.png

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