ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Ukie is looking pretty good through 84...it has a deeper northern stream with more amped ridge and the southern stream is slower too compared to 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Well it's not really a whiff for SE MA....probably several inches of snow. one of those where it's snowing on the Cape and Boston get's some high clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: If this was d2 then the writing is on the wall. Just give it until Wed before you run yourself over in your own patrol car. Wait, that's Snow88? just realized this, lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Well it's not really a whiff for SE MA....probably several inches of snow. I think If we get fringed it’s probably more slop than anything... but yeah... verbatim probably like 3-6 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 UK all the waaaay.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: If this was d2 then the writing is on the wall. Just give it until Wed before you run yourself over in your own patrol car. I'm not giving up or anything...just frustrating because we've been seeing the same crap all season...1,000,001 ways to fail, despite 1,000, 002 opinions on why it shouldn't. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Ukie is a whiff for most...well maybe some nuisance snows of 1-4 inches in southern areas of CT/RI and SE MA...blizzard for Jimmy though on the Cape....top of the ridge actually folds over the top in Ontario and sort of squishes this east at the last second. I was pretty sure it was going to be a huge hit at 102-108 hours...lol. That said, I was actually more encouraged with that run than the 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Ukie is a whiff for most...well maybe some nuisance snows of 1-4 inches in southern areas of CT/RI and SE MA...blizzard for Jimmy though on the Cape....top of the ridge actually folds over the top in Ontario and sort of squishes this east at the last second. I was pretty sure it was going to be a huge hit at 102-108 hours...lol. That said, I was actually more encouraged with that run than the 00z. Very similar to the CMC... looks really good only to get punted East last second Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 The ridge fold over squash starting be problematic. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Ukie is a whiff for most...well maybe some nuisance snows of 1-4 inches in southern areas of CT/RI and SE MA...blizzard for Jimmy though on the Cape....top of the ridge actually folds over the top in Ontario and sort of squishes this east at the last second. I was pretty sure it was going to be a huge hit at 102-108 hours...lol. That said, I was actually more encouraged with that run than the 00z. Seems to be a trend that it looks great through 100+, then finds a way to minmize impact. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Ukie is a whiff for most...well maybe some nuisance snows of 1-4 inches in southern areas of CT/RI and SE MA...blizzard for Jimmy though on the Cape....top of the ridge actually folds over the top in Ontario and sort of squishes this east at the last second. I was pretty sure it was going to be a huge hit at 102-108 hours...lol. That said, I was actually more encouraged with that run than the 00z. We see that pinching of the ridge on most guidance that just doesn’t allow this thing to curl nw. Always something... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Seems to be a trend that it looks great through 100+, then finds a way to minmize impact. Yes...I'll give it another 24 hours or so to see if those earlier trend manifest themselves more positively in the sensible wx department or if this is just going to be a case of another decent synoptic setup being ruined by some nuance in the flow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Ukie is a whiff for most...well maybe some nuisance snows of 1-4 inches in southern areas of CT/RI and SE MA...blizzard for Jimmy though on the Cape....top of the ridge actually folds over the top in Ontario and sort of squishes this east at the last second. I was pretty sure it was going to be a huge hit at 102-108 hours...lol. That said, I was actually more encouraged with that run than the 00z. I don't know about nuisance snows here but it's close enough to warrant a look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Cmc is so warm but close to a big hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 12Z GEFS are west of OP 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I don't know about nuisance snows here but it's close enough to warrant a look Wow.. that’s a razor sharp cutoff.... nothing in Boston... warning event for se mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 8 minutes ago, TheCloser24 said: 12Z GEFS are west of OP Not very far off from something pretty big 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowFeen1 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Not very far off from something pretty big How west are they from the 6z cause they were pretty west already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 5 minutes ago, SnowFeen1 said: How west are they from the 6z cause they were pretty west already. They're similar to 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, SnowFeen1 said: How west are they from the 6z cause they were pretty west already. I'm actually not sure where to get the plot which shows the individual low tracks but from judgement of eye (which is never a good way to go) 12z does look solidly west. but I always get a little weary of focusing too much on individual runs (and EPS for that matter) and how far west/east storm track is when phasing is involved b/c there are so many moving factors involved with phasing that agreement (or disagreement) 2...3...4 days out means little. At the end of the day a 6-hour difference in the timing of any of the important features will dictate whether phasing happens or not. We could go into 12z Thursday and still be 12-hours off within timing and all of a sudden 0z runs come out and bam...there's a phase and we get nailed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I'm actually not sure where to get the plot which shows the individual low tracks but from judgement of eye (which is never a good way to go) 12z does look solidly west. but I always get a little weary of focusing too much on individual runs (and EPS for that matter) and how far west/east storm track is when phasing is involved b/c there are so many moving factors involved with phasing that agreement (or disagreement) 2...3...4 days out means little. At the end of the day a 6-hour difference in the timing of any of the important features will dictate whether phasing happens or not. We could go into 12z Thursday and still be 12-hours off within timing and all of a sudden 0z runs come out and bam...there's a phase and we get nailed. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Ukie was really close to something bigger 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 ahhh they're on WeatherBell. That's why I couldn't find them on Ryan Maue's site Unless I just can't find them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 SE and offshore. Keep it there for a day or two, then tuck it off ACK. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 is that northern stream dropping in harder? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 As Richard Pryor said...”well fuk it then!” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Euro is having that ridge "rollover" issue too...it's preventing a much better northern stream this run from bringing us a big event. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro is having that ridge "rollover" issue too...it's preventing a much better northern stream this run from bringing us a big event. Is that rollover issue a subtle nuance in the flow that can be overcome/corrected or are we just in store for another tease? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Yup, kicked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted March 2, 2020 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Away she goes. Terrible run for the area. Hopefully it comes back in future runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now